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Stocks
Acadia Realty Trust
AKR

AKR Acadia Realty Trust

Acadia Realty Trust · NYSE
Market Closed
19.77
▼ ⁦-0.75%⁩ (-0.15)
Market Cap$2.7B
Beta1.13
52w Low52w High
18.6122.90
Last Week
⁦-3.04%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.42%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-9.23%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.30%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall39
Weak — below market medianSucker StockF 4/9DistressBetter than 39% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
56.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
55
4.7%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
38
5.3%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
45
4.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
63
4.05%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
49
3.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
70
33Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$20
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$25
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$24–$25⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$3.07
⁦-84%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.4⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$3.07–$25⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$24.50
⁦+23.9%⁩
Current Price $19.77·Median $24.50
Low
$24.00
High
$25.00
Current price
$19.77
Average target
$24.50
Street summary

Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

AKR stock has seen an improvement in analyst outlook over the past 30 days, with the average price target rising by 2.08% to $24.5 compared to $24 in the previous month. This positive outlook was bolstered by an upgrade of the stock's rating by KeyBanc on August 18, 2026, from "Sector Weight" to "Overweight," indicating increased confidence in the stock's performance relative to its sector, coinciding with Citigroup maintaining a "Buy" rating.

As of 2026-08-25
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.86
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
86%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
5%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
6
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.86
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-18
    KeyBanc
    Sector WeightOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-15
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    56.49x
    5.03x40.26x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    81.02x
    5.89x47.13x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.64x
    3.68x29.40x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    5.8%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.7%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    105.9%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    50.1%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.35x
    1.55x12.39x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    4.0%
    0.6%15.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    186.2%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.94
    -0.883.10
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Acadia Realty Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on retail properties, particularly stores located on U.S. commercial streets, alongside a suburban portfolio and an investment management platform. The company relies on rent collection, contractual increases that are typically 3% annually in street leases, resetting rents to market value, leasing vacant spaces, and then selling or recapitalizing investment management platform assets after executing their improvement plans. Its acquisition strategy focuses on owning approximately 20% to 25% of the stores in a single commercial corridor, as management says this scale could increase property net operating income by approximately 10% through improvements in tenant mix, sales, and operating efficiency.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Acadia recorded revenue of $95.4 million, net income of $10.1 million, and GAAP earnings per share of $0.05, compared with revenue of $100.6 million, net income of $239 thousand, and earnings per share of $0.01 in Q2 fiscal 2025. Funds from operations were $0.31 per share, while the street retail portfolio achieved approximately 16% growth in comparable property net operating income and added approximately $0.02 to funds from operations compared with the corresponding period. Revenue, however, declined by approximately 5.2% year over year and approximately 7.4% compared with Q1 fiscal 2026, highlighting the divergence between the direction of accounting revenue and the strong improvement in earnings and property operating metrics.

The company signed new leases with annual base rent of $8.9 million, the highest quarterly volume in its history, with approximately 80% of the new value coming from street and urban markets. Rent spreads reached 91%, while the signed-not-yet-commenced lease pipeline increased by approximately 60% to $16.5 million, equivalent to approximately 7% of annual base rent calculated at the company’s share. Meanwhile, the investment management platform completed the sale or recapitalization of more than $500 million of assets since the start of fiscal 2026, at approximately 2 times invested capital and a mid-teens internal rate of return.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 funds from operations growth guidance to approximately 10% year over year at the midpoint, after the Q2 fiscal 2026 result exceeded its expectations and it raised the lower end of the guidance range by $0.02 per share.
  • Comparable property net operating income growth reached 7.3% during the first six months of fiscal 2026, and management said its model is trending toward the upper half of the 5% to 9% range, driven by approximately 16% growth in the street portfolio during Q2.
  • The $16.5 million signed-not-yet-commenced lease pipeline represents approximately $0.08 of funds from operations upon full commencement, after deducting approximately $0.03 that is capitalized within development and redevelopment. Management expects approximately $0.01 to be realized in the second half of fiscal 2026, followed by $0.03 to $0.05 in fiscal 2027, with the remainder in fiscal 2028.
  • Management estimates that rents in high-growth street retail are approximately 25% below market, equivalent to an opportunity of between $20 million and $25 million, with estimated gaps of approximately 35% in SoHo, 60% in Henderson Avenue, 50% in Armitage Avenue, and 25% in North 6th Street. The company aims to capture a meaningful portion of this opportunity over five years through lease expirations, market-value resets, and tenant replacements.
  • Acadia has invested approximately $700 million in street retail acquisitions since Q3 fiscal 2024, and these investments have generated approximately 3% of the cumulative increase in funds from operations per share. Management aims to reach $1 billion of investments by the end of fiscal 2026, adding $400 million to $500 million annually and targeting more than $0.02 of annual growth in funds from operations.
  • Tenant health supports the company’s ability to raise rents; average sales growth for a group of tenants including Aritzia, Alo Yoga, Violet Gray, Doen, Tecovas, and Zimmermann exceeded 25% annually, with a combined occupancy cost ratio below 9.5%. On Armitage Avenue, the rent on the latest lease increased from $76 to $155 per square foot, and the re-leasing spread reached 75%.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Acadia has a clear internal growth engine combining typical contractual rent increases of 3%, rent spreads of 91% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and an existing repricing opportunity that management estimates at between $20 million and $25 million.
  • +The signed-not-yet-open lease pipeline supports a multiyear earnings outlook, as it could add approximately $0.08 to funds from operations upon full commencement between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2028, in addition to ongoing advanced negotiations for leases with an additional annual base rent of $10 million.
  • +The acquisitions show measurable progress; leases in the SoHo portfolio acquired in fiscal 2024 increased expected net operating income by 90%, while the company doubled net operating income at one of its other acquisitions from the same year, targeting a stabilized yield of approximately 6% in both cases.
  • +The balance sheet provides capacity to execute the plan, as management reported liquidity of approximately $1 billion, virtually no maturities during the years following the July 29, 2026 call, and sufficient capital funding for the current acquisition target and the Henderson project.
  • +The street portfolio is characterized by low capital requirements after stabilization; management estimated the capital expenditure burden at approximately 7% to 10% of net operating income, compared with 10% to 12% for grocery-anchored centers and approximately 15% for power centers, allowing a larger proportion of rent growth to convert into operating cash flow.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Revenue declined to $95.4 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 from $100.6 million in the corresponding quarter and $103.0 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, a decrease of approximately 5.2% year over year and 7.4% sequentially despite strong leasing metrics.
  • −Accounting earnings remained volatile; net income was $10.1 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with $29.8 million in the previous quarter and $239 thousand in the corresponding quarter, while full-year fiscal 2025 recorded net income of only $16.9 million.
  • −A significant portion of growth depends on executing annual acquisitions worth $400 million to $500 million and converting below-market leases into higher rents, while management described competition for open-air retail assets as intense. The company may also have to temporarily pause purchases in corridors such as SoHo when prices rise, which could delay capital deployment or reduce expected returns.
  • −The signed-not-yet-open lease pipeline requires time before it fully converts into earnings; of a potential $0.08 increase in funds from operations, management expects only approximately $0.01 in the second half of fiscal 2026 and $0.03 to $0.05 in fiscal 2027, with the remainder deferred until fiscal 2028. The commencement timing of spaces such as TNT and LA Fitness Club Studios also remains a factor affecting the realization of this increase.
  • −Investment management platform asset sales create short-term positive earnings dilution of approximately $0.01 until the company reinvests the proceeds, even though the assets sold or recapitalized exceeded $500 million at approximately 2 times invested capital. In addition, approximately $200 million of equity was issued in Q2 fiscal 2026 to finance external growth, making growth in funds from operations per share dependent on disciplined financing and acquisition timing.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average target of $24.5 and a narrow range between $24 and $25; the average is above the 52-week range high of $23.03, while the range low is $18.61. This target reflects expectations for continued growth in funds from operations and rent repricing, but the narrow dispersion of targets does not fully reflect the risks of declining revenue, volatile net income, and the timing of converting not-yet-open leases and acquisitions into actual earnings.

BuyAnalyst target: $24.5(+23.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove AKR’s results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

The most prominent operating driver came from the street retail portfolio, which achieved approximately 16% growth in comparable property net operating income and added approximately $0.02 to funds from operations compared with the corresponding period. Funds from operations were $0.31 per share, while the company recorded net income of $10.1 million and GAAP earnings per share of $0.05. Acadia also signed new leases with annual base rent of $8.9 million and rent spreads of 91%. Nevertheless, revenue declined to $95.4 million from $100.6 million in Q2 fiscal 2025.

How large is the earnings impact of Acadia’s signed-not-yet-commenced leases?

The annual base rent of signed-not-yet-commenced leases reached $16.5 million on July 29, 2026, an increase of approximately 60% during Q2 fiscal 2026. These leases represent approximately 7% of annual base rent calculated at the company’s share, and management estimates their full impact at approximately $0.08 of funds from operations. The company expects approximately $0.01 to be realized in the second half of fiscal 2026, followed by $0.03 to $0.05 in fiscal 2027, with the remainder in fiscal 2028. Planned commencements in Q4 fiscal 2026 include the TNT and LA Fitness Club Studios spaces within the San Francisco projects.

Why does Acadia focus on street retail instead of traditional retail centers?

Management says street leases typically include annual contractual growth of 3% and more frequent opportunities to reset rents to market value. During the three years ended Q2 fiscal 2026, the street portfolio outgrew the suburban portfolio by approximately 400 basis points, compared with a structural target of between 200 and 300 basis points. The company also estimated post-stabilization capital expenditure at approximately 7% to 10% of net operating income for street retail, compared with approximately 15% for power centers. The average payback period for new street leases during the quarter was approximately nine months, compared with five to seven years for a new retail box in the suburbs.

What is AKR’s rent repricing opportunity?

Management estimated on July 29, 2026 that rents in high-growth street retail were approximately 25% below market, representing an opportunity of between $20 million and $25 million. The largest estimated gaps include 35% in SoHo, 60% in Henderson Avenue, 50% in Armitage Avenue, and 25% in North 6th Street. The company intends to capture a meaningful portion of this gap over five years through lease expirations, market-value resets, and tenant replacements. On Armitage Avenue, the company re-leased a space in Q2 fiscal 2026 at a 75% spread and rent of $155 per square foot, compared with the previous tenant’s initial rent of $76.

How is Acadia financing its fiscal 2026 acquisition plan?

The company aims to add $400 million to $500 million of street retail assets annually and has closed more than $228 million of acquisitions since the start of fiscal 2026, including $149 million during Q2. It raised approximately $200 million of equity during the quarter, and management said on July 29, 2026 that available funding was sufficient for the current external growth target and the Henderson project. The company also has liquidity of approximately $1 billion and virtually no maturities during the years following the date of the call. The acquisitions target a $0.01 increase in funds from operations for every $200 million deployed, or more than $0.02 annually when the plan is fully executed.

What are the key risks to monitor for AKR stock?

The immediate financial risk is the approximately 5.2% year-over-year decline in Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, alongside the decrease in net income from $29.8 million in the previous quarter to $10.1 million. The plan also depends on executing large acquisitions and converting below-market rents to higher levels amid intense competition for open-air retail assets. The $16.5 million lease pipeline requires several years to add its full estimated impact of approximately $0.08 to funds from operations. In addition, there is approximately $0.01 of short-term dilution from investment management platform asset sales before the proceeds are redeployed.

  • −The valuation carries the risk of elevated expectations because the average analyst target of $24.5 exceeds the 52-week range high of $23.03, while the very narrow range between $24 and $25 leaves limited room for variation among scenarios. If rent spreads slow from the exceptional 91% level or the capture of the estimated rent gap of approximately 25% below market is delayed, the valuation assumptions may become more difficult to achieve.