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Stocks
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeBetter than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
35
29.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
55
8.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
76
16.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
90
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
61
0.59%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
80
34.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
42
6▲3Around median
AIT

AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
323.78
▲ ⁦+1.63%⁩ (+5.20)
Market Cap$12.0B
Beta0.85
52w Low52w High
238.34374.80
Last Week
⁦+1.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.04%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.02%⁩
Last Year
⁦+22.84%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$324
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$400
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$390–$420⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$228
⁦-30%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$228–$400⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$402.00
⁦+24.2%⁩
Current Price $323.78·Median $400.00
Low
$390.00
High
$420.00
Current price
$323.78
Average target
$402.00
Street summary

Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

AIT stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target jumping from 340.4 to 402, an increase of 18.1%. This adjustment reflects growing optimism despite the number of analysts remaining at two, with a price range between 390 and 420, indicating expectations of a return exceeding the current price of 341.62.

As of 2026-08-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+14.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
75%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
9%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
6
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.71 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-14
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-13
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.46x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    27.54x
    4.57x36.58x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    19.89x
    3.43x27.47x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.8%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    8.2%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    30.3%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    16.9%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.58x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.6%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    17.5%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    10.14
    -5.667.97
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-13 data

Company Overview

Applied Industrial Technologies operates in industrial distribution and technical solutions through two main segments: Service Center Based Distribution and Engineered Solutions. Service centers serve maintenance, repair, and operations needs and provide technical sales, while the Engineered Solutions segment provides automation, fluid power systems, and flow control, including robotics, machine vision, digital solutions, and pump and valve services; therefore, revenue depends on factory activity, capital spending, and industrial system modernization projects.

In fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $5.0 billion, gross profit of $1.5 billion, net income of $414.5 million, and earnings per share of $10.95. In Q4 fiscal 2026, revenue reached $1.4 billion, gross profit was $411.2 million, and net income was $118.6 million, while management reported a gross margin of 30.4% and an EBITDA margin of 13.1%.

Q4 fiscal 2026 sales increased 10.4% year over year, including 9.7% organic growth and approximately 7% volume growth, while pricing added nearly 250 basis points. The Engineered Solutions segment led performance with 12.9% organic growth and a 15.1% margin, compared with 7.9% organic growth and a 14.5% margin in the Service Center Based Distribution segment; reported quarterly earnings per share also increased 13.2% to $3.17.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Organic growth accelerated from 6% in Q3 fiscal 2026 to 9.7% in Q4 fiscal 2026, with organic growth exceeding 10% in June 2026 and the number of the thirty end markets that achieved growth rising to 20, compared with 17 markets in the previous quarter.
  • The automation business achieved organic growth exceeding 20% in Q4 fiscal 2026, its strongest performance in more than four years, supported by robotics, machine vision, semiconductor equipment, and data center applications; Engineered Solutions orders also remained up by a double-digit percentage for the third consecutive quarter.
  • Management provided fiscal 2027 guidance that includes sales growth of between 4% and 6.5%, earnings per share of between $11.65 and $12.15, and an EBITDA margin of between 12.5% and 12.8%. Through mid-August 2026, organic growth was approximately 7%, within the Q1 fiscal 2027 outlook of 6% to 8%.
  • The company raised its intermediate financial target to revenue of $7 billion and an EBITDA margin of 14%, aiming to achieve both within five years depending on economic conditions and the pace of acquisitions. This is supported by the five-year record through fiscal 2026, which included compound annual growth of 9% in sales, 14% in EBITDA, and 18% in earnings per share.
  • The contribution from Hydrodyne, which the company acquired 18 months before the August 13, 2026 call, improved as its sales increased by a double-digit percentage in the second half of fiscal 2026 and its margin improved by more than 200 basis points. In addition, the company has approximately $2 billion of balance sheet capacity to support acquisitions, share repurchases, dividends, and operating investments.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q4 fiscal 2026 demonstrated strong operating leverage, as the company converted 10.4% sales growth into 16.1% EBITDA growth, with an incremental margin exceeding 19% and exceeding 22% after excluding the impact of last-in, first-out inventory.
  • +The diversity of momentum across Service Center Based Distribution and Engineered Solutions provides a broader foundation for growth; organic sales in the two segments grew 7.9% and 12.9%, respectively, in Q4 fiscal 2026, and 27 of the 30 largest industries within the U.S. service center network achieved year-over-year growth.
  • +Liquidity supports the company's ability to fund growth, as free cash flow reached $159.7 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, equivalent to approximately 135% of net income, and reached $461 million during fiscal 2026. It also ended June 2026 with net leverage of no more than 0.2 times EBITDA.
  • +The fiscal 2027 plan combines expected organic growth with guided earnings per share of between $11.65 and $12.15, without including contributions from future acquisitions or additional share repurchases. This provides potential for better results if order strength persists or the company adds accretive acquisitions within its stated priorities.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $402, within a range of $390 to $420. The average is approximately 7% above the 52-week range high of $374.80, while the highest target is approximately 12% above it, reflecting an assumption of continued Engineered Solutions growth and margin improvement. Conversely, these targets require overcoming the expected slowdown to sales growth of between 4% and 6.5% in fiscal 2027 and the pressure resulting from higher last-in, first-out inventory expense.

BuyAnalyst target: $402(+24.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove AIT's results in Q4 fiscal 2026?

Sales increased 10.4% year over year to $1.4 billion, and organic growth reached 9.7%, with volume growth of approximately 7%. The Engineered Solutions segment achieved 12.9% organic growth, driven by double-digit percentage growth in automation and fluid power, while the Service Center Based Distribution segment grew organically by 7.9%. EBITDA increased 16.1%, while reported earnings per share rose 13.2% to $3.17.

What is Applied Industrial Technologies' outlook for fiscal 2027?

The company expects sales growth of between 4% and 6.5% and earnings per share of between $11.65 and $12.15 in fiscal 2027. The expected EBITDA margin ranges from 12.5% to 12.8%, with a pricing contribution of between 150 and 200 basis points. The guidance does not include any contribution from future acquisitions or additional share repurchases, and it assumes more moderate growth in the second half due to difficult comparisons and trade and geopolitical uncertainty.

How important are the automation and physical AI businesses to AIT's growth?

Automation sales grew organically by more than 20% in Q4 fiscal 2026, the best rate in more than four years. Applications cited by management include robotics, autonomous mobile robots, machine vision, semiconductor chip manufacturing equipment, and data centers. The company sees opportunities to integrate physical AI within facilities, while also using technology and AI to improve shared services, internal operations, and sales productivity.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Some process markets remain weak despite the overall improvement; sales in chemicals, lumber, and transportation declined during Q4 fiscal 2026, with chemicals posting a low-single-digit percentage decline, while growth in flow control remained limited due to weak maintenance, repair, and operations activity in process markets.
  • −Fiscal 2027 guidance indicates a clear slowdown compared with Q4 fiscal 2026, as the company expects annual sales growth of between 4% and 6.5% after quarterly growth of 10.4%. Management also assumes stronger growth in the first half followed by more moderate growth in the second half due to difficult comparisons and the short business cycle.
  • −Fiscal 2027 guidance includes an EBITDA margin of between 12.5% and 12.8%, below the 13.1% recorded in Q4 fiscal 2026, with a margin of between 12.3% and 12.4% expected in Q1 fiscal 2027. This pressure is associated with continued inflation, growth investments, and an expected increase in last-in, first-out inventory expense to between $24 million and $28 million, compared with $21.5 million in fiscal 2026.
  • −Geopolitical tensions and changes in trade policies could affect the pace of industrial demand and input costs during fiscal 2027, factors that prompted management to adopt more conservative assumptions for the second half. Free cash flow may also decline year over year due to increased working capital investment, alongside targeted capital expenditures of between $35 million and $40 million.
  • −The average analyst target of $402 requires reaching a level approximately 7% above the 52-week range high of $374.80, while the low target of $390 also exceeds that high; this makes the valuation case dependent on achieving fiscal 2027 growth and progressing toward the 14% margin target. Any failure to convert order strength into higher margins and cash flows could limit the justification for these targets.
  • −Insiders recorded three sales and no purchases during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 26, 2026, for net sales of $2.6 million. This remains a weak standalone trading signal because insider sales may be prearranged, and the available information provides no evidence to the contrary.
Does AIT have sufficient financial capacity for acquisitions and share repurchases?

The company ended June 2026 with $127 million in cash and net leverage equal to 0.2 times EBITDA. Available credit facilities provide $826 million, in addition to an $800 million expansion option, while management estimated total balance sheet capacity at approximately $2 billion. In fiscal 2026, the company repurchased 1.2 million shares for $317 million and increased the quarterly dividend by 11%.

What are the key risks that could disrupt AIT's growth in fiscal 2027?

Management expects sales growth to slow to a range of between 4% and 6.5% after increasing 10.4% in Q4 fiscal 2026, with more difficult comparisons in the second half. Last-in, first-out inventory expense is also expected to increase from $21.5 million in fiscal 2026 to between $24 million and $28 million in fiscal 2027, which could pressure margins. Chemicals, refining, and flow control remain exposed to weak maintenance and project activity, while trade policies, geopolitical tensions, and inflation could affect demand and costs.

What are Applied Industrial Technologies' medium-term financial targets?

The company raised its intermediate revenue target from $5.5 billion to $7 billion and raised its EBITDA margin target from 13% to 14%. Management aims to reach these two levels within five years, with timing dependent on the economy and the size and pace of acquisitions. The target is based on compound annual growth over the five years through fiscal 2026 of 9% in sales, 14% in EBITDA, and 18% in earnings per share.