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Stocks
American International Group, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall52
Balanced — near the middle of the marketValue TrapF 6/9Better than 52% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
83
13.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
24
-4.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
46
——Around median
▸
Safety
30
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
73
2.46%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
48
-1.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
61
12▲3Around median
AIG

AIG American International Group, Inc.

American International Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
75.33
▲ ⁦+0.40%⁩ (+0.30)
Market Cap$39.9B
Beta0.52
52w Low52w High
71.2587.29
Last Week
⁦-1.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.56%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+0.52%⁩
Last Year
⁦-4.01%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$75
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$87
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$80–$98⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$160
⁦+113%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$87–$160⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$86.88
⁦+15.3%⁩
Current Price $75.33·Median $86.50
Low
$80.00
High
$98.00
Current price
$75.33
Average target
$86.88
Street summary

Stable Target Price Amid Divergent Ratings

The consensus target price has not changed over the past 30 days, remaining at 86.88 compared with the current price of 75.03, while the range is between 80 and 98, with a median of 86.5. However, the number of analysts declined from 7 to 3, reducing the consensus base and making its interpretation less stable, while the divergence among estimates remains.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.41
Hold
Analyst coverage
⁦22 (-4)⁩
Buy conviction
36%
Target dispersion
24%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
1
7
14
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.55 → 3.41
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Wells Fargo
    Perform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-15
    Piper Sandler
    OverweightNeutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-09
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    NeutralOverweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.75x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.81x
    2.76x22.06x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -4.2%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    5.6%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    2.5%
    0.6%9.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    33.5%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

American International Group, Inc. operates as a globally focused property and casualty insurance company, generating income primarily from insurance premiums, underwriting profits, and returns on its investment portfolio. Its General Insurance business is divided among North America Commercial, International Commercial, and Global Personal Insurance; the growth areas mentioned include Accident & Health, High Net Worth insurance, Marine, Energy, Cyber, Liability, and Property lines. AIG also provides multi-coverage solutions for data center projects owned by hyperscale artificial intelligence companies, combining project financing, construction, Marine, Cyber, Energy, and multinational programs.

In fiscal Q2 2026, AIG recorded revenue of $7.1 billion, compared with $6.7 billion in fiscal Q1 2026, while net income reached $948 million and earnings per share were $1.78. Net income was equivalent to approximately 13.4% of revenue, while adjusted after-tax income reached $1.1 billion and adjusted after-tax earnings per share were $2.00, up 10% year over year. Core operating return on equity was 11.1% for the quarter and 11.6% for the first half of fiscal 2026.

Underwriting income reached $686 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 10% year over year, while the adjusted accident-year combined ratio improved by 30 basis points to 88.1% and the calendar-year combined ratio reached 89.0%. Net premiums written increased 9%, or 11% excluding North America Property; Global Commercial grew 9%, North America Commercial 9%, International Commercial 10%, and Global Personal Insurance 8%. General Insurance net premiums earned reached $6.2 billion, up 5% year over year, showing that the results mix relied on premium growth and improved underwriting, with a contribution from strategic transactions.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Net premiums written grew 13% in the first half of fiscal 2026, and management said this growth would support earnings as the premiums are earned during fiscal 2026 and 2027; new business in Global Commercial, including strategic transactions, also increased 37% to $1.9 billion, with retention of 88%.
  • Global Personal Insurance performance improved clearly in fiscal Q2 2026; underwriting income rose by approximately $90 million to $114 million, while the adjusted accident-year combined ratio declined by 490 basis points to 91.2%. The improvement came from Accident & Health and High Net Worth businesses, with the loss ratio declining by 270 basis points to 51.5% and the expense ratio improving by 220 basis points.
  • Core investment returns support earnings; General Insurance net investment income reached $871 million in fiscal Q2 2026, while income from the core fixed-income portfolio grew 4%. The portfolio's annualized yield reached 4.72%, up 30 basis points year over year, while the new-money yield exceeded the yield on sales and maturities by approximately 60 basis points.
  • AIG is expanding the use of Underwriting by AIG Assist and Claims by AIG Assist to accelerate submission reviews and quote issuance and improve the consistency of underwriting decisions and claims service. Management stated that underwriting teams are reviewing more submissions and issuing quotes faster, while also using submission data to identify the brokers and offices producing the best results, but the company did not provide a standalone financial figure for this impact.
  • The company continues to balance growth and capital returns; it returned $904 million to shareholders in fiscal Q2 2026, including $641 million in share repurchases and $263 million in dividends. As of June 30, 2026, debt stood at $9 billion and the adjusted debt-to-capital ratio was 17.6%, while book value per share increased 4% year over year to $77.39 and adjusted tangible book value increased 3% to $72.18.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Underwriting quality is the strongest pillar of the bullish case; General Insurance underwriting income increased 68% to $1.5 billion in the first half of fiscal 2026, while the combined ratio improved to 88.1%, a decline of 450 basis points.
  • +The diversified global portfolio enables capital to be shifted toward the best-priced areas; pricing in North America Retail Casualty increased 10%, while Excess Casualty rose 14%, and Political Violence pricing increased 9% in fiscal Q2 2026 after declining 8% in the previous quarter.
  • +The elevated premiums from the first half provide potential operating leverage as they are earned during fiscal 2026 and 2027, alongside the target of reducing the General Insurance expense ratio to below 30% in fiscal 2027; the trailing 12-month ratio was 30.7% as of June 30, 2026, compared with 31.1% at the end of fiscal 2025.
  • +Global Personal Insurance represents an additional source of profitability improvement; adjusted accident-year underwriting income more than doubled in fiscal Q2 2026, while the first-half combined ratio improved by 1,200 basis points to 91.2% due to underwriting actions, lower reinsurance costs, and improved commission terms.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on AIG is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $86.88 and a wide range between $80 and $98; the average is very close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $87.29, compared with a low of $71.25. This valuation balances improved underwriting and strong growth in the first half of fiscal 2026 against pressure on Property pricing, while Wells Fargo's reduction of its target from $89 to $85 on August 10, 2026, reflects caution regarding premium growth and return on equity. No valid price-to-earnings ratio was provided in the data, so it cannot be used to determine whether the valuation is low or high.

HoldAnalyst target: $86.88(+15.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving AIG's earnings in fiscal Q2 2026?

AIG's revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 reached approximately $7.1 billion, while net income was $948 million and earnings per share were $1.78. Adjusted after-tax income reached $1.1 billion and adjusted earnings per share were $2.00, up 10% year over year. Results were supported by underwriting income of $686 million, with the adjusted accident-year combined ratio improving to 88.1%. General Insurance net investment income of $871 million also contributed to the earnings base.

Is AIG's premium growth organic or driven by transactions?

Net premiums written increased 9% in fiscal Q2 2026 and 13% in the first half, but management said distinguishing between organic and transaction-driven growth had become more difficult at the individual client level. It estimated organic growth for the quarter in the low-to-mid-single-digit range, while the remainder of the increase came from transactions such as Everest renewal rights and other strategic arrangements. New business in Global Commercial, including these transactions, increased 37% to $1.9 billion. During the quarter, the company also announced an agreement to acquire Everest Insurance's operations in Colombia, with completion of the transaction expected to provide it with broader access to the insurance market there.

What is the impact of weakness in the Property insurance market on AIG?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Competition and pricing pressure are intensifying in Property insurance; AIG reduced its retention of Lexington Property premiums by 9 percentage points, while the pricing environment and deliberate contraction measures reduced North America growth by more than 3 percentage points. Renewal pricing in International Commercial also declined 6%, while Global Energy pricing fell 15% and Financial Lines pricing declined 4% in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • −Commercial Insurance margins face pressure from changes in business mix and pricing; the adjusted accident-year combined ratio in North America increased by 50 basis points to 86.7%, while the ratio in International Commercial rose by 230 basis points to 87.3%. The International Commercial expense ratio reached 32.1% after increasing by 130 basis points due to a higher acquisition ratio.
  • −Management indicated on August 7, 2026, that it would not chase premium growth in a competitive market and did not reaffirm its low-to-mid-teens annual growth guidance, despite first-half growth of 13%. On August 10, 2026, Wells Fargo lowered its price target from $89 to $85 due to potential difficulty achieving fiscal 2026 premium growth targets, weakness in the commercial market, and failure to reach return-on-equity targets.
  • −Claims and reserve risks remain; management said it had seen no evidence of moderation in social inflation or litigation funding in the United States and therefore had not incorporated moderation into its pricing assumptions. It also strengthened U.S. Excess Casualty reserves by $74 million, primarily for the 2016 and 2023 accident years, despite affirming that the 2023 experience remained within the expected range of outcomes.
  • −Catastrophes and geopolitical tensions cause direct volatility in results; catastrophe losses reached $210 million in fiscal Q2 2026, including $75 million related to the Middle East conflict. AIG also said that Energy and Aviation pricing does not fully reflect the increased exposure to conflict and recent large losses in the sector.
  • −A Delaware bankruptcy judge ruled on August 18, 2026, that AIG engaged in deception to avoid paying hundreds of millions of dollars in deferred compensation to former executives and reclassified $37.6 billion of internal financing from debt to equity. The ruling creates legal, financial, and reputational exposure, while insider activity recorded net selling of $18.1 million during the three months through the latest transaction on August 13, 2026, across three sales and no purchases; however, insider sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to assess future performance.

Management said on August 7, 2026, that increased capacity and competition had pressured Property pricing, particularly in the North America E&S market. AIG therefore reduced its retention of Lexington Property premiums by 9 percentage points and declined business that did not meet its risk-adjusted return requirements. Pricing and these actions reduced North America growth by more than 3 percentage points in fiscal Q2 2026. At the same time, the company continued to selectively pursue opportunities in North America Retail Property and International Property, where price declines were more moderate.

How does AIG use artificial intelligence in its insurance operations?

AIG is expanding the Underwriting by AIG Assist and Claims by AIG Assist platforms to improve underwriting decisions, claims service speed, and productivity. Management said during the August 7, 2026, call that underwriting teams using the system review more submissions and generate quotes faster. Submission data also enables analysis of broker results at the company, office, and individual broker levels, directing resources toward business that is better aligned with risk appetite. Management emphasized that the objective is to increase employee efficiency and their ability to serve more clients, not to reduce headcount.

Do AIG's claims reserves represent a risk in fiscal 2026?

The company recorded favorable net prior-year reserve development of $146 million in fiscal Q2 2026, supported by improvements of $177 million in U.S. Workers' Compensation and $79 million in U.S. Property and Special Risks. Conversely, it strengthened U.S. Excess Casualty reserves by $74 million, primarily for the 2016 and 2023 accident years. Management affirmed that the 2023 experience remained within the expected range of outcomes and had not shown an actual change in frequency or severity. However, it also said it had seen no evidence of moderation in U.S. social inflation, leaving claims severity risks in place.

What do the analyst consensus and AIG target range indicate?

The analyst consensus is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $86.88, a high target of $98, and a low target of $80. The average target is close to the top of the 52-week range of $87.29, while the bottom of the range is $71.25. On August 10, 2026, Wells Fargo lowered its target from $89 to $85 due to concerns about the difficulty of achieving fiscal 2026 premium growth targets, weakness in the commercial market, and failure to reach return-on-equity targets. The valuation therefore combines improved underwriting results with clear caution regarding the sustainability of growth and returns.