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Stocks
Argan, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall67
Strong — clearly above market medianFalling StarF 5/9SafeBetter than 67% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
30
32.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
91
29.0%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
88
31.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
68
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
27
0.48%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
43
185.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
46
33Around median
AGX

AGX Argan, Inc.

Argan, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
413.74
▲ ⁦+4.39%⁩ (+17.41)
Market Cap$5.8B
Beta0.61
52w Low52w High
219.05805.75
Last Week
⁦+0.81%⁩
Last Month
⁦-28.48%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-29.74%⁩
Last Year
⁦+90.30%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$414
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$518
⁦+25%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$273–$600⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$809
⁦+95%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$518–$809⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$463.67
⁦+12.1%⁩
Current Price $413.74·Median $518.00
Low
$273.00
High
$600.00
Current price
$413.74
Average target
$463.67
Street summary

Consensus declines amid clear divergence among analysts

The consensus price target fell to 463.67 from 559, a decline of 95.33 or 17.05% over the last 7 days, the same change recorded over the last 30 days. The number of analysts remained unchanged at two, meaning the decline does not reflect a broader coverage base. Current targets range from 273 to 600, while the median is 518, indicating high dispersion in valuations.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-17.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.60
Buy
Analyst coverage
5
Buy conviction
40%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
79%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time5 analysts rating
1
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 3.60
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Piper Sandler
    Underweight
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-03
    Lake Street
    HoldBuy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-05
    Lake Street
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.55x
    5.69x45.54x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    31.62x
    4.57x36.58x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    29.43x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    9.4%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    29.0%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    51.1%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    20.9%
    8.6%54.6%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    31.9%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.5%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    15.6%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    6.04
    -5.667.97
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-02 data

Company Overview

Argan, Inc. (AGX) operates in the construction of energy infrastructure, industrial facilities, and telecommunications and data networks through three segments. The Power segment builds natural gas and combined-cycle plants, as well as solar energy, battery storage, biofuel, and biomass projects, while the Industrial segment provides field construction services and manufactures piping systems, pressure vessels, and tanks. The Teledata segment executes power distribution and information, communications, and data network projects for data centers, government sites, and military facilities.

In Q2 fiscal 2027, ended July 31, 2026, revenue increased 62% to a record 384 million dollars, compared with 237.7 million dollars in Q2 fiscal 2026. Gross profit reached 74.2 million dollars at a margin of 19.3%, and record net income totaled 53.3 million dollars, or 3.76 dollars per diluted share, exceeding the analyst estimate of 2.64 dollars. Adjusted EBITDA also reached 70 million dollars at a margin of 18.2%, compared with 38.5 million dollars and a margin of 16.2% in the comparable period.

The Power segment remained the primary driver, generating 301 million dollars, or 78% of Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue, with growth of 53% and a gross margin of 22.4%. The Industrial segment grew 111% to 76 million dollars, equivalent to 20% of revenue, but its margin was limited to 7.3%, while Teledata revenue increased 40% to 7 million dollars, or 2% of the total, at a margin of 16.6%. For the first six months of fiscal 2027, revenue totaled 674.9 million dollars and net income reached 99.4 million dollars, increases of approximately 56.5% and 72%, respectively, from the comparable period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Contracted project backlog totaled 2.5 billion dollars as of July 31, 2026, and includes four U.S. gas-fired power plant projects with total capacity exceeding 4.1 gigawatts. Management expects to add a limited number of new projects during the period from September 2026 to November 2027, with a targeted operating capacity to execute between 10 and 12 projects concurrently.
  • Data center projects support the expansion of the Industrial segment; in November 2025, Argan secured a contract worth 125 million dollars to manufacture thermal expansion and energy storage tanks. The company expects to complete its second manufacturing facility in North Carolina during Q3 fiscal 2027, followed by a revenue contribution exceeding 10 million dollars per quarter from this facility.
  • At the end of Q2 fiscal 2027, Argan acquired ValCor Communications, a provider of information, communications, and data network installation and repair services in Connecticut. The acquisition gives the Teledata segment a presence in New England and a customer base that includes Fortune 500 technology, defense, and aerospace companies, and management expects ValCor and organic growth to help double Teledata revenue compared with fiscal 2026.
  • Large energy projects continue to advance into higher stages of execution, including the 1.2-gigawatt SLEC gas-fired plant, the 1.4-gigawatt CPV project, and an 860-megawatt project in Texas, along with another 700-megawatt U.S. plant. The company also achieved final completion of three solar and battery projects in Midwest, and at the September 2, 2026 call, early substantial completion of another 405-megawatt solar project was expected during September 2026.
  • The balance sheet supports Argan's ability to finance expansion and provide project bonding; the company held nearly 1 billion dollars in cash and investments, net liquidity of 440 million dollars, and no debt as of July 31, 2026. In the first six months of fiscal 2027, the company returned 51.7 million dollars to shareholders, with quarterly dividends of 0.50 dollars per share and authorization to repurchase shares totaling up to 200 million dollars through January 31, 2030.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Argan achieved simultaneous growth across all three of its segments during Q2 fiscal 2027, with consolidated revenue increasing 62%, net income rising to 53.3 million dollars, and adjusted EBITDA reaching 70 million dollars, demonstrating its ability to convert accelerated execution into actual earnings.
  • +The 2.5 billion dollar backlog provides strong revenue visibility, supported by four U.S. gas-fired projects with total capacity exceeding 4.1 gigawatts and a 125 million dollar industrial data center contract. The company also added more than 260 million dollars in project scope expansions and smaller projects during the first six months of fiscal 2027, despite not adding a new major power project in Q2.
  • +The Power segment's margin reached 22.4% in Q2 fiscal 2027 after 23.6% in Q1 fiscal 2027, benefiting from the contract mix, strong execution, and early completion of certain projects. This segment represents 78% of revenue and approximately 80% of backlog, so its high profitability provides important leverage for consolidated results.
  • +Net liquidity of 440 million dollars and the absence of debt as of July 31, 2026 give the company the capacity to support execution teams, increase bonding capacity, finance the North Carolina facility, and pursue selective acquisitions such as ValCor, while continuing dividends and share repurchases.

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates AGX shares as “Buy,” with an average price target of 559 dollars and a range between 518 and 600 dollars; the average is approximately 31% below the 52-week range high of 805.75 dollars, while the low end of that range is 197 dollars. On September 3, 2026, a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 31.91 times and a 4.8% decline in the stock following strong results were reported, illustrating that the revaluation was associated with concerns about the valuation premium despite revenue and earnings growth and a backlog of 2.5 billion dollars.

BuyAnalyst target: $559(+35.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-04; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is driving Argan's growth in Q2 fiscal 2027?

Argan's revenue increased 62% to 384 million dollars in Q2 fiscal 2027, driven primarily by accelerated activity in Power segment projects. The Power segment grew 53% to 301 million dollars, while the Industrial segment increased 111% to 76 million dollars and Teledata grew 40% to 7 million dollars. This mix resulted in record net income of 53.3 million dollars and diluted earnings of 3.76 dollars per share, compared with the analyst estimate of 2.64 dollars.

How large is AGX's backlog, and which projects does it include?

Contracted backlog totaled 2.5 billion dollars as of July 31, 2026, down from 2.9 billion dollars at the beginning of fiscal 2027. The backlog includes four gas-fired power plant projects in the United States with total capacity exceeding 4.1 gigawatts, and gas projects represent approximately 80% of it. The projects mentioned include the 1.2-gigawatt SLEC plant, the 1.4-gigawatt CPV project, an 860-megawatt project in Texas, and a 700-megawatt U.S. plant.

How is Argan benefiting from data center-related demand?

The Industrial segment is executing a data center project worth 125 million dollars that the company secured in November 2025 to manufacture thermal expansion and energy storage tanks. Argan is building a second manufacturing facility in North Carolina, which is expected to be completed in Q3 fiscal 2027 and contribute more than 10 million dollars in revenue per quarter after operations begin. The Teledata segment also serves data centers and information networks, while the ValCor acquisition adds a regional customer base of technology, defense, and aerospace companies in New England.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Argan's business mix depends heavily on the Power and natural gas segment; the Power segment generated 78% of Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue, while gas projects represented approximately 80% of backlog as of July 31, 2026. This concentration makes results more sensitive to the timing of combined-cycle plants and the availability of permits, turbines, financing, and power purchase agreements.
  • −Backlog declined from 2.9 billion dollars at the beginning of fiscal 2027 to 2.5 billion dollars as of July 31, 2026, despite adding more than 260 million dollars in scope expansions and smaller projects during the first six months. Management acknowledged that the next new project could begin at any time between the quarter following the September 2, 2026 call and more than a year thereafter, leaving the timing of replenishing backlog consumption uncertain.
  • −Consolidated gross margin declined from 25% in Q4 fiscal 2026 to 21% in Q1 fiscal 2027 and then to 19.3% in Q2 fiscal 2027, as current power projects moved into less profitable early execution stages. The Industrial segment's margin also fell to 7.3% because two projects had worse estimated costs to complete than originally projected, and management expects the segment's margin to remain below historical levels for one or two quarters while completing them.
  • −Management explained on September 2, 2026 that the strength of Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue included work completed earlier than expected, so sequential revenue growth in Q3 fiscal 2027 may be limited. It also expects Industrial segment revenue to decline from the Q2 level during the remainder of fiscal 2027, although it expects fiscal 2027 revenue to exceed the fiscal 2026 level by a wide margin.
  • −Data center and power plant projects face regulatory and execution risks, including air and water permits, access to gas, turbine availability, financing, and power purchase agreements. During the September 2, 2026 call, analysts referred to political discussions about halting 1,800 data center projects in Texas, and although management had not observed a change in developer behavior at that time, obtaining the necessary approvals and infrastructure remains a prerequisite for projects to begin.
  • −A September 3, 2026 news report stated that the price-to-earnings ratio was approximately 31.91 times and that the stock declined 4.8% following the earnings announcement despite exceeding expectations, indicating trading sensitivity to valuation concerns. The average analyst price target of 559 dollars is also approximately 31% below the 52-week range high of 805.75 dollars, reflecting that strong growth does not eliminate the possibility of multiple contraction.
Why did Argan's margin decline despite revenue growth?

Consolidated gross margin was 19.3% in Q2 fiscal 2027, compared with 21% in Q1 fiscal 2027 and 25% in Q4 fiscal 2026. Management attributed the decline to a shift in power project revenue toward earlier stages of the construction cycle, after prior periods benefited from completing certain projects ahead of schedule. The Industrial segment's margin was also 7.3% because two projects outside the data center business experienced higher estimated costs to complete, and the segment's margin may remain below its historical level for one or two quarters.

What is the impact of the ValCor acquisition on Argan?

Argan completed the acquisition of ValCor Communications at the end of Q2 fiscal 2027 to strengthen the Teledata segment. The acquisition provides a presence in New England and relationships with Fortune 500 customers operating in technology, defense, and aerospace. Management expects the combination of ValCor and organic growth to potentially double Teledata revenue compared with fiscal 2026 and support EBITDA growth during subsequent quarters, while acknowledging risks related to integration and execution.

Can Argan finance its expansion without increasing debt?

As of July 31, 2026, Argan held nearly 1 billion dollars in cash and investments, had net liquidity of 440 million dollars, and carried no debt. Net liquidity increased from 421 million dollars as of January 31, 2026 despite returning 51.7 million dollars to shareholders during the first six months of fiscal 2027. The company uses this financial strength to fund hiring, the North Carolina facility, and selective acquisitions, alongside quarterly dividends of 0.50 dollars per share and a 200 million dollar share repurchase authorization through January 31, 2030.