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Home
Stocks
AGCO Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall47
Balanced — near the middle of the marketValue TrapF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 47% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
68
16.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
33
1.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
45
6.2%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
56
2.4x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
30
0.97%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
48
-11.7%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
74
11▲3Top tier
AGCO

AGCO AGCO Corporation

AGCO Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
121.10
▼ ⁦-0.68%⁩ (-0.83)
Market Cap$8.5B
Beta1.08
52w Low52w High
98.22143.78
Last Week
⁦-4.41%⁩
Last Month
⁦+17.77%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+7.73%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$121
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$127
⁦+5%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$99–$159⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$39
⁦-68%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$39–$127⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$131.00
⁦+8.2%⁩
Current Price $121.10·Median $127.00
Low
$99.00
High
$159.00
Current price
$121.10
Average target
$131.00
Street summary

AGCO Price Target Revision Analysis

The average price target for AGCO saw a slight decline of 1.16% over the past thirty days, reaching $127.83, despite a temporary improvement of 1.78% a week ago. The significant variance between the high target ($159) and the low target ($99) reflects uncertainty among analysts, especially with the current price trading at $100.87, a level very close to the lower end of the estimates.

As of 2026-08-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.31
Hold
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
38%
Target dispersion
50%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
2
4
8
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.25 → 3.31
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Bernstein
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.75x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    17.15x
    4.57x36.58x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.66x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.9%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    1.7%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    443.6%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    25.3%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    6.2%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.36x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    16.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.53
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

AGCO Corporation manufactures and sells agricultural equipment, precision agriculture technologies, and aftermarket services, with a portfolio that includes brands such as Fendt and Massey Ferguson and solutions such as PTX and Precision Planting. The company relies on sales of tractors and agricultural equipment, including high-horsepower tractors, hay tools, combines, sprayers, and planting equipment, as well as sales of technology solutions to its own factories, more than 100 original equipment manufacturers, and through retrofit channels for existing equipment. The parts business adds a more stable and recurring revenue stream; its sales reached $516 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, representing reported growth of approximately 3% and remaining nearly flat when excluding currency effects.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $2.6 billion, down 1% year over year on a reported basis and 4% in constant currency, while gross profit was $645.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 24.8%. The company recorded net income of $77.2 million and reported earnings per share of $1.08, while adjusted earnings per share were $1.43 versus $1.35 in the comparable period. Operating income declined 14% to $140.7 million, reported operating margin fell 80 basis points to 5.4%, and adjusted margin declined 170 basis points to 6.6%.

The regional mix in Q2 of fiscal 2026 revealed sharp divergence: North American sales increased approximately 20% in constant currency, supported by high-horsepower tractors, hay tools, and market-share gains, while Latin America declined 25%, Europe and the Middle East approximately 5%, and Asia Pacific and Africa more than 6%. Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $10.1 billion, with gross profit of $2.6 billion and net income of $726.5 million, while trailing 12-month data ending during 2026 show revenue of $10.3 billion and net income of $533.4 million. This reflects revenue remaining near the fiscal 2025 level, alongside clear pressure on profitability from weaker volumes and higher input and tariff costs.

What's Driving the Stock

  • North America achieved sales growth of approximately 20% in constant currency in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with strong pricing of approximately 3.5% and gains in high-horsepower tractors led by Fendt and Massey Ferguson. Dealer unit inventories also declined approximately 6% sequentially, indicating that the improvement was tied to sales to farmers rather than merely inventory accumulation at dealers.
  • The continued expansion of FarmerCore supported market share; management reported that the program's top-performing dealers achieve a 4.5-point increase in Net Promoter Score and a 1.5-point increase in market share. On-farm service capacity in North America increased 65%, while the service fleet in Brazil grew 25% during the year.
  • Precision agriculture represents the clearest technology growth driver; PTX's performance was nearly flat year over year despite the industry downturn, and the company expects fiscal 2026 sales to be flat or slightly above the $860 million recorded in the previous year. The company launched 14 products in the previous year and is targeting 12 product launches in fiscal 2026, while Precision Planting SymphonyVision sales increased 35%, and management reported that the product sold out.
  • AGCO expanded OutRun, an upgradable autonomy solution that works with mixed fleets, into Brazil and sugarcane applications, with management reporting positive initial customer engagement. This technology targets both AGCO equipment and competing brands' equipment, expanding the addressable market beyond the company's new-machine base, although management describes OutRun as still being at the beginning of its adoption curve.
  • The company reduced dealer inventory to approximately 3.5 months in Europe, approximately 3.5 months in Latin America, and slightly less than seven months in North America during Q2 of fiscal 2026. Moving closer to the targets of four months, three months, and six months helps improve production alignment with demand, while management expects production in South America to remain approximately 15% below retail sales through the end of fiscal 2026.
  • Management expects fiscal 2026 revenue of between $10.1 billion and $10.2 billion, adjusted earnings per share of between $5.50 and $5.75, and an adjusted operating margin of approximately 7.5%. The assumptions include achieving pricing of between 2% and 2.5%, operating benefits of $60 million to $70 million, and free cash flow conversion equivalent to 75% to 100% of adjusted net income.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +AGCO's gains in North America demonstrate its products' ability to outperform in a weak market; regional sales increased approximately 20% in constant currency in Q2 of fiscal 2026, alongside market-share growth in high-horsepower tractors and pricing of approximately 3.5%.
  • +Precision agriculture provides a growth path that is less dependent on purchasing an entirely new machine; the PTX business remained nearly flat despite industry weakness, SymphonyVision sales increased 35%, and the PTX dealer network covers more than 90% of the market and includes 320 AGCO channel dealers and 85 specialized dealers.
  • +The aftermarket business supports the resilience of the business model, as parts sales reached $516 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026 and remained nearly flat in constant currency at a time when farmers prefer maintaining their existing fleets to buying new equipment.
  • +Efficiency and capital-allocation measures help offset the cyclical downturn; the company is targeting operating benefits of $60 million to $70 million in fiscal 2026, repurchased approximately $345 million of shares during Q2 of fiscal 2026, and declared regular quarterly dividends of $0.30 per share.
  • +Improved distribution-channel health could enable a stronger recovery when demand stabilizes; dealer inventory declined in all three major regions, with Europe reaching approximately 3.5 months and Latin America and North America gradually approaching their target levels.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $127.83, with a Neutral consensus and a wide range between $99 and $159; the average is approximately 11% below the 52-week range high of $143.78, while the upper end of the target range exceeds that high by approximately 11%. The 52-week range extends from $98.22 to $143.78, and the data do not provide a usable current price-to-earnings ratio, so AGCO's valuation is closely tied to its ability to achieve fiscal 2026 guidance for adjusted earnings of between $5.50 and $5.75 per share and an adjusted operating margin of 7.5% despite weak demand and tariffs.

HoldAnalyst target: $127.83(+5.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were AGCO's key results in Q2 of fiscal 2026?

Revenue reached $2.6 billion in Q2 of fiscal 2026, down 1% year over year on a reported basis and 4% in constant currency. Gross profit was $645.9 million, net income was $77.2 million, and reported earnings per share were $1.08. Adjusted earnings per share increased to $1.43 from $1.35, but operating income declined 14% to $140.7 million, and adjusted operating margin fell 170 basis points to 6.6%.

Why did AGCO grow in North America despite weakness in the agricultural equipment market?

North American sales increased approximately 20% in constant currency in Q2 of fiscal 2026, led by high-horsepower tractors and hay tools. The company recorded market-share gains for the Fendt and Massey Ferguson brands, with strong regional pricing of approximately 3.5%. Dealer unit inventories declined approximately 6% sequentially, so management said the growth reflected actual sales to farmers rather than merely increased shipments to dealers.

What role do PTX and Precision Planting play in AGCO's growth?

PTX sells its technologies to AGCO factories and more than 100 original equipment manufacturers, as well as to the retrofit market for existing equipment. Management expects PTX sales in fiscal 2026 to be flat or slightly above the $860 million recorded in the previous year despite weakness in the equipment industry. Precision Planting SymphonyVision sales increased 35% during fiscal 2026, while the channel includes 320 AGCO dealers and 85 specialized dealers, and the PTX network covers more than 90% of the market.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −AGCO faces broad weakness in agricultural equipment markets, with the North American large agricultural equipment market expected to decline approximately 15% from fiscal 2025, Western Europe expected to remain approximately flat, and Brazil expected to decline between 5% and 10%. The company's exposure to Europe, which management described as its largest and most profitable region, increases earnings sensitivity to any further decline in regional demand.
  • −Latin American results deteriorated significantly in Q2 of fiscal 2026; sales declined 25% in constant currency, and regional operating income fell approximately $49 million year over year, with the region continuing to move toward breakeven. Expectations for improving demand in the second half depend partly on the availability of subsidized financing programs in Brazil after their delayed launch.
  • −Guidance and profit-margin expectations became more conservative after European performance fell short of management's expectations; the pricing forecast was reduced to 2%–2.5% from 2%–3%, the positive currency forecast to 2% from 3%, and expected production hours for fiscal 2026 are now slightly below fiscal 2025. Q3 of fiscal 2026 targets revenue of between $2.3 billion and $2.4 billion and earnings per share of between $0.85 and $0.90, with the Europe and Middle East margin expected to fall to a range of 11%–12% during the summer shutdown and reduction in production days.
  • −Tariffs and input costs are pressuring profitability; AGCO expects total tariff costs of approximately $115 million in fiscal 2026 and a net impact of $95 million after a $22 million IEEPA tariff refund. Management said pricing would cover traditional operating inflation but would not offset the full tariff impact, making price versus cost negative when tariffs are included.
  • −Free cash flow used shifted to approximately $347 million in the first half of fiscal 2026, compared with positive cash flow of $63 million in the corresponding period of fiscal 2025, due to higher production, inventory investment, and working-capital requirements. Achieving the target conversion of 75%–100% of adjusted net income remains dependent on successfully reducing inventory and controlling working capital during the remainder of fiscal 2026.
  • −The valuation carries a degree of uncertainty despite the wide range of analyst targets; the consensus is Neutral, and the price target ranges from $99 to $159, a $60 spread reflecting significant differences in assessments of the agricultural cycle and margin trajectory. The data also do not include a usable current price-to-earnings ratio, while trailing 12-month net income ending during 2026 declined to $533.4 million in the latest reading from $771.0 million in an earlier trailing-period reading, limiting the clarity of the earnings anchor.
What is AGCO's guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

AGCO expects annual revenue of between $10.1 billion and $10.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share of between $5.50 and $5.75 in fiscal 2026. It is targeting an adjusted operating margin of approximately 7.5%, capital expenditures of between $300 million and $325 million, and free cash flow conversion equivalent to 75%–100% of adjusted net income. For Q3 of fiscal 2026, the company is targeting revenue of between $2.3 billion and $2.4 billion and earnings per share of between $0.85 and $0.90, excluding any potential additional IEEPA tariff refunds.

What are the biggest risks facing AGCO's earnings in fiscal 2026?

The company expects the North American large agricultural equipment market to decline approximately 15% from fiscal 2025, Western Europe to remain approximately flat, and Brazil to decline between 5% and 10%. It also expects total tariff costs of $115 million and a net impact of approximately $95 million after a $22 million IEEPA tariff refund. In addition, the company used approximately $347 million of free cash flow in the first half of fiscal 2026, compared with positive cash flow of $63 million in the corresponding period, while adjusted operating margin in Q2 of fiscal 2026 declined to 6.6%.

How is AGCO managing dealer inventory and production during weak demand?

Dealer inventory was approximately 3.5 months in Europe versus a target of approximately four months, approximately 3.5 months in Latin America versus a target of three months, and slightly less than seven months in North America versus a target of six months during Q2 of fiscal 2026. Dealer inventory units declined approximately 5% in Latin America and approximately 7% in North America during the quarter. Management expects production hours in fiscal 2026 to be slightly below fiscal 2025, with production in South America remaining approximately 15% below retail sales through the end of the fiscal year.