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Home
Stocks
First Majestic Silver Corp.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketFalling StarF 7/9Better than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
37
27.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
83
97.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
13.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
89
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
21
0.10%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
50
93.9%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
70
33Top tier
AG

AG First Majestic Silver Corp.

First Majestic Silver Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
19.56
▼ ⁦-2.93%⁩ (-0.59)
Market Cap$9.6B
Beta2.11
52w Low52w High
8.7232.03
Last Week
⁦-1.51%⁩
Last Month
⁦+6.30%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.96%⁩
Last Year
⁦+117.09%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$20
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$25
⁦+27%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$23–$27⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦-35%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$13–$25⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$24.75
⁦+26.5%⁩
Current Price $19.56·Median $24.75
Low
$22.50
High
$27.00
Current price
$19.56
Average target
$24.75
Street summary

Downward revision in First Majestic Silver targets

Bearish tilt

The stock saw a 9.78% decline in its average price target over the past thirty days, falling from 26.88 to 24.25, reflecting a more conservative outlook despite the price target remaining above the current price (16.87). Data shows a decrease in future projections for 2029 compared to previous years, with revenue expected to decline to 1.49 billion and earnings per share to 0.66.

As of 2026-07-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.17
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
83%
High
Target dispersion
23%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
2
3
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 4.17
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Scotiabank
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-13
    H.C. Wainwright
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-12
    H.C. Wainwright
    Buy· $30.75
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    27.76x
    4.94x39.51x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    40.23x
    3.70x29.59x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.84x
    2.62x20.92x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    6.7%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    97.7%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    —
    —
  • Gross Margin
    68.6%
    7.6%58.9%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    13.6%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    2.8%
    4.7%147.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-12 data

Company Overview

First Majestic Silver Corp. produces silver and gold through four operating mines, generating revenue primarily from the sale of extracted metals, alongside its retail business through First Mint. In Q1 fiscal 2026, the company produced 3.5 million ounces of silver, equivalent to 26% of the midpoint of full-year guidance, while gold production reached 28% of the guidance midpoint, and silver's share of the production mix rose to 66% from 60% in Q4 fiscal 2025.

The annual financial statements show a sharp financial turnaround in fiscal 2025; revenue rose to $1.3 billion from $560.6 million in fiscal 2024, and gross profit increased to $713.5 million from $215.9 million. The company also moved from a net loss of $101.9 million and negative earnings per share of $0.34 in fiscal 2024 to net income of $211 million and earnings per share of $0.34 in fiscal 2025.

In the results published on July 30, 2026, revenue increased by 57% to $415.5 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization doubled to $257.1 million, representing a calculated margin of approximately 61.9%. However, adjusted earnings per share were $0.21 versus estimates of $0.30, while revenue also fell short of expectations. Q1 fiscal 2026 indicators showed stronger year-over-year momentum, with record revenue of $477 million, up 95%, operating cash flow of $311 million, free cash flow of $224 million, and the margin per ounce widening to $52 from $13 a year earlier.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Higher metal prices were the largest driver of results; in Q1 fiscal 2026, the average realized silver price was $86.35 per ounce versus $33.10 in Q1 fiscal 2025, while the results published on July 30, 2026 showed that average realized silver and gold prices increased by 90% and 40%, respectively, compared with the prior year.
  • At the end of Q1 fiscal 2026, the company held inventory of 676 thousand ounces of silver and 2,700 ounces of gold with a total value of $63 million, rather than recognizing it as revenue, increasing the sensitivity of subsequent results to the timing of sales and metal prices.
  • The company aims to increase Santa Elena mill capacity from 3,200 to 3,500 tonnes per day during the second half of 2026, while approaching a mining rate of 4,000 tonnes per day at Los Gatos with the assistance of an external contractor.
  • An exploration program exceeding 300 thousand meters supports opportunities to expand resources and includes 266 thousand meters at operating sites and an additional 42 thousand meters at Jerritt Canyon; the Santo Niño and Navidad discoveries added approximately 90 million ounces to Santa Elena's updated resources in March 2026.
  • First Majestic allocated $75 million during 2026 to restart Jerritt Canyon, which had reported resources of 7.8 million ounces of gold, targeting the start of production in the second half of 2027 and the release of a pre-feasibility study in early 2027.
  • The company increased its quarterly dividend by 217% in the July 30, 2026 announcement, after doubling the percentage of revenue allocated to dividends from 1% to 2% effective January 1, 2026. It also repurchased 1.2 million shares, while treasury assets reached $1.25 billion in the results published in July 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The business model delivered strong operating leverage as metal prices rose; the margin per ounce widened to $52 in Q1 fiscal 2026 from $13 a year earlier, despite increases in certain cost components, while free cash flow reached $224 million.
  • +The financial foundation improved clearly in fiscal 2025, with the bottom line moving from a loss of $101.9 million in fiscal 2024 to a profit of $211 million, alongside revenue growth to $1.3 billion and gross profit growth to $713.5 million.
  • +The Santa Elena and Los Gatos expansions, together with the Santo Niño and Navidad discoveries and a drilling program exceeding 300 thousand meters in 2026, provide defined growth paths within existing assets rather than relying exclusively on acquiring new assets.
  • +A treasury exceeding $1.1 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026 provides the company with flexibility to fund expansions, exploration, and Jerritt Canyon spending, while the dividend increase and repurchase of 1.2 million shares enhance capital returns to shareholders.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on AG shares is Neutral, with an average price target of $24.75 and a target range of $22.5 to $27. The average target is approximately 22.8% below the 52-week range high of $32.04, and even the highest target is about 15.7% below it, reflecting analysts' balance between the substantial improvement in earnings and cash flows and the company's sensitivity to metal prices and Jerritt Canyon execution risks.

HoldAnalyst target: $24.75(+26.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove the growth in First Majestic's results in 2026?

Higher metal prices were the main factor, with the average realized silver price reaching $86.35 per ounce in Q1 fiscal 2026 versus $33.10 in Q1 fiscal 2025. As a result, revenue increased by 95% to $477 million, and the margin per ounce widened to $52 from $13. In the results published on July 30, 2026, revenue increased by 57% to $415.5 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization doubled to $257.1 million.

How important is the Jerritt Canyon project to AG shares?

Jerritt Canyon represents a major growth project with reported resources of 7.8 million ounces of gold, and the company aims to begin production in the second half of 2027. First Majestic allocated $75 million to the project during 2026, including recruitment, underground preparation, and equipment orders. The company aims to release a pre-feasibility study in early 2027, while critical paths include the oxygen plant and the underground mining fleet, which has delivery lead times of 10–12 months.

Can the Santa Elena and Los Gatos expansions increase production?

The company is working to increase Santa Elena mill capacity from 3,200 to 3,500 tonnes per day during the second half of 2026. At Los Gatos, it is targeting a mining rate of 4,000 tonnes per day and has engaged an external contractor to address the mining bottleneck because the mill itself is not the bottleneck. The Santo Niño and Navidad discoveries also added approximately 90 million ounces to Santa Elena's updated resources in March 2026, and the company is working to incorporate them into the mill operating plan.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Earnings and cash flows depend heavily on silver and gold prices; management linked the 95% increase in Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue to an average realized silver price of $86.35 per ounce and acknowledged that volatility in the company's shares reflects its significant exposure to the silver price.
  • −Restarting Jerritt Canyon entails execution and capital expenditure risks, as the company will invest $75 million in 2026, the pre-feasibility study is still targeted for early 2027, underground mining fleet delivery lead times extend to 10–12 months, and the plant upgrade had not begun as of the May 12, 2026 call.
  • −Costs per ounce increased due to lower cutoff grades, a change in the gold-to-silver conversion ratio to 75:1, and higher profit sharing, smelting charges, and royalties; the ratio change alone added approximately $3 to all-in sustaining costs, while the profit-sharing impact approached $2 per ounce in Q1 fiscal 2026.
  • −Operations in Mexico carry material tax, labor, and operational exposure; the company paid $95 million in Mexican income taxes in January 2026 and explained that higher taxes and union bonuses increase all-in sustaining costs, while the collapse of a 10-meter section of the Los Gatos ramp caused 2.5 days of downtime.
  • −Reported revenue growth slowed from 95% year over year in Q1 fiscal 2026 to 57% in the results published on July 30, 2026, while the latest results missed revenue and earnings estimates, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.21 versus expectations of $0.30.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus reflects caution despite the operational improvement; the average target of $24.75 and the highest target of $27 both remain below the 52-week range high of $32.04, limiting the bullish signal derived from valuation targets alone.
  • How did First Majestic's profitability change between fiscal 2024 and 2025?

    Revenue increased from $560.6 million in fiscal 2024 to $1.3 billion in fiscal 2025. Gross profit rose from $215.9 million to $713.5 million over the same period. The net loss of $101.9 million and negative earnings per share of $0.34 also turned into net income of $211 million and earnings per share of $0.34.

    Can First Majestic fund its expansions and dividends?

    The company's treasury exceeded $1.1 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026, and treasury assets rose to $1.25 billion according to the results published on July 30, 2026. Q1 fiscal 2026 generated operating cash flow of $311 million and free cash flow of $224 million, despite the payment of $95 million in Mexican income taxes in January 2026. The company also increased its quarterly dividend by 217% in the July 30, 2026 announcement and repurchased 1.2 million shares.

    What are the main risks to monitor in First Majestic shares?

    The shares remain highly sensitive to silver and gold prices because higher prices were the primary driver of margin expansion and revenue growth in 2026. Restarting Jerritt Canyon also carries schedule and cost risks, with spending of $75 million in 2026 and a production target in the second half of 2027. In addition, the results published on July 30, 2026 missed revenue and earnings estimates, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.21 versus expectations of $0.30.