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Stocks
American Electric Power Company, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall44
Weak — below market medianF 6/9Better than 44% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
58
21.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
43
10.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
51
7.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
36
5.5x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
41
3.03%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
54
14.2%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
63
14▲3Around median
AEP

AEP American Electric Power Company, Inc.

American Electric Power Company, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
123.33
▼ ⁦-0.11%⁩ (-0.14)
Market Cap$67.2B
Beta0.51
52w Low52w High
105.70140.58
Last Week
⁦-0.19%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.20%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.05%⁩
Last Year
⁦+13.82%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$123
Analyst target · 15 analysts
$142
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$129–$147⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$149
⁦+21%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$142–$149⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 15 analysts setting price target
$140.38
⁦+13.8%⁩
Current Price $123.33·Median $142.00
Low
$129.00
High
$147.00
Current price
$123.33
Average target
$140.38
Street summary

Consensus Stable with Limited Variation in Valuations

The consensus price target did not change over one or seven days, remaining at 140.38, while the number of analysts increased from 4 to 15. Over 30 days, the consensus declined marginally by 0.17, or 0.12%, from 140.55 to 140.38. The current range is between 129 and 147, with a median of 142, reflecting limited variation around the central valuation, while the consensus remains above the current price of 123.33.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.70
Buy
Analyst coverage
23
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time23 analysts rating
3
10
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.33 → 3.70
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-16
    Goldman Sachs
    PositiveNeutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.26x
    4.50x36.01x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    18.64x
    4.35x34.77x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    12.62x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    11.0%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -15.2%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    48.4%
    9.8%69.4%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.7%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.49x
    1.28x10.25x
    Above average
  • Dividend Yield
    3.0%
    1.4%6.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    64.5%
    35.0%95.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

American Electric Power Company, Inc. is an electric utility holding company that builds, finances, and operates generation, transmission, and distribution assets across a broad geographic footprint in the United States. Its earnings growth depends on recovering investments through regulatory frameworks, increasing transmission revenues and weather-normalized sales, and connecting large loads such as data centers and industrial customers. The company benefits from its scale in equipment procurement and infrastructure financing, while targeting a funds from operations-to-debt ratio of 14% to 15%.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, operating earnings were $742 million, or $1.36 per share, compared with $1.43 per share in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025. News published on August 26, 2026, showed quarterly revenue growth of 19% year over year and an increase in gross margin to 17%, while the provided data did not include the quarterly revenue figure in dollars. The year-over-year comparison for Transmission Holdco earnings was affected by the sale of a minority stake in June 2025, as well as timing-related tax items, while results benefited from improved regulatory outcomes, higher weather-normalized sales, and growth in transmission revenues.

Operating earnings from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through the end of Q2 were $3.01 per share, compared with $2.98 in the corresponding period of fiscal 2025. Based on the provided statements, the company reported Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $6.0 billion and net income of $874 million, while fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $21.9 billion and net income was $3.6 billion. Regulated operations remain the core of the operating mix, with contributions from state utilities, transmission operations, the generation and marketing segment, and corporate expenses.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 30, 2026, AEP raised its fiscal 2026 operating earnings guidance range by $0.10 to $6.25–$6.55 per share, following first-half performance that exceeded the assumptions underlying the previous guidance of $6.15–$6.45.
  • Contracted load through 2030 increased to 69 gigawatts, up 6 gigawatts during Q2 fiscal 2026; this includes 45 gigawatts in Texas, 12 gigawatts in Ohio, and 12 gigawatts distributed across Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Virginia.
  • AEP Texas submitted 45 gigawatts of projects to ERCOT's Batch Zero process, backed by executed letters of agreement, and collected approximately $2 billion in cash or credit guarantees related to these commitments during the month preceding the July 30, 2026 call.
  • The 2026–2030 capital expenditure plan totals approximately $78 billion and targets a compound annual growth rate of about 11% in the asset base and a compound annual growth rate exceeding 9% in operating earnings per share through 2030; management has also identified more than $10 billion of additional opportunities not included in the base plan.
  • The company increased its secured gas turbine capacity by approximately 3 gigawatts during Q2 fiscal 2026, bringing the total to approximately 13 gigawatts deployable through 2031, with an option to obtain up to an additional 10 gigawatts through 2035.
  • In July 2026, AEP Texas secured a Department of Energy loan guarantee of up to $3.3 billion to finance transmission projects spanning approximately 2,800 miles, with estimated customer savings of $685 million; this brought Department of Energy loans secured across AEP's portfolio to approximately $5 billion.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The 69-gigawatt contracted load pipeline through 2030 provides a clear path for expanding AEP's networks, and the vast majority of projects are linked to hyperscale computing companies and industrial customers with substantial financial resources and long-term commitments.
  • +The $78 billion 2026–2030 plan combines asset-base expansion of approximately 11% annually with projected operating earnings-per-share growth of more than 9% annually through 2030, alongside more than $10 billion of additional opportunities in Wyoming, Piketon, and incremental generation.
  • +Regulatory outcomes support improved returns, with the earned regulated return reaching 9.2% in Q2 fiscal 2026, while management targets increasing it to 9.5% by 2030; in Ohio, the authorized return increased to 9.84% from 9.7%.
  • +The company reduced some of the financing risk associated with the capital plan through a $3 billion marketed equity transaction expected to settle under forward contracts by May 2028, in addition to Department of Energy loans and grants estimated to save customers approximately $1.4 billion over their terms.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $140.38 and a relatively wide range of $129 to $147. The average target is only $0.20 below the 52-week range high of $140.58, while the highest target exceeds that high; the lowest target of $129 reflects the risks of delayed load connections and the scale of financing and regulatory execution.

BuyAnalyst target: $140.38(+13.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the most important driver of AEP's growth through 2030?

The leading driver is connecting 69 gigawatts of contracted load through 2030, after adding 6 gigawatts during Q2 fiscal 2026. Texas accounts for 45 gigawatts and Ohio for 12 gigawatts, while another 12 gigawatts are distributed across six states. These loads support a $78 billion capital plan targeting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 11% in the asset base.

Why did AEP raise its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance?

On July 30, 2026, the company raised its operating earnings range to $6.25–$6.55 per share from $6.15–$6.45. Management said that first-half fiscal 2026 performance exceeded plan assumptions, with the second half benefiting from regulatory actions at AEP Ohio, SWEPCO Texas, and PSO. Operating earnings from the beginning of fiscal 2026 through the end of Q2 were $3.01 per share, compared with $2.98 in the corresponding period.

What is the significance of AEP Texas's applications under ERCOT Batch Zero?

AEP Texas submitted 45 gigawatts of projects to Batch Zero, all backed by executed letters of agreement. The company collected approximately $2 billion in cash or guarantees during the month preceding the July 30, 2026 call, covering the credit support required for the submitted volume. However, ERCOT review, generation availability, and transmission construction timelines may affect connection timing, and some projects may move between batches.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The growth opportunity depends heavily on the timing of connecting massive loads and the availability of generation and transmission; management explained that ERCOT review, power availability, and network development timelines could delay some Texas projects, while the $78 billion plan was based on only 13 gigawatts of connections in Texas versus 45 gigawatts submitted to Batch Zero.
  • −The $78 billion capital plan requires extensive financing while maintaining a funds from operations-to-debt ratio of 14%–15%, and management acknowledged that increasing the growth rate further could make financing more difficult; the $3 billion equity transaction also means shareholders face dilution when the forward contracts settle by May 2028.
  • −Operating earnings in Q2 fiscal 2026 declined to $1.36 per share from $1.43 in the corresponding quarter of fiscal 2025, due to the impact of the sale of the minority stake in Transmission Holdco and timing-related tax items, with additional pressure from higher operations and maintenance expenses to improve network reliability and from comparison with favorable weather in the prior year.
  • −More than $10 billion of opportunities outside the base plan are subject to execution and approval risks; the Piketon project requires final agreements followed by regulatory review, while the Wyoming fuel-cell project is tied to a contractual milestone in December 2026 and the need to begin operations before the end of 2028 to benefit from the investment tax credit.
  • −The nuclear generation strategy remains at an early stage, and management required strong capital and credit-metric protections, along with clear regulatory and policy support, before proceeding, limiting the extent to which it can be counted as a certain source of growth.
  • −The valuation leaves limited room for error if load projects or financing falter, because the average analyst price target of $140.38 nearly matches the 52-week range high of $140.58, while the lowest target falls to $129.
How will AEP finance its $78 billion capital plan?

AEP completed a $3 billion marketed equity transaction that is expected to settle through forward contracts by May 2028. Management said the transaction covers the expected marketed equity needs required to support the base 2026–2030 plan. The company also targets maintaining a funds from operations-to-debt ratio of 14% to 15% and benefits from approximately $5 billion in Department of Energy loans and nearly $400 million in awarded grants.

What are the risks associated with the Wyoming and Piketon projects?

Both projects are among more than $10 billion of investment opportunities not included in the $78 billion plan. The Piketon transmission project in Ohio requires final agreements with SP Energy, followed by regulatory review and approval. The Wyoming fuel-cell project is subject to a contractual milestone in December 2026, and the cells must be installed and operational before the end of 2028 to qualify for the investment tax credit.

Did AEP's regulatory performance improve in Q2 fiscal 2026?

The earned regulated return reached 9.2% in Q2 fiscal 2026, consistent with management's expectation for the end of fiscal 2026. The company targets increasing this return to 9.5% by 2030 through improved cost-recovery mechanisms and regulatory settlements. In Ohio, AEP secured an authorized return of 9.84% versus 9.7%, while the proposed Oklahoma settlement included a return of 9.375% and an improved mechanism for tracking transmission costs.