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Stocks
Aegon Ltd.
AEG

AEG Aegon Ltd.

Aegon Ltd. · NYSE
Market Closed
9.06
▲ ⁦+0.11%⁩ (+0.01)
Market Cap$13.6B
Beta0.62
52w Low52w High
6.759.61
Last Week
⁦-1.31%⁩
Last Month
⁦-4.13%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.53%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall92
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 4/7Better than 92% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
89
12.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
90
37.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
64
——Around median
▸
Safety
7
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
89
4.84%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
90
26.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
24
1▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$9.06
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$7.50
⁦-17%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$7.50–$7.50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$7.50
⁦-17.2%⁩
Current Price $9.06·Median $7.50
Low
$7.50
High
$7.50
Street summary

Aegon Ltd. (AEG) Price Target Analysis

Bearish tilt

Aegon stock shows complete stability in its price target at $7.5 over the past 30 days, representing a negative gap of approximately 19% compared to the current price of $9.28. This valuation is based on only one analyst, which eliminates any dispersion in forecasts (Zero Dispersion) but simultaneously indicates limited institutional consensus regarding the current price target.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
2
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time2 analysts rating
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.50 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-01-09
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    12.77x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    37.6%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    59.5%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    4.8%
    0.6%9.0%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    65.0%
    9.8%97.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-20 data

Company Overview

Aegon Ltd. operates in life insurance, retirement, savings and investment solutions, and asset management, with an increasing focus on the U.S. market through Transamerica. The group derives its operating revenue from premiums and protection products, fees on assets under management, spreads on stable value products, and commissions from the World Financial Group network, alongside international operations led by growth in Brazil and an asset management business that generated positive third-party net flows.

In Q2 FY2026, Aegon announced its H1 FY2026 results: the operating result increased 9% year over year to €804 million, and the net result reached €608 million, while operating capital generation after holding company and funding expenses rose 27% and free cash flow reached €392 million. Transamerica recorded an operating result of $756 million, up 14% in local currency after adjusting for the transfer of Transamerica Asset Management, while the operating margin of Global Platforms in asset management increased five percentage points to 20%.

The growth mix was driven by Transamerica, where new life insurance sales rose 54%, life insurance sales through World Financial Group grew 5%, and annuity sales increased 12%, as the network surpassed 100,000 licensed agents. By contrast, new insurance sales in the International segment were broadly stable, as growth in Brazil offset lower sales in China resulting from product repricing. Meanwhile, the available annual EDGAR data show revenue of $21.3 billion and a net loss of $569 million in FY2022, compared with revenue of $21.1 billion and net income of $2 billion in FY2021.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Aegon increased the share buyback program planned for H2 FY2026 by €150 million to €350 million, after executing €227 million of purchases in H1, and also announced an interim dividend of €0.21 per share, up 11% year over year.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Transamerica's new life insurance sales jumped 54% in H1 FY2026, driven by instant-issue Final Expense and Indexed Universal Life products; the time required to complete underwriting and issue a policy fell from weeks to less than 12 minutes.
  • World Financial Group surpassed 100,000 licensed agents, with increases in the number of producing agents and the average premium per policy, supporting annual growth of 5% in life insurance sales and 12% in annuity sales.
  • Operating capital generation reached €416 million in H1 FY2026, and operating capital generation from the Americas increased 35% in local currency, supported by business growth, improved claims experience, and the repositioning of certain savings and investment portfolios into a Bermuda subsidiary.
  • Aegon is targeting an extraordinary general meeting on October 8, 2026, to vote on the relocation, governance amendments, and the Omnibus Equity Plan, with New York City selected as its future headquarters and the legal seat transfer and the holding company's name change to Transamerica targeted for the first weeks of 2028.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The 9% increase in the operating result to €804 million and the 27% rise in operating capital generation indicate simultaneous improvement in profitability and capital formation during H1 FY2026, rather than isolated sales growth.
    • +Holding company cash capital stood at €1.7 billion on June 30, 2026, while the group solvency ratio was 169% and the U.S. risk-based capital ratio was 420%, compared with a target operating level of 400%.
    • +Additions to the contractual service margin from new U.S. business exceeded the amounts released from the existing portfolio for the first time, meaning that the future profit pool of the life insurance business has begun to grow structurally, according to management data.
    • +The new simplified-issue products generate an internal rate of return above 12% and a payback period of approximately eight to nine years on a fully loaded cost basis, with management confirming that underwriting standards have not been relaxed and that additional information is used to price risk.
    • +Capital allocation combines a €350 million share buyback in H2 FY2026 with an 11% higher interim dividend, while management remains committed to ending FY2026 with holding company cash capital of approximately €1 billion.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The long-term care portfolio represents slightly less than 50% of the total required capital within Financial Assets, and its reserves are expected to peak in the early 2030s, keeping a substantial portion of capital tied up for an extended period.
    • −Net deposits in retirement plans turned negative in H1 FY2026 due to the termination of a single contract following the client's merger with a peer company, highlighting the sensitivity of flows to large contract movements even as written sales remained strong.
    • −Rapid growth in life insurance sales increased the new business capital strain, and management expects this strain to remain elevated in H2 FY2026 and did not raise its operating capital generation guidance despite the strong H1 results.
    • −An update to policyholder behavior assumptions reduced valuation equity by €231 million after tax, with an impact on the U.S. of €294 million before tax and $164 million on the risk-based capital ratio, highlighting the sensitivity of results to assumptions regarding lapses, benefit utilization, and premium payment efficiency.
    • −The U.S. risk-based capital ratio declined four percentage points to 420% during H1 FY2026, with market movements contributing a negative impact of 12 percentage points due to the performance of private investments and energy assets, fund basis risk, and interactions between asset classes.
    • −The planned relocation to the U.S. will cost €350 million, of which only approximately 40% had been recognized through Q2 FY2026, while execution requires a shareholder vote on October 8, 2026, the implementation of U.S. GAAP, and the establishment of new headquarters and operations through the end of 2027.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on AEG is "Neutral," with an average price target of $7.50, and the highest and lowest targets both matching that level, indicating the absence of a diverse range of estimates on which to rely. This target falls within the 52-week range of $6.75–$9.61 but is approximately 22% below the top of the range; the conservative valuation reflects a balance between Transamerica's growth and capital returns to shareholders versus new business strain, tied-up capital, and the costs of relocating to the U.S.

    HoldAnalyst target: $7.5(-17.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Aegon's growth in Q2 FY2026?

    The Q2 FY2026 results were included in the H1 announcement, in which the operating result increased 9% to €804 million and operating capital generation rose 27%. Transamerica was the primary driver, with new life insurance sales up 54% and an operating result of $756 million. Favorable financial markets and improved claims experience also supported the results, while free cash flow reached €392 million.

    Why did Transamerica's life insurance sales grow by 54%?

    Transamerica launched a digital instant-issue process for Final Expense products and later for Indexed Universal Life. The process reduced the time required to complete underwriting and issue a policy from several weeks to less than 12 minutes, improving the experience for brokers and agents. World Financial Group surpassing 100,000 licensed agents, along with increases in the number of producing agents and the average premium per policy, also helped.

    Does Aegon have a sufficient capital position to fund share buybacks?

    Holding company cash capital stood at €1.7 billion on June 30, 2026, supported by free cash flow of €392 million. The group solvency ratio was 169%, while the U.S. risk-based capital ratio was 420% versus an operating level of 400%. Based on this position, Aegon increased its H2 FY2026 purchases to €350 million, while targeting year-end cash capital of approximately €1 billion.

    What are the main risks in Aegon's existing insurance portfolio?

    Long-term care represents slightly less than half of the required capital within Financial Assets, and its reserves are expected to peak in the early 2030s. An update to policyholder behavior assumptions also reduced valuation equity by €231 million after tax. The update included assumptions regarding lapses, benefit utilization in variable annuities, and premium payment efficiency in life insurance products.

    What does Aegon's planned relocation to the U.S. involve?

    The company is targeting an extraordinary general meeting on October 8, 2026, to vote on the relocation, governance amendments, and the Omnibus Equity Plan. It has selected New York City as the future headquarters location and is working to implement U.S. GAAP, with operational testing beginning in H2 FY2026. Aegon expects the headquarters and operations to be established gradually through the end of 2027, followed by the transfer of its legal seat and the holding company's name change to Transamerica in the first weeks of 2028.

    How are Aegon's asset management and international businesses performing?

    Aegon Asset Management recorded positive third-party net flows in Global Platforms and Strategic Partnerships during H1 FY2026, despite outflows at Transamerica Asset Management. The Global Platforms operating margin increased five percentage points to 20%, supported by lower expenses and higher revenue. In the International business, new life insurance sales remained broadly stable because growth in Brazil offset the decline in China resulting from product repricing.