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Home
Stocks
Autodesk, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketFalling StarF 8/9SafeBetter than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
40
28.3x▼17.6xBottom tier
▸
Growth
81
17.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
98
25.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
75
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
26
0.00%▼2.15%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
24
-22.5%▼2.3%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
92
19▲3Top tier
ADSK

ADSK Autodesk, Inc.

Autodesk, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
218.85
▲ ⁦+0.88%⁩ (+1.90)
Market Cap$46.2B
Beta1.30
52w Low52w High
185.50326.71
Last Week
⁦-4.40%⁩
Last Month
⁦-12.91%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.91%⁩
Last Year
⁦-31.46%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$219
Analyst target · 9 analysts
$310
⁦+42%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$215–$341⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$192
⁦-12%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦10.1⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$192–$310⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 9 analysts setting price target
$303.44
⁦+38.7%⁩
Current Price $218.85·Median $310.00
Low
$215.00
High
$341.00
Current price
$218.85
Average target
$303.44
Street summary

Goldman Upgrade with Targets Almost Entirely Unchanged

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target has barely changed over the past 30 days, rising from 303.15 to just 303.44, an increase of 0.1%, while the number of analysts remains at 9. The consensus and median, at 303.44 and 310 respectively, remain above the current price of 218.85, while the range extends from 215 to 341, reflecting clear divergence among estimates.

As of 2026-09-21
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
36
Buy conviction
83%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
58%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time36 analysts rating
6
24
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.94 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-21
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-17
    Goldman Sachs
    NeutralOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-09-14
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    28.28x
    7.02x56.18x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    16.07x
    5.21x41.67x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.23x
    4.43x35.48x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.2%
    -54.9%10.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    17.9%
    -18.1%67.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    59.9%
    -155.6%189.9%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    91.2%
    13.2%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    25.1%
    -63.6%26.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.76
    -9.8713.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-27 data

Company Overview

Autodesk develops a software platform that connects design, manufacturing, construction, and operations through a unified data flow, aiming to transform project information into “project intelligence” that extends throughout the asset lifecycle. Its business model is based primarily on subscriptions, while expanding consumption-based usage through Flex, APIs, and automated usage; it delivers its capabilities through the Fusion, Forma, and Flow industry clouds, alongside products such as Vault and Tandem. The acquisition of MaintainX, completed on August 3, 2026, also added an entry point into asset operations and maintenance and connected actual performance with design and construction data.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2027, revenue according to EDGAR data was approximately $2.0 billion, gross profit was $1.9 billion, net income was $492 million, and GAAP earnings per share were $2.33. The company stated that revenue grew 16% as reported and 14% in constant currency, with the new transaction model contributing approximately two percentage points, while adjusted results showed earnings per share of $3.30 versus $2.62 in the comparable period. Operating margin was 29% on a GAAP basis and 41% on a non-GAAP basis, and free cash flow was $561 million.

Operating momentum in Q2 of fiscal year 2027 came from the AECO segments, particularly construction and emerging markets, and management said the construction business is growing by more than 20%. It also pointed to growth in Fusion users, annual contract value, revenue, and multi-seat purchases, while operations became an additional focus following MaintainX. On a trailing twelve-month basis for fiscal year 2027, revenue was $7.8 billion, gross profit was $7.1 billion, net income was $1.6 billion, and earnings per share were approximately $7.78.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Autodesk raised its fiscal year 2027 revenue guidance to a range of $8.295–$8.345 billion and its billings guidance to a range of $8.575–$8.650 billion, following the Q2 fiscal year 2027 outperformance and an improved second-half outlook.
  • MaintainX is expected to add approximately $60 million to fiscal year 2027 second-half revenue and approximately $70 million to billings, with the contribution weighted slightly toward Q4; Autodesk aims to expand the product from manufacturing into AEC and from MaintainX’s current customer base into its enterprise accounts and European markets.
  • The construction business is growing by more than 20%, supported by a Forma for Construction win with a U.S. general contractor ranked among the ENR Top 400, Rudolph Libbe Group’s selection of the Forma Operations suite, and an enterprise agreement using Forma and Tandem to build a digital twin across the North American portfolio of one of the world’s largest retailers.
  • Artificial intelligence capabilities have become a tangible driver for Fusion; management reported growth in user acquisition, annual contract value, revenue, and multi-seat purchases, linking this momentum to the assistant, MCP connectors, and in-product automation. Autodesk uses its specialized models, such as NeuralCAD, alongside external models based on accuracy, speed, and cost requirements.
  • Lowering the minimum Flex purchase from $300 to $99 in June 2026 accelerated adoption among smaller customers, and management said the change had a positive cumulative impact on the business. The company also plans to charge for API and automated usage, expanding consumption-based revenue opportunities.
  • Operating efficiency improved in Q2 of fiscal year 2027; GAAP operating margin increased by approximately four percentage points to 29%, while non-GAAP margin increased by approximately two points to 41%. The company also repurchased approximately 2.1 million shares for $453 million and intends to allocate approximately 50% of free cash flow to repurchases over time.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Q2 of fiscal year 2027 combined reported revenue growth of 16%, a non-GAAP operating margin of 41%, and free cash flow of $561 million, demonstrating the subscription model’s ability to convert growth into profitability and liquidity.
  • +Autodesk is expanding its market from design, manufacturing, and construction into asset operations through MaintainX, with an expected contribution of $60 million to fiscal year 2027 second-half revenue and distribution opportunities across enterprise accounts, Europe, and the AEC sector.
  • +The construction business growing by more than 20%, alongside broader Fusion usage and multi-seat purchases, provides multiple product and sector growth drivers rather than reliance on a single product.
  • +Management raised its fiscal year 2027 revenue and billings outlook, while organic billings growth guidance, excluding currency and transaction-model effects, improved from 8%–9% to 9%–10%, indicating that the increase does not depend entirely on MaintainX.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $309 within a wide range of $260 to $341, with a consensus “Buy” rating; the average is approximately 6% below the 52-week range high of $329.09, while the highest target exceeds that high. With a 52-week range of $185.50 to $329.09 and a price-to-earnings multiple reported at 39.4 times in an August 27, 2026 analysis, the valuation reflects high expectations for sustained growth and margin improvement, while the fiscal year 2027 Q3 earnings-per-share outlook being below analyst estimates and MaintainX’s pressure on margins remain factors limiting the margin for error.

BuyAnalyst target: $309(+41.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Autodesk’s key results in Q2 of fiscal year 2027?

Revenue according to EDGAR data was approximately $2.0 billion, gross profit was $1.9 billion, and net income was $492 million. GAAP earnings per share were $2.33, while adjusted results showed earnings of $3.30 versus $2.62 in the comparable period. The company reported revenue growth of 16% as reported and 14% in constant currency, while operating margin was 29% on a GAAP basis and 41% on a non-GAAP basis. It also generated free cash flow of $561 million during the quarter.

How does the MaintainX acquisition change Autodesk’s growth story?

Autodesk completed the acquisition of MaintainX on August 3, 2026, to expand its platform from design, manufacturing, and construction into asset operations and maintenance. The company expects a contribution of $60 million to fiscal year 2027 second-half revenue and $70 million to billings, with a slight weighting toward Q4. Expansion opportunities include introducing MaintainX to Autodesk’s enterprise accounts, European markets, and the AEC sector after its historical concentration in manufacturing. Conversely, MaintainX was unprofitable at the time of the acquisition, so it pressures operating margin in fiscal year 2027 and adds a full year of costs in fiscal year 2028.

What role does artificial intelligence play in Autodesk’s products, particularly Fusion?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Fiscal year 2027 guidance includes the largest group of EBA agreement renewals concentrated in Q4, while the second half faces a difficult year-over-year comparison following large renewal cohorts in the prior year; therefore, achieving the billings outlook depends partly on executing a large number of renewals within a single period.
  • −Sales productivity had not fully returned to normal in Western Europe by Q2 of fiscal year 2027, as improvement in expansion business there was slower because of consultation periods and mature European markets. Management incorporated a degree of caution into its guidance because of this continuing geographic disparity.
  • −MaintainX was unprofitable at the time of the acquisition and places pressure on operating margin in fiscal year 2027, while Autodesk will bear a full year of its operating expenses and net financing costs in fiscal year 2028. Deal-related accounting effects reduced the expected fiscal year 2027 GAAP operating margin range to 25%–27%, and expected transaction expenses were approximately $45 million.
  • −The fiscal year 2027 Q3 earnings-per-share outlook was below analyst estimates according to an August 28, 2026 report, despite the prior quarter’s outperformance and the raised annual outlook. This shows that improved revenue and billings do not eliminate the risks of weak quarterly profitability or the stock’s sensitivity to the near-term earnings trajectory.
  • −The effect of the new transaction model, which added approximately two percentage points to Q2 fiscal year 2027 revenue growth and an expected approximately 1.5 percentage points to full-year revenue growth, will disappear in fiscal year 2028. Reducing discounts on multi-year contracts also temporarily pressures unbilled deferred revenue and remaining performance obligation growth, potentially making subsequent growth comparisons more difficult.
  • −Increasing artificial intelligence workloads could pressure gross margin over time even if they add dollars to gross profit, according to management. Valuation risk magnifies the effect of any slowdown; an August 27, 2026 analysis reported a price-to-earnings multiple of 39.4 times and an enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple of 27.6 times, leaving limited room for disappointment in results or guidance.
  • Autodesk integrates artificial intelligence-based automation into subscriptions, and Fusion is among the most advanced products in using the assistant and workflow-level automation. Management said Fusion is recording growth in users, annual contract value, revenue, and multi-seat purchases, and that artificial intelligence features and MCP connectors are tailwinds for this growth. The platform uses Autodesk’s specialized models, such as NeuralCAD, alongside external models, selecting the model based on accuracy, speed, and cost. Over the longer term, the company expects part of monetization to shift from subscriptions to consumption through Flex, automated usage, and APIs.

    What is Autodesk’s guidance for fiscal year 2027?

    Autodesk raised its expected revenue range to $8.295–$8.345 billion and its billings range to $8.575–$8.650 billion. It narrowed its free cash flow outlook to $2.725–$2.750 billion after balancing improved core business activity against MaintainX costs and approximately $45 million in transaction expenses. The expected GAAP operating margin range became 25%–27% because of acquisition accounting effects, while non-GAAP margin guidance remained unchanged. The company expects a non-GAAP margin of 39% in fiscal year 2027, modest improvement in fiscal year 2028, and then 41% in fiscal year 2029.

    What are the most important operating risks facing ADSK stock after the Q2 fiscal year 2027 results?

    The largest group of EBA agreement renewals is concentrated in Q4 of fiscal year 2027, increasing the dependence of billings on executing renewals within a limited period. The recovery in sales productivity also remained slower in Western Europe through August 27, 2026, compared with the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Eastern Europe, and the Middle East. Reports on August 28, 2026 showed that the fiscal year 2027 Q3 earnings-per-share outlook was below analyst estimates despite the raised annual outlook. In addition, the effect of the new transaction model, which supported fiscal year 2027 revenue growth by approximately 1.5 percentage points, will not recur in fiscal year 2028.

    Do insider purchases support the outlook for Autodesk?

    The available insider activity signal is classified as a “Strong Buy,” with net purchases of $1.4 million over three months. The period included three purchases and no recorded sales, with the latest transaction dated June 23, 2026. These data provide a supportive signal alongside the company’s repurchase of 2.1 million shares for $453 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2027. However, operating results, guidance, MaintainX margins, and EBA renewals remain more influential in assessing the financial trajectory than insider activity alone.