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Stocks
Analog Devices, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall86
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeBetter than 86% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
18
44.9x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
80
33.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
80
10.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
86
0.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
53
1.10%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
74
62.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
68
18▲3Top tier
ADI

ADI Analog Devices, Inc.

Analog Devices, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
378.78
▲ ⁦+4.85%⁩ (+17.53)
Market Cap$184.5B
Beta1.21
52w Low52w High
223.47438.65
Last Week
⁦+6.49%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.86%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-8.58%⁩
Last Year
⁦+63.58%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$379
Analyst target · 13 analysts
$465
⁦+23%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$405–$675⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$194
⁦-49%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.8⁩% discount · ⁦9⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$194–$465⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 13 analysts setting price target
$480.24
⁦+26.8%⁩
Current Price $378.78·Median $465.00
Low
$405.00
High
$675.00
Current price
$378.78
Average target
$480.24
Street summary

Higher ADI Price Targets with Wide Dispersion

The average price target rose from 454.76 to 480.24 over the last 30 days, an increase of 25.48 or 5.6%, while the number of analysts remained at 13. However, the average declined marginally over the last 7 days by 1.01 or 0.21%, while it remained unchanged over the last day. The range is between 405 and 675, with a median of 465 versus an average of 480.24, reflecting clear dispersion and a relative impact from the high estimates.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.12
Buy
Analyst coverage
34
Buy conviction
91%
High
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
71%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time34 analysts rating
7
24
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.80 → 4.12
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-20
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    44.93x
    6.87x54.92x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    26.21x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    29.53x
    4.52x36.15x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.7%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    33.6%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    115.1%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    65.8%
    12.9%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    10.3%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.90x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    49.4%
    4.4%96.7%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    8.42
    -10.9113.66
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-19 data

Company Overview

Analog Devices designs semiconductors that bridge the physical world and digital systems, generating revenue from power management, sensing, data conversion, timing, monitoring, and optical connectivity solutions. Its portfolio serves the industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets, with growing expansion into AI infrastructure from the power grid to the processor, including grid monitoring, battery management, rack and processor power, and precision control of optical modules.

Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue reached approximately $4.02 billion, up 11% sequentially and 40% year over year, marking the first quarter above $4 billion in the company's history. According to EDGAR data, gross profit was approximately $2.7 billion, net income was approximately $1.3 billion, and earnings per share were $2.74, while the company reported on a non-GAAP basis a gross margin of 72.5%, an operating margin of 50%, and record adjusted earnings per share of $3.45.

Industrial represented 49% of fiscal Q3 2026 revenue and grew 53% year over year, automotive represented 25% and grew 16%, communications represented 16% and grew 84%, and consumer represented 10% and grew 6%. Data centers accounted for 80% of communications revenue, with year-over-year growth exceeding 100% in both power and optical solutions, making industrial and data centers the most prominent drivers of the profit mix.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Analog Devices raised its fiscal Q4 2026 outlook to revenue of $4.3 billion, plus or minus $100 million, an adjusted operating margin midpoint of 52%, plus or minus 100 basis points, and adjusted earnings per share of $3.86, plus or minus $0.15.
  • Data center activity accelerated in fiscal Q3 2026, becoming 80% of the communications segment, while power and optical solutions recorded year-over-year growth exceeding 100%. Management expects strong growth from the transition to optical networks at speeds ranging from 800 gigabits to 3.2 terabits per second and from the shift in power distribution to an 800-volt direct-current architecture.
  • The company aims to nearly double revenue from OCS optical switching solutions during fiscal 2026 and achieve a similar level of growth in 2027, based on design wins and customer commitments. It also believes its available data center and power market in 2030 has increased to more than twice its estimate from one year ago.
  • The Empower Semiconductor transaction, which closed on July 7, 2026, for $1.5 billion in cash, strengthens ADI's ability to integrate power solutions into the processor package itself. The company says this architecture could reduce computing power consumption and heat by approximately 10% to 15%, equivalent to annual savings of nearly $30 million for a one-gigawatt data center.
  • Free cash flow for the twelve months ended fiscal Q3 2026 reached a record $4.9 billion, or 36% of revenue. At the same time, management expects benefits from the Maxim transaction to reach approximately $700 million in fiscal 2026 and $1 billion or more in 2027.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +ADI combines a broad cyclical recovery with structural growth in AI and defense; fiscal Q3 2026 revenue rose 40% year over year as all end markets grew, led by industrial growth of 53% and communications growth of 84%.
  • +The company's grid-to-processor strategy provides exposure to multiple layers of AI spending, from the power business generating more than $500 million in revenue to in-rack and processor power and optical control. Management expects the power business to double by the end of the decade and data center growth to remain at strong double-digit rates through at least 2030.
  • +The adjusted gross margin of 72.5% and adjusted operating margin of 50% in fiscal Q3 2026 reflect the company's ability to convert revenue growth and a higher-value mix into earnings. The fiscal Q4 2026 outlook indicates a gross margin of approximately 74% and an operating margin midpoint of 52%.
  • +Record free cash flow of $4.9 billion over the last twelve months provides financial capacity to fund research and development, dividends, and share repurchases. The company returned more than 100% of free cash flow to shareholders during the same period, while net leverage remained at 0.9 following the Empower acquisition.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $481.25, within a wide range of $405 to $675, compared with a consensus Buy rating; the average also exceeds the 52-week range high of $445.91, reflecting expectations for continued earnings and data center growth. Conversely, the breadth of the target range compared with the 52-week range of $223.47 to $445.91 indicates significant variation in assessments of the sustainability of the AI and margin boom, and the provided information does not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple for direct comparison.

BuyAnalyst target: $481.25(+27.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove ADI's fiscal Q3 2026 results?

Revenue reached $4.02 billion, up 11% sequentially and 40% year over year, exceeding the high end of the company's outlook. Industrial grew 53% year over year and communications grew 84%, while automotive rose 16% and consumer rose 6%. This mix contributed to an adjusted gross margin of 72.5%, an adjusted operating margin of 50%, and record adjusted earnings per share of $3.45.

How large is Analog Devices' exposure to AI and data centers?

In fiscal Q3 2026, data centers represented 80% of communications segment revenue, which in turn accounted for 16% of total revenue. The data center power and optical businesses grew by more than 100% year over year, while data centers and ATE together represent approximately 20% of ADI. Management believes the company's available data center and power market in 2030 has grown to more than twice its estimate from one year ago.

How does ADI benefit from the power consumption challenge in AI data centers?

ADI provides solutions ranging from grid monitoring and battery management to in-rack power conversion and delivery to the processor. Its technologies target conversion efficiency exceeding 98%, power capacity of 20 kilowatts, and density exceeding 2.5 kilowatts per cubic inch within an 800-volt architecture. Following the closing of the Empower Semiconductor acquisition on July 7, 2026, the company gained the ability to integrate power into the processor package, potentially reducing consumption and heat by approximately 10% to 15%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −A growing portion of momentum depends on the continuation of massive spending on AI infrastructure; data centers have become 80% of communications revenue, while data centers and ATE semiconductor testing together represent 20% of ADI's business. Management acknowledged that a slowdown or decline in AI capital spending could pressure the growth trajectory.
  • −Large portions of ADI's business remain cyclical, and management explicitly distinguishes between AI and defense drivers and the cyclical recovery in broader markets. A shift in the macroeconomy, higher interest rates, or escalating geopolitical risks could weaken the demand underpinning expectations for rapid growth in fiscal 2027.
  • −Balance-sheet inventory increased by $83 million during fiscal Q3 2026 to a record level, while distributor inventory also rose in preparation for accelerating demand. Although inventory days declined to 156 and the book-to-bill ratio remained above one, a demand slowdown could turn this intentional build into a burden on capital and the operating mix.
  • −Management expects inflation and cost increases to persist, while seasonal factory shutdowns in Q1 pressure gross margin, and it sees little significant additional benefit from raising factory utilization beyond its already high levels. It aims to maintain a margin of approximately 74% as long as revenue volume and mix align with expectations, making the margin sensitive to weakness in either.
  • −Analog Devices disclosed two separate security incidents on July 30, 2026: unauthorized access detected on June 23, and public reports the company became aware of on July 26 concerning a second incident unrelated to the first. The ultimate financial impact was not determined in the provided information, but multiple incidents create potential exposure involving intellectual property, business continuity, and legal or regulatory proceedings.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 5, 2026, recorded net sales of $28.2 million across 72 sales and no purchases. This is a secondary trading signal rather than independent evidence of business weakness, because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures indicate otherwise.
What is Analog Devices' outlook for fiscal Q4 2026?

The company expects revenue of $4.3 billion, plus or minus $100 million. The adjusted operating margin midpoint outlook is 52%, plus or minus 100 basis points, with expected gross margin of approximately 74%. It also expects adjusted earnings per share of $3.86, plus or minus $0.15, non-operating expenses of approximately $80 million, and a tax rate between 12% and 14%.

What are the key risks to monitor for ADI stock?

The key risk is a slowdown in AI capital spending after data centers became 80% of communications revenue and power and optical solutions recorded growth exceeding 100%. Risks also include persistent inflation, pressure from seasonal factory shutdowns on Q1 margin, and the $83 million inventory increase in fiscal Q3 2026. In addition, there are the two security incidents disclosed on July 30, 2026, as well as the geopolitical risks and higher interest rates cited by management.

What does ADI's acquisition of Empower Semiconductor mean?

Analog Devices closed the transaction on July 7, 2026, and paid $1.5 billion in cash, reducing cash and short-term investments to $2.3 billion. Empower expands ADI's portfolio of vertical power solutions by moving power management inside the processor package. The company estimates that this architecture could save approximately $30 million annually for a one-gigawatt data center by reducing computing power consumption and heat by approximately 10% to 15%.