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Stocks
Albertsons Companies, Inc.
ACI

ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc.

Albertsons Companies, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
12.08
▲ ⁦+3.25%⁩ (+0.38)
Market Cap$5.9B
Beta0.25
52w Low52w High
10.8620.00
Last Week
⁦-3.21%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.39%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-23.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦-37.44%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall36
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 5/9SafeInsider cluster buyBetter than 36% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
75.5x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
14
2.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
54
3.1%▼4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
35
6.9x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
62
4.97%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
6
-37.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
84
12▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$12
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$12
⁦-1%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$10–$19⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$5.42
⁦-55%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$5.42–$12⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$13.36
⁦+10.6%⁩
Current Price $12.08·Median $12.00
Low
$10.00
High
$19.00
Current price
$12.08
Average target
$13.36
Street summary

Sharp decline in price expectations for Albertsons stock

Bearish tilt

Albertsons (ACI) stock has seen a significant negative shift in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target plummeting by 31.13% to reach $13.36. This decline was accompanied by a wave of downgrades from major institutions such as UBS, Citigroup, and BMO Capital, which moved from a Buy recommendation to Neutral, reflecting a clear decrease in confidence regarding the stock's near-term price performance compared to levels at the beginning of July.

As of 2026-08-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.26
Hold
Analyst coverage
19
Buy conviction
32%
Target dispersion
75%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time19 analysts rating
2
4
11
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.53 → 3.26
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-27
    UBS
    BuyNeutral
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-07-27
    Citigroup
    BuyNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Roth MKM
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    75.50x
    4.61x36.85x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    5.03x
    3.86x30.86x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.63x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.4%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.7%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -90.2%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    27.0%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    3.1%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.88x
    0.61x4.86x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    5.0%
    0.9%8.3%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    375.0%
    15.9%176.6%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.32
    -4.825.90
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

Albertsons Companies operates a network of more than 2,200 grocery stores, combining physical stores, pharmacies, e-commerce, a loyalty program, and a media business. The company relies on the proximity of its stores to customers and its selection of fresh products, alongside its own brands such as Signature Select, Lucerne, and O Organics, which aim to increase sales penetration to 30%. It also generates growth from digital delivery, particularly Flash Delivery, as well as pharmacy services and targeted advertising based on data from tens of millions of loyalty households.

In fiscal year 2025, revenue reached $83.2 billion and gross profit was $22.6 billion, while net income was limited to $217.4 million and earnings per share were $0.40. In Q4 of fiscal year 2025, the company recorded revenue of $20.3 billion and gross profit of $5.5 billion, but incurred a net loss of $480.8 million. This demonstrates the scale of the business relative to the weak conversion of sales into net profit during that period.

In Q1 of fiscal year 2026, identical sales declined 0.8%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $1.013 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $0.42. Gross margin, excluding fuel and LIFO, declined by 23 basis points to 26.6%, while the selling and administrative expense ratio increased by 42 basis points. In contrast, digital sales grew 13% and their penetration approached 10.5%, while e-commerce became profitable during the quarter, and pharmacy, the loyalty platform, and the media business remained the main drivers of the growing mix.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The ACI Edge plan represents the most important operational driver, reducing the structure from 11 divisions to four regions and consolidating central merchandising into a single organization; management expects approximately $200 million in additional annual benefits, with savings building during fiscal year 2026 and most of them being realized in fiscal year 2027.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Digital sales grew 13% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026 and reached approximately 10.5% penetration, while e-commerce achieved profitability due to increased order density and improved fulfillment productivity. Flash Delivery continued to be the fastest-growing part of the digital offering, supporting repeat purchases and customer retention.
  • The company targets achieving more than one-third of a total $2 billion productivity program during fiscal year 2026, while ACI Edge adds expected savings of $200 million on top of that program. Albertsons intends to reinvest these savings in pricing, fresh products, personalization, and digital services instead of converting them entirely into short-term profits.
  • Artificial intelligence investments focus on the digital customer experience, merchandising intelligence, labor optimization, and supply chain optimization, with partnerships including Google, OpenAI, and Microsoft. The company plans to roll out its artificial intelligence-powered workforce management platform across the enterprise in early 2027, alongside the development of a unified forecasting, demand, and replenishment platform.
  • Albertsons increased its dividend by 13% at its annual meeting held on August 6, 2026, after returning more than $300 million to shareholders during Q1 of fiscal year 2026, including approximately $225 million in share repurchases and $84 million in dividends. Insider transactions during the three months ended July 31, 2026 also showed four purchases and no sales, for net purchases of $2.5 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The company's operating scale provides a strong foundation for improvement; it generated $83.2 billion in revenue in fiscal year 2025, while ACI Edge targets adding approximately $200 million in annual benefits to an existing $2 billion productivity program.
    • +Digital growth of 13% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026 combines revenue expansion with improving economics, after e-commerce became profitable and Flash Delivery continued to record the fastest growth within the digital offering.
    • +A network of more than 2,200 stores and tens of millions of loyalty households enables personalized offers and the integration of grocery, pharmacy, e-commerce, and advertising, while higher-margin own brands target reaching 30% sales penetration.
    • +Capital allocation supports the shareholder case, as Q1 of fiscal year 2026 returns included approximately $225 million in share repurchases and $84 million in dividends, followed by the announcement of a 13% dividend increase on August 6, 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The core grocery business is experiencing weak demand, with identical sales declining 0.8% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, alongside lower units and basket sizes among lower-income customers and spending leakage to Walmart, Amazon, and some price-oriented competitors.
    • −Fiscal year 2026 guidance has become more conservative, with the company expecting identical sales to decline between 0.5% and 1.5%, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $3.55 billion and $3.625 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of between $1.75 and $1.85. Management said unit improvement would be gradual and limited, and that the impact of measures aimed at returning toward the targeted 2% identical sales growth would begin to appear during 2027.
    • −Profit margins face dual pressure from mix and investment, as gross margin declined 23 basis points to 26.6% and the selling and administrative expense ratio increased 42 basis points in Q1 of fiscal year 2026. Although e-commerce reached profitability, its margin remains lower than traditional grocery, while investments in pricing and value pressure earnings in the near term.
    • −The Inflation Reduction Act represents a tangible regulatory burden on pharmacy; it reduced identical sales by approximately 100 basis points in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, and the company expects a full-year impact of 150 basis points. This is compounded by the shift from branded drugs to generic alternatives, which pressures reported sales despite growth in prescriptions, vaccinations, and clinical services.
    • −Management expects supplier cost increases to accelerate during the second half of fiscal year 2026, but it does not intend to pass the full amount of inflation on to customers. Absorbing part of the increases could lead to further margin compression if not offset by productivity savings or supplier concessions.
    • −The ACI Edge reorganization carries execution risks and transition costs, as the company moves from 11 divisions to four regions and estimates transformation costs of approximately $50 million during fiscal years 2026 and 2027. The increase in expenses in Q1 of fiscal year 2026 also included business transformation costs and merger-related litigation expenses, adding pressure before most of the savings are realized in fiscal year 2027.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on ACI is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $13.36 and a wide range between $10 and $19; the average is below the $20 upper end of the stock's 52-week range, while the highest target is close to that level. No usable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, and the wide range of targets reflects uncertainty between the opportunity from ACI Edge's $200 million in savings and declining identical sales, margin pressures, and more conservative fiscal year 2026 guidance.

    HoldAnalyst target: $13.36(+10.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Albertsons' performance decline in Q1 of fiscal year 2026?

    Identical sales declined 0.8% due to weak grocery segment units and greater pressure on lower-income customers. The Inflation Reduction Act reduced the result by approximately 100 basis points, while price deflation added a 50-basis-point burden. Excluding these two factors, identical sales increased approximately 0.7%, supported by growth in pharmacy prescriptions and digital sales.

    What is the ACI Edge plan, and what is its expected financial impact?

    ACI Edge is reorganizing Albertsons from 11 divisions into four regions: California, West, South, and East, while consolidating central merchandising. Management expects the plan to generate approximately $200 million in additional annual benefits, with savings building during fiscal year 2026 and most of them being realized in fiscal year 2027. Transition costs are estimated at approximately $50 million during fiscal years 2026 and 2027, and the company intends to reinvest the savings in value, personalization, digital services, and fresh products.

    Has Albertsons' digital business become profitable?

    Digital sales grew 13% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, and their penetration increased to approximately 10.5% of sales. The company announced that e-commerce, including direct and third-party operations, achieved profitability during the quarter due to order density and fulfillment productivity. However, the e-commerce margin rate remains lower than traditional grocery, so its rapid growth created mix pressure on gross margin.

    What is Albertsons' guidance for fiscal year 2026?

    The company expects identical sales to decline between 0.5% and 1.5%, or to grow between zero and 1% when excluding the expected 150-basis-point pharmacy burden. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization are expected to range between $3.55 billion and $3.625 billion, with adjusted earnings per share between $1.75 and $1.85. It also expects capital expenditures of between $1.9 billion and $2 billion, while its earnings-per-share outlook includes approximately $600 million in share repurchases during fiscal year 2026.

    How is Albertsons using artificial intelligence to improve its business?

    The company identified four enterprise priorities for artificial intelligence: the digital customer experience, merchandising intelligence, labor optimization, and supply chain optimization. The tools are used in conversational search, planning, promotions, and inventory forecasting, and Albertsons works with Google, OpenAI, and Microsoft to reach customers through additional channels. It also targets rolling out its artificial intelligence-powered workforce management platform in early 2027 and is developing a unified engine that combines demand planning, supply planning, and replenishment.

    What is Albertsons paying shareholders, and what does insider activity indicate?

    The company returned more than $300 million to shareholders in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, including approximately $225 million in share repurchases and $84 million in dividends. On August 6, 2026, it announced a 13% dividend increase, while its fiscal year 2026 outlook includes approximately $600 million in share repurchases. During the three months ended July 31, 2026, insiders recorded four purchases and no sales, for a net $2.5 million, which is a supportive signal but does not eliminate the risks of weak demand and margins.