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Home
Stocks
Airbnb, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/8Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
21
38.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
71
13.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
98
20.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
69
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
40
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
88
48.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
72
28▲3Top tier
ABNB

ABNB Airbnb, Inc.

Airbnb, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
170.19
▲ ⁦+1.52%⁩ (+2.54)
Market Cap$99.5B
Beta1.14
52w Low52w High
110.81193.45
Last Week
⁦-7.13%⁩
Last Month
⁦-8.00%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+31.83%⁩
Last Year
⁦+37.46%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$170
Analyst target · 10 analysts
$180
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$125–$220⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$141
⁦-17%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦9.4⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$141–$180⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 10 analysts setting price target
$177.77
⁦+4.5%⁩
Current Price $170.19·Median $180.00
Low
$125.00
High
$220.00
Current price
$170.19
Average target
$177.77
Street summary

Gradual Increase in Price Targets with Clear Divergence

The consensus price target rose from 169.65 to 177.77 over the last 30 days, an increase of $8.12 or 4.79%, then increased by $2.27 over the last 7 days. The consensus did not change over the last day, while the number of analysts remained at 10. The consensus is above the current price of 170.19, while the target range is between 125 and 220, reflecting a wide dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.53
Buy
Analyst coverage
45
Buy conviction
53%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
56%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time45 analysts rating
4
20
18
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.23 → 3.53
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    Raymond James
    Strong BuyOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.50x
    4.56x36.49x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    31.34x
    3.79x30.29x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    39.90x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    4.8%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    13.6%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    5.2%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    82.9%
    12.0%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    20.0%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Airbnb operates a travel platform that connects guests with hosts of homes, hotels, experiences, and services, and generates revenue from service fees associated with bookings completed through the platform. Homes remain the core business and the largest near-term growth driver, while the company is expanding its scope through independent and boutique hotels, Airbnb Experiences, and services such as car rentals, grocery delivery, airport transportation, and luggage storage. In Q2 fiscal 2026, hotels still accounted for a single-digit percentage of nights booked, but grew at approximately three times the growth rate of the homes business, while approximately 35% of first-time hotel guests later returned to book a home through Airbnb.

Q2 fiscal 2026 generated revenue of $3.6 billion, up 17% year over year, and gross booking value of $27.2 billion, up 16%, while nights and seats booked increased 10%. Net income was $816 million, adjusted EBITDA was $1.3 billion at a 35% margin, expanding by more than 100 basis points, and free cash flow was $1.3 billion. On a trailing-twelve-month basis ending in fiscal 2026, EDGAR data showed revenue of $12.6 billion, gross profit of $10.5 billion, net income of $2.5 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $4.14.

Demand momentum broadened geographically in Q2 fiscal 2026; North America and Europe recorded high-single-digit growth in nights and seats booked, compared with approximately 20% in Latin America and high-teens growth in Asia Pacific. Nights booked through the Airbnb app grew 23% and represented 64% of the total, compared with 59% a year earlier, while growth in first-time bookers accelerated to 11%, the highest rate in four years. A 5% increase in average daily rate, or 4% excluding currency effects, contributed to gross booking value growth, with notable strength in North America and Europe.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Airbnb raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to year-over-year revenue growth of at least the mid-teens, compared with prior guidance in the low-to-mid teens, and raised the minimum adjusted EBITDA margin to 35.5% from 35%. For Q3 fiscal 2026, the company expects revenue between $4.69 billion and $4.77 billion, equivalent to growth of between 15% and 17%.
  • Artificial intelligence has become a tangible driver of conversion and efficiency; Airbnb reduced the time from idea to launch by as much as 60% and increased the number of features and improvements shipped during the first half of fiscal 2026 by approximately 80% compared with the same period in the prior year. The AI-powered assistant, available in more than 50 languages, resolves approximately 45% of cases initiated through it without human employee intervention, helping reduce customer support cost per booking by approximately 16% in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • Reserve Now, Pay Later supported demand and conversion; more than 20% of gross booking value passed through it in Q2 fiscal 2026, and it contributed to increased bookings, longer booking lead times, and a higher average daily rate. In July 2026, the company expanded the types of bookings eligible for this feature while simplifying login and payment processes and cancellation policies.
  • Hotels are expanding faster than the core business; Airbnb added thousands of boutique and independent hotels, and hotel-night growth reached approximately three times home-night growth despite remaining a single-digit percentage of total nights. Supply acquisition efforts target approximately 20 major cities, while the return of 35% of first-time hotel guests to book a home indicates that hotels could strengthen the core business rather than merely generate revenue from a separate category.
  • The supply of Airbnb Experiences increased by approximately 80% year over year during Q2 fiscal 2026 after 1,000 new experiences were added in the highest-demand categories, and bookings accelerated both annually and sequentially. In services, Brian Chesky described car rentals as the largest opportunity by size, with plans to expand it globally, while other major services rely on partnerships under which the provider bears most of the operating cost.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Performance combines double-digit growth with improving profitability; Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue increased 17%, the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by more than 100 basis points to 35%, and the company generated $4.8 billion of free cash flow over the trailing twelve months at a 37% margin.
  • +The platform is showing improvement in user acquisition and engagement; first-time bookers grew 11%, expansion markets accelerated at approximately twice the rate of core markets, and the app's share increased to 64% of nights booked. Certain core markets, including the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Australia, also accelerated in Q2 fiscal 2026.
  • +The combination of homes, hotels, services, and experiences could expand Airbnb's share of trip spending; hotel nights are growing at three times the rate of the homes business, more than 20% of gross booking value benefited from Reserve Now, Pay Later, and the supply of experiences increased by nearly 80%. These initiatives support the company's plan to become an integrated platform for travel needs rather than being limited to home bookings.
  • +AI-driven efficiency provides measurable operating leverage; customer support cost per booking declined by approximately 16%, while product development speed and the number of improvements shipped increased. Fiscal 2026 guidance incorporated a material increase in AI spending while raising the adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to at least 35.5%.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $172.6 with a "Buy" consensus, and the target range extends from $125 to $217; the average therefore sits below the 52-week range high of $193.453, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target is close to the range low of $110.81. On August 7, 2026, Wedbush upgraded ABNB to "Outperform" and set a $200 target, while Evercore ISI raised its target to $190, but the wide gap between the lowest and highest consensus targets reflects meaningful disagreement about the sustainability of growth and the returns on spending on AI and new businesses.

BuyAnalyst target: $172.6(+1.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Airbnb's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

Revenue grew 17% to $3.6 billion, gross booking value increased 16% to $27.2 billion, and nights and seats booked rose 10%. Results benefited from improvements to search, login, and payment, as well as Reserve Now, Pay Later, which accounted for more than 20% of gross booking value. Average daily rate also increased 5%, or 4% excluding currency effects, with strength in North America and Europe. Net income was $816 million, while adjusted EBITDA was $1.3 billion at a 35% margin.

How is Airbnb using artificial intelligence to increase bookings and reduce costs?

Airbnb uses AI to highlight listing attributes and guest reviews and to improve search, personalization, and host pricing, and in August 2026 it began testing natural-language search with a small percentage of traffic. These tools reduced development time for certain initiatives by as much as 60% and increased the features and improvements shipped in the first half of fiscal 2026 by approximately 80%. The AI assistant resolves approximately 45% of issues initiated through it without a human employee and is available in more than 50 languages. This contributed to an approximately 16% decline in customer support cost per booking in Q2 fiscal 2026.

Have hotels become a meaningful business for Airbnb?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Airbnb's business remains heavily dependent on homes, while hotels still account for a single-digit percentage of nights and experiences remain a small business with a multiyear growth horizon. Therefore, a slowdown in demand for home accommodations may not be offset quickly by the new businesses, even with hotels growing at three times the rate of homes and the supply of experiences increasing by approximately 80%.
  • −Management described AI as an existential risk to Airbnb and other companies, highlighting the possibility of changes in how consumers discover travel services and intensifying competition for the planning and booking interface. CarTrawler, the car-rental partner, was also acquired by Expedia, and although management expressed confidence that the partnership would continue and that the transaction would not affect its acquisition strategy, the relationship is now tied to a competing owner.
  • −Airbnb expects the adjusted EBITDA margin to decline slightly year over year in Q3 fiscal 2026 because of the timing of investments. Guidance also includes a material increase in AI spending and continued investment in sales and marketing, which may limit quarterly margin expansion despite the higher full-year forecast.
  • −Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue growth guidance of between 15% and 17% indicates that the low end could be slower than Q2 growth of 17%, with management acknowledging that comparisons will become more difficult in the second half of fiscal 2026. Guidance also includes support of approximately three percentage points from foreign exchange rates, meaning that part of the reported growth does not reflect organic operating expansion.
  • −Conflicts and local policies remain sources of exposure for the travel business; the conflict in the Middle East affected Europe during Q1 fiscal 2026, although its Q2 impact was less than the company expected, and management described policy risks as ongoing and requiring continuous management. Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance does not assume a significant impact from the conflict, so renewed disruption could cause results to deviate from expectations.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ended August 25, 2026 recorded net sales of $841.8 million across 153 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context does not clarify the motivations for the transactions, but it remains a factor worth monitoring after the stock reached elevated levels within its annual range.

Hotels still represented a single-digit percentage of total nights booked in Q2 fiscal 2026, so they remain much smaller than the homes business. However, they are growing at approximately three times the growth rate of homes, and the company added thousands of boutique and independent hotels while expanding supply acquisition efforts to approximately 20 major cities. Approximately 35% of first-time hotel guests return to Airbnb to book a home, indicating that hotels may bring new users to the core business. Featured hotels offer a price-match guarantee and credit of up to 15% for use on subsequent bookings.

How important is Reserve Now, Pay Later to ABNB's growth?

Bookings using Reserve Now, Pay Later represented more than 20% of gross booking value in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management said the feature increased bookings and booking lead times and contributed to a higher average daily rate, while also attracting users who knew Airbnb but had not previously booked through it. In July 2026, the company expanded the types of bookings eligible for the feature. On the other hand, the feature delays the collection of guest payments until closer to the stay, affecting the timing of unearned fees and cash flows.

What is Airbnb's outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026?

For Q3 fiscal 2026, the company expects revenue between $4.69 billion and $4.77 billion, equivalent to annual growth of between 15% and 17%, including support of approximately three percentage points from foreign exchange rates. It expects gross booking value growth in the mid-teens, driven by low-teens growth in nights and seats booked and a moderate increase in average daily rate. For fiscal 2026, Airbnb raised its revenue growth forecast to at least the mid-teens and raised the minimum adjusted EBITDA margin to 35.5%. However, it expects the Q3 margin to decline slightly from the comparable quarter of fiscal 2025 because of the timing of investments.

What are the main risks to monitor in ABNB stock?

Airbnb depends on the homes business in the near term because hotels still account for a single-digit percentage of nights and experiences remain small with a multiyear horizon. Brian Chesky also described AI as an existential risk, alongside a material increase in spending on it during fiscal 2026, despite early gains in conversion and customer service. Risks also include geopolitical conflicts and local regulatory policies, as well as an expected slight decline in the adjusted EBITDA margin in Q3 fiscal 2026. Insiders recorded net sales of $841.8 million during the three months through August 25, 2026, but these sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to support a negative thesis.