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Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
ABG

ABG Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
208.50
▼ ⁦-0.15%⁩ (-0.31)
Market Cap$3.9B
Beta0.72
52w Low52w High
172.01258.75
Last Week
⁦-2.14%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.36%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.23%⁩
Last Year
⁦-17.89%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall67
Strong — clearly above market medianContrarianF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 67% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
95
7.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
44
4.1%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
50
8.3%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
50
4.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
51
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
45
-17.1%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
62
7▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$209
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$254
⁦+22%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$220–$300⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$259
⁦+24%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$254–$259⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$257.80
⁦+23.6%⁩
Current Price $208.50·Median $254.00
Low
$220.00
High
$300.00
Current price
$208.50
Average target
$257.80
Street summary

Target price consensus rises with limited dispersion

Bullish tilt

The consensus target price for the stock rose to 257.8 from 247.25 over the last 7 and 30 days, an increase of 10.55 or 4.27%, while the number of analysts remained at 4. The consensus was unchanged over the last day. Current targets range between 220 and 300, with a median of 254, reflecting relatively clear dispersion despite all targets being above the current price of 208.5.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.18
Hold
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
27%
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
38%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
2
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.22 → 3.18
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-08
    Seaport Global
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-10
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    7.79x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    7.53x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.49x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    13.3%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.1%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -2.4%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    17.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    8.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.19x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.52
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-28 data

Company Overview

Asbury Automotive Group operates as an automotive dealership group, generating revenue from the sale of new and used vehicles, along with financing and insurance, parts and service, and Total Care Auto products. In Q2 FY2026, new-vehicle gross profit per vehicle retailed was $2.9 thousand on a same-store basis, used-vehicle gross profit per vehicle retailed was $1.93 thousand, and financing and insurance gross profit per vehicle retailed was $2.21 thousand, bringing total front-end gross profit per vehicle retailed to $4.7 thousand.

In Q2 FY2026, the company reported revenue of $4.4 billion and gross profit of $753.1 million, with a gross margin of 17.2%. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $114.6 million, and earnings per share were $6.25, while management reported adjusted net income of $125 million, adjusted earnings per share of $6.82, and an adjusted operating margin of 5.3%.

The business mix showed clear divergence in Q2 FY2026; same-store new-vehicle units declined 6%, used-vehicle volume declined 14%, while customer-pay service activity was flat and total parts and service gross profit declined slightly. Within new vehicles, luxury volume declined 10% and domestic volume declined 16%, while imports were flat, and new- and used-vehicle inventories stood at 53 days and 37 days, respectively.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The Tekion platform rollout reached 70% of the store base by July 28, 2026, and management expected to complete the rollout by October 2026. At stores that had been live for at least five months following conversion, average units per salesperson increased 12% and dollars per technician increased 10% during June 2026, providing early operational evidence of productivity gains.
  • Expense control improved in Q2 FY2026; adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses were 66% of gross profit on an all-store basis, an improvement of 260 basis points from Q1 FY2026. Management is targeting a ratio in the low 60s by the end of 2027 after the Tekion rollout is completed and its use matures.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The used-vehicle strategy began shifting from maximizing profit per unit to increasing volume while maintaining a healthy return; the company purchased approximately 6.5 thousand vehicles from auctions during Q2 FY2026, and its inventory increased from 30 to 37 days, while 70% of inventory remained less than 30 days old. Management expects year-over-year volume growth to emerge in Q4 FY2026.
  • The service business began showing improvement following pressure from the technology conversion; same-store fixed gross profit grew 4% in June 2026, and July 2026 continued at a similar pace. Management believes low- to mid-single-digit growth in customer-pay service is achievable in Q3 FY2026.
  • Share repurchases supported earnings for existing shareholders; the company purchased 668 thousand shares for $131 million in Q2 FY2026, and total purchases in the first half reached 1.35 million shares for $278 million, equivalent to 7% of the share count at the end of 2025.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Tekion's early results provide a measurable thesis for efficiency improvement: sales manager productivity at Koons stores increased 14.2% and financing and insurance manager productivity increased 15.2% sequentially, alongside 10% growth in dollars per technician in markets that were more mature on the platform.
    • +Cash generation continues to support the operational transformation; Asbury generated adjusted operating cash flow of $305 million and adjusted free cash flow of $188 million during the first half of FY2026, and ended the quarter with liquidity of $966 million.
    • +The used-vehicle business offers room for recovery from a low volume base; despite a 14% decline in units, gross profit per used vehicle retailed increased 5% sequentially to $1.93 thousand. Lease returns and certified loaner vehicles also provide alternative inventory sources to auctions, with management expecting year-over-year volume growth in Q4 FY2026.
    • +Trailing-twelve-month 2026 data show substantial scale and profitability, with revenue of $18.0 billion, gross profit of $3.1 billion, net income of $509.5 million, and earnings per share of $27.84. These earnings were achieved despite Tekion implementation costs, duplicate systems, and pressure on vehicle volumes in Q2 FY2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The vehicle sales business is experiencing material volume weakness; same-store new-vehicle units declined 6% and used-vehicle units declined 14% in Q2 FY2026, with luxury down 10%, domestic down 16%, and the Stellantis portfolio down 28%. Net income according to EDGAR also declined from $187.8 million in Q1 FY2026 to $114.6 million in Q2 FY2026.
    • −Tekion execution remains a source of operational and expense risk until the rollout is complete; 30% of stores had not yet converted as of July 28, 2026, and management described Q3 FY2026 as more execution-intensive than the previous quarter. Adjusted results excluded $4 million of implementation expenses and $1 million of duplicate dealership management system expenses, in addition to short-term friction costs that were not all classified as one-time items.
    • −The early improvement in service has not yet translated into broad quarterly growth; customer-pay service activity remained flat year over year and total parts and service gross profit declined slightly in Q2 FY2026. A return to normal growth depends on stores moving beyond a five- to six-month learning period following conversion to Tekion.
    • −Total Care Auto faces accounting pressure associated with volume growth; the non-cash deferral reduced adjusted earnings per share in Q2 FY2026 by $0.66 and affected after-tax net income by approximately $12 million. Management expects the impact to return to negative in subsequent years as used-vehicle volume increases and Chambers stores are added to the system.
    • −The adjusted transaction net leverage ratio was 3.4 times at the end of Q2 FY2026, above the company's target of 3.0 times, after management temporarily chose to increase leverage to support share repurchases. The company does not expect to reach its target until early to mid-2027, alongside expected capital expenditures of $250 million in FY2026.
    • −The analyst consensus rating of Neutral and the range of price targets between $220 and $265 reflect considerable valuation uncertainty, and no reliable price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data. Insider activity recorded one sale with net proceeds of approximately $237.3 thousand during the three months ending with the latest transaction on July 29, 2026, but insider sales are a weak standalone signal and may be prearranged.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $247.25, within a wide range of $220 to $265, while the highest target is near and slightly above the 52-week range high of $262.67, and the range low is $172.01. The Neutral consensus rating and wide target range indicate that the analyst community is balancing Tekion gains and share repurchases on one side against weak vehicle volumes, transformation costs, and leverage on the other; the absence of a reliable price-to-earnings ratio also prevents anchoring the valuation to a specific earnings multiple.

    HoldAnalyst target: $247.25(+18.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove ABG's results in Q2 FY2026?

    Asbury generated revenue of $4.4 billion and gross profit of $753.1 million, with a margin of 17.2% in Q2 FY2026. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $114.6 million and earnings per share were $6.25, while adjusted earnings per share were $6.82. Declines of 6% in new-vehicle units and 14% in used-vehicle units pressured volume, but the improvement in adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses to 66% of gross profit supported the adjusted operating margin of 5.3%.

    How could the Tekion platform affect Asbury's earnings?

    Tekion was implemented in 70% of stores as of July 28, 2026, and management expected to complete the rollout by October 2026. In markets that were more than five months beyond conversion, units per salesperson increased 12% and dollars per technician increased 10% during June 2026, while sales manager and financing and insurance manager productivity at Koons improved 14.2% and 15.2%, respectively. The company is targeting a reduction in selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of gross profit to the low 60s by the end of 2027, but Q3 FY2026 remains an execution-intensive period.

    What is ABG's plan to grow used-vehicle sales?

    In May 2026, the company began gradually shifting from a focus on maximizing profit per unit to increasing volume while maintaining a healthy return. It purchased approximately 6.5 thousand vehicles from auctions in Q2 FY2026, increasing used-vehicle inventory from 30 to 37 days, while 70% of it remained less than 30 days old. Management expects year-over-year growth in used-vehicle volume to emerge in Q4 FY2026, also benefiting from lease returns and certified loaner vehicles.

    Has the parts and service business begun to recover?

    Customer-pay service activity remained flat year over year and total parts and service gross profit declined slightly in Q2 FY2026. However, same-store fixed gross profit grew 4% in June 2026, and management reported that July 2026 performance was close to that pace. The company expects low- to mid-single-digit growth in customer-pay service during Q3 FY2026, with stores typically needing five or six months after the Tekion conversion to show improvement.

    How does Asbury allocate capital between share repurchases and debt reduction?

    The company purchased 668 thousand shares for $131 million in Q2 FY2026, bringing the first-half total to 1.35 million shares for $278 million. Meanwhile, the adjusted transaction net leverage ratio was 3.4 times at quarter-end, compared with a target of 3.0 times that the company plans to reach in early to mid-2027. This plan is supported by liquidity of $966 million and adjusted free cash flow of $188 million during the first half of FY2026, with expected annual capital expenditures of $250 million.

    What are the key valuation and risk indicators to monitor for ABG stock?

    The average analyst price target is $247.25, with targets ranging from $220 to $265, compared with a 52-week range of $172.01 to $262.67, while the consensus rating is Neutral. This divergence reflects a balance between potential Tekion savings and weak volume, as new-vehicle units declined 6% and used-vehicle units declined 14% in Q2 FY2026. The 3.4 times leverage ratio, the $0.66 per-share non-cash Total Care Auto impact in the quarter, and the absence of a reliable price-to-earnings ratio in the provided data should also be monitored.