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Stocks
American Assets Trust, Inc.
AAT

AAT American Assets Trust, Inc.

American Assets Trust, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
21.50
▲ ⁦+0.56%⁩ (+0.12)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta0.98
52w Low52w High
17.7225.97
Last Week
⁦-4.02%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.83%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-7.73%⁩
Last Year
⁦+3.91%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall46
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Better than 46% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
29
74.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
15
-2.9%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
70
3.5%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
31
7.0x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
63
7.97%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
64
11.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
80
1▼3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$22
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$18
⁦-16%⁩
See it slightly overvalued
Range ⁦$18–$18⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-4.89
⁦-123%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$-4.89–$18⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$18.00
⁦-16.3%⁩
Current Price $21.50·Median $18.00
Low
$18.00
High
$18.00
Street summary

Declining outlook for American Assets Trust stock

Bearish tilt

AAT stock has seen negative pressure in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, as the consensus price target dropped from $18.5 to $18, which represents a significant negative price gap (approximately 24%) compared to the current trading price of $23.72. This trend is reinforced by Morgan Stanley's reaffirmation of its "Underweight" rating on July 22, 2026, indicating a bearish outlook regarding the stock's fair value.

As of 2026-07-29
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.67
Hold
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
0%
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.67 → 2.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-03-26
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight· $18.00
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-01-16
    Morgan Stanley
    Equal-WeightUnderweight· $17.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    74.81x
    5.03x40.26x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    46.74x
    5.89x47.13x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.20x
    3.68x29.40x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.4%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.9%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -76.2%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    60.6%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    3.5%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    7.00x
    1.55x12.39x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    8.0%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    596.6%
    31.2%370.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

American Assets Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust listed under the ticker AAT that manages a portfolio of office properties, retail centers, multifamily residential communities, and mixed-use assets in coastal markets including San Diego, San Francisco, Bellevue, Portland, and Waikiki. Its revenue is generated primarily from base property rents, with an operating contribution from Embassy Suites Waikiki and the retail component of Waikiki Beach Walk, and it relies on leasing, rent commencements, and higher occupancy to convert repositioning investments into cash flows.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, AAT reported funds from operations of $0.51 per diluted share and net income attributable to common stockholders of $0.09 per diluted share. Portfolio-wide same-store cash net operating income increased 0.3%, or 1.3% excluding a nonrecurring reserve for amounts due from an office tenant, while leased office occupancy was 84.4%, retail was 98%, and multifamily residential was more than 94% excluding the recreational vehicle park.

The latest revenue figures provided by EDGAR show that revenue in Q1 of fiscal year 2026 was $110.6 million, gross profit was $66.9 million, net income was $6.7 million, and earnings per share were $0.08; implying a calculated gross profit margin of approximately 60.5% and a net income margin of approximately 6.1%. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, same-store net operating income increased 0.4% in office, 0.9% in multifamily residential, and 0.6% in mixed-use assets, while declining 0.4% in retail due to the absence of a nonrecurring tax recovery realized in the comparable quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 29, 2026, management reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 funds from operations guidance of $1.96 to $2.10 per diluted share, with a midpoint of $2.03, and the potential to reach the upper half if office rent commencements accelerate, residential occupancy and tourism demand improve, and certain retail tenants continue to meet their obligations.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • AAT entered Q3 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately 200 thousand square feet of signed office leases that had not yet begun paying cash rent, representing more than $10 million in annual base rent. Another 73 thousand square feet was in lease documentation, with outstanding proposals on approximately 150 thousand square feet of new and expansion space.
  • Management estimates that the stabilization of La Jolla Commons Tower 3, One Beach Street, and the suburban Bellevue assets could add $0.29 to funds from operations per share; of this, $0.14 is tied to signed leases and $0.15 depends on speculative leasing. Of the signed portion, $0.03 was realized in the first half of fiscal year 2026, and the company expects an additional $0.02 in the second half of fiscal year 2026 and $0.09 in fiscal year 2027.
  • During Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the company executed approximately 110 thousand square feet of office leases with positive cash rent spreads of 9% and straight-line spreads of 10%, and approximately 139 thousand square feet of retail leases with cash spreads of 3% and straight-line spreads of 20%. La Jolla Commons Tower 3 reached 49% leased, with proposals representing an additional 33% of the building, while One Beach Street reached 35% leased.
  • Net insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026, amounted to $17.1 million in purchases, distributed across 22 purchases with no sales. These figures represent a positive insider signal, although they do not guarantee improved operating performance or stock returns.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Signed office leases provide tangible visibility into cash flow growth: more than $10 million in annual base rent has not yet begun to be collected, while existing leases are tied to approximately $0.14 of the potential increase in funds from operations per share.
    • +The retail portfolio has clear operating defensiveness, ending Q2 of fiscal year 2026 at 98% leased, generating positive cash spreads of 3% and straight-line spreads of 20% on executed leases, while management described the watchlist of tenants as short.
    • +Total liquidity at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026 was approximately $610 million, including $110 million in cash and $500 million available through the revolving credit facility. On April 1, 2026, the company also extended the maturity of the $500 million revolving facility and the $100 million term loan to April 2030, giving it capacity to finance leasing and repositioning.
    • +The ready-to-occupy office suite program supports faster tenant acquisition; of 207 thousand square feet of new leasing for spaces under 10 thousand square feet, 12 of 17 transactions were associated with the program, representing 62% of the space. Management indicated that the program covers 7.1% of the portfolio and, in some cases, allows leases to be signed during the design phase.
    • +The board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.34 per share, with a record date of September 3, 2026, and a payment date of September 17, 2026. Management expects dividend coverage to improve over time as signed office leases commence and redevelopment investments contribute more significantly to cash flows.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Office leasing execution remains the largest operating risk, as the leased rate was 84.4% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, while La Jolla Commons Tower 3 was 49% leased and One Beach Street was 35% leased. Of the $0.29 potential increase in funds from operations per share, $0.15 depends on unsigned speculative leases, and management described the fiscal year-end 2026 office occupancy outcome as more binary because of the timing of large transactions.
    • −Leverage is above the company's target, with net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at 6.7 times on an annualized quarterly basis and 6.9 times for the last twelve months, compared with a long-term target of 5.5 times or less. Both interest coverage and fixed-charge coverage were 3.0 times, so improvement in leverage depends significantly on rent commencements and vacancy absorption.
    • −Multifamily residential faced supply pressure in San Diego and Portland during Q2 of fiscal year 2026; new lease rents at the San Diego communities declined 2%, despite 5% growth in renewals, and Hassalo on Eighth ended the quarter at 88% leased. Management described fiscal year 2026 as a year of stabilization rather than meaningful rent growth, limiting the segment's contribution to earnings acceleration.
    • −The mixed-use asset in Waikiki faced hotel pressure during Q2 of fiscal year 2026, as the average daily rate declined 0.4% to $340 and operating expenses increased, causing hotel net operating income to decline to approximately $2.5 million from $2.9 million in the comparable period. Despite occupancy increasing to 90.5% and RevPAR rising 0.9% to $308, price competition and the year-over-year decline in Oahu visits remained sources of pressure.
    • −Same-store cash net operating income growth was limited to 0.3% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and the company was also required to record a reserve of approximately $1.2 million for cash and straight-line rent receivables related to an office tenant. Although the space was re-leased, limiting the future operating impact, fiscal year 2026 guidance does not assume recovery of the amount, and retail net operating income declined 0.4% due to the absence of a nonrecurring tax recovery from the comparable period.

    Valuation

    The available consensus rating for AAT stock is Buy, with an average price target of $18 and identical high and low targets of $18. This target is only approximately 1.6% above the 52-week range low of $17.72 and approximately 30.7% below its high of $25.97, reflecting a conservative valuation anchor relative to the historical range. Conversely, the absence of any dispersion between the high and low targets limits the consensus's ability to show a range of scenarios, particularly with leverage of 6.9 times for the last twelve months and office leasing execution risks.

    BuyAnalyst target: $18(-16.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the most important earnings driver for AAT after Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The most important driver is converting signed office leases into cash rent, as the company entered Q3 of fiscal year 2026 with approximately 200 thousand signed square feet representing more than $10 million in annual base rent. Management estimates that the stabilization of La Jolla Commons Tower 3, One Beach Street, and the suburban Bellevue assets could add $0.29 to funds from operations per share. Of this increase, $0.14 is tied to signed leases, while $0.15 depends on speculative leasing that has not yet been finalized.

    Did AAT reaffirm its fiscal year 2026 guidance?

    Yes, in the July 29, 2026 call, the company reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 funds from operations range of $1.96 to $2.10 per diluted share, with a midpoint of $2.03. Management said current results support reaching the midpoint, with the potential to move into the upper half if office leases commence earlier and residential occupancy and tourism demand improve. The guidance does not include the impact of acquisitions, dispositions, debt refinancing, or capital markets activities that had not been announced when it was issued.

    What was the condition of AAT's office portfolio in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The office portfolio ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 at 84.4% leased, and during the quarter the company executed approximately 110 thousand square feet of leases with positive cash spreads of 9% and straight-line spreads of 10%. La Jolla Commons Tower 3 was 49% leased, with proposals representing an additional 33% of the building, while One Beach Street was approximately 35% leased. The outcome remains sensitive to the timing of large leases under proposal, so management said fiscal year-end 2026 occupancy could fall slightly below the targeted range if some decisions shift into fiscal year 2027.

    What is the state of AAT's liquidity and debt?

    AAT ended Q2 of fiscal year 2026 with total liquidity of approximately $610 million, consisting of $110 million in cash and $500 million available through the revolving credit facility. On April 1, 2026, the company extended the maturity of the $500 million revolving facility and the $100 million term loan to April 2030. However, net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization was 6.9 times for the last twelve months, above the company's long-term target of 5.5 times or less.

    How did AAT's retail, residential, and hotel segments perform?

    Retail was 98% leased in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, and executed leases generated cash spreads of 3% and straight-line spreads of 20%, despite a 0.4% decline in same-store net operating income due to the absence of a nonrecurring tax recovery. In multifamily residential, the leased rate exceeded 94% excluding the recreational vehicle park, with 96% leased in San Diego and 88% at Hassalo on Eighth. Embassy Suites Waikiki achieved 90.5% occupancy and RevPAR of $308, but hotel net operating income declined to approximately $2.5 million from $2.9 million in the comparable period.

    What does insider activity at AAT reveal?

    Net insider purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026, were approximately $17.1 million. The data recorded 22 purchases with no sales, and the overall signal was classified as a Strong Buy. These figures provide a positive indication of insiders' capital allocation, but they do not eliminate leverage risks, office leasing timing risks, or residential and hotel pressures.

  • −The valuation carries risk related to the limited margin of safety in analyst estimates because the consensus target of $18 is only $0.28 above the 52-week range low of $17.72 and approximately 30.7% below its high of $25.97. The highest and lowest available targets are also identical at $18, so the target range provides no dispersion through which an independent upside scenario can be assessed.