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Home
Stocks
Apple Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9SafeCongress sellingBetter than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
19
36.7x▼18.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
69
14.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
91
66.5%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
82
0.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
38
0.33%▼2.10%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
88
30.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
41
33▲3Around median
AAPL

AAPL Apple Inc.

Apple Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
316.28
▼ ⁦-1.15%⁩ (-3.69)
Market Cap$4.7T
Beta1.09
52w Low52w High
225.95344.57
Last Week
⁦-0.18%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.94%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.89%⁩
Last Year
⁦+31.95%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$316
Analyst target · 17 analysts
$362
⁦+15%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$245–$400⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$154
⁦-51%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.2⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$154–$362⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 17 analysts setting price target
$341.31
⁦+7.9%⁩
Current Price $316.28·Median $362.00
Low
$245.00
High
$400.00
Current price
$316.28
Average target
$341.31
Street summary

Clear Divergence Despite a Slight Rise in Consensus

The consensus price target remained at $341.31, with a limited increase of $0.59 over 7 days and $0.20 over 30 days, while the number of analysts remained at 17. Estimates range from $245 to $400, while the median is $362, indicating high dispersion in valuations compared with the current price of $319.97.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.55
Buy
Analyst coverage
44
Buy conviction
57%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
4↑ · 6↓
Target dispersion
49%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time44 analysts rating
6
19
14
3
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.56 → 3.55
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    MoffettNathanson
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    HSBC
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Needham
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    36.69x
    7.08x56.62x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    34.43x
    5.23x41.81x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    28.14x
    4.60x36.80x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.9%
    -56.3%10.3%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.2%
    -18.0%68.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    32.3%
    -157.8%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    48.7%
    13.2%79.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    66.5%
    -63.2%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.20x
    0.26x3.28x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.3%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.1%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    12.76
    -11.3113.68
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Apple sells an integrated ecosystem of devices and services, including iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, and AirPods, alongside App Store, AppleCare, Apple Music, Apple TV+, cloud services, and payment services. In Q3 of fiscal 2026, product revenue was $78.7 billion, representing approximately 72% of total revenue, while services revenue was $30.7 billion, or approximately 28%; services are supported by an installed base of more than 2.5 billion active devices and over 1.5 billion paid subscriptions.

Apple reported revenue of $109.4 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2026, up 16% year over year, gross profit of $54.8 billion, net income of $29.8 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $2.02, up 29%. Gross margin was 50.1%, but the tariff refund added approximately two percentage points to it and added $0.11 to earnings per share; operating cash flow was $34.4 billion.

iPhone led the revenue mix, generating $54.3 billion and 22% year-over-year growth, followed by services at $30.7 billion and 12% growth, then Mac at $10.4 billion and 29% growth. Wearables, Home and Accessories generated $7.9 billion, up 6%, while iPad revenue declined 6% to $6.2 billion, showing that strong growth in iPhone, Mac, and services offset weakness in iPad.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The iPhone 17 cycle is strongly driving results; iPhone revenue rose 22% to $54.3 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2026, while the active device installed base and the number of users upgrading their devices reached records for the period.
  • Mac generated record June-quarter revenue of $10.4 billion, up 29% year over year despite supply constraints, driven by MacBook Neo and MacBook Pro. Mac also set records for new buyers and upgrades, while MacBook Neo devices replaced Windows and Chromebook platforms in approximately half of large U.S. education purchases during the quarter.
  • Services revenue reached $30.7 billion, up 12%, with paid subscriptions exceeding 1.5 billion and cloud services and payment services recording their highest revenue ever. An installed base of more than 2.5 billion active devices gives Apple a large channel for expanding subscriptions, with the potential to add higher usage tiers through iCloud+ for heavy Siri AI users.
  • Apple launched beta versions of Siri AI after WWDC and said feedback from developers and users was extremely positive, with a mix of models running on devices and through private cloud compute. However, the company has not yet determined the final balance between computing costs and revenue from iCloud+ upgrades, while the rollout of Siri AI on iPhone and iPad in the European Union remains contingent on reaching a regulatory solution.
  • Apple announced a multi-year agreement with Broadcom expected to be worth more than $30 billion to design and produce silicon components and wireless connectivity technologies within the United States. The agreement is part of a $600 billion U.S. commitment over four years, alongside an advanced manufacturing facility in Houston that produces artificial intelligence servers and is planned to manufacture Mac mini later in 2026.
  • John Ternus assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer on September 1, 2026, after the succession was announced on April 20, 2026, and unanimously approved by the Board of Directors, while Tim Cook became Executive Chairman of the Board according to the news published on September 1, 2026. The transition coincides with a reorganization and job cuts, so its impact on the stock depends on management's ability to execute the product cycle and artificial intelligence plan without disrupting operating momentum.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Apple delivered broad-based growth in Q3 of fiscal 2026, with revenue rising 16% and earnings per share increasing 29%, alongside double-digit growth across all geographic regions and record June-quarter results for iPhone, Mac, and services.
  • +The company combines a massive installed base of more than 2.5 billion active devices with over 1.5 billion paid subscriptions, supporting recurring services revenue, which reached $30.7 billion at a gross margin of 75.6% in Q3 of fiscal 2026.
  • +Growth of 22% in iPhone and 29% in Mac reinforces evidence of strong demand, while Siri AI and enterprise use of on-device artificial intelligence open additional opportunities; Crédit Agricole reduced manual processing time by more than 80% using MacBook Pro, and Morgan Stanley deployed more than 20 thousand iPhone 17 devices.
  • +Cash generation and capital returns remain strong; Apple generated $34.4 billion in operating cash flow and returned $33 billion to shareholders during Q3 of fiscal 2026, including $25.8 billion for share repurchases and $4 billion in dividends and equivalents.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus rates AAPL a "Buy," with an average price target of $340.72 within a wide range of $245 to $400; the average is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $225.95–$344.57, while the highest target exceeds that upper bound. In contrast, the August 28, 2026 news cited a price-to-earnings multiple of 36.6 times and a free cash flow yield of 2.9%, valuations that require continued earnings growth despite slowing guidance, pressure from memory costs, and supply constraints.

BuyAnalyst target: $340.72(+7.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Apple's results in Q3 of fiscal 2026?

Apple's revenue reached approximately $109.4 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2026, up 16% year over year. iPhone led growth with revenue of $54.3 billion, up 22%, while Mac revenue rose 29% to $10.4 billion and services reached $30.7 billion, up 12%. Net income was $29.8 billion and diluted earnings per share was $2.02, with the tariff refund benefiting earnings per share by $0.11.

Can Apple maintain its margins as memory costs rise?

Gross margin was 50.1% in Q3 of fiscal 2026, but it benefited by approximately two percentage points from the tariff refund. The company expects a margin between 47% and 48% in the September quarter of fiscal 2026, including a benefit of approximately one percentage point from the tariff refund. Management explained that memory costs account for more than the entire decline from an adjusted margin of 48.1% to an expected midpoint of 46.5% before the tariff refund, with memory prices expected to continue rising after the September quarter.

How important is Siri AI to Apple's business?

Apple unveiled Siri AI at WWDC and released beta versions to developers and the public before the July 30, 2026 call, saying feedback was extremely positive. The product relies on personal context and integration with operating systems, with some requests processed on the device and others through Apple's data centers and external clouds. Heavy usage could enable paid upgrades through iCloud+, but management said it had not yet finalized its plan for computing costs and their recovery, while the full rollout on iPhone and iPad in the European Union and China had not occurred by the time of the call.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Apple faces increasing supply constraints in the advanced manufacturing nodes used to produce SoCs, and management explained that the constraints will have a greater impact on iPhone, Mac, and iPad in the September quarter of fiscal 2026. The issue reflects the supply chain's limited flexibility in the face of demand that exceeded expectations, which may prevent the company from fully converting strong demand into revenue.
  • −Memory costs have risen sharply, and Tim Cook described the increase as an exceptional pricing wave, with higher prices expected in the September quarter of fiscal 2026 and market prices continuing to rise thereafter. Management said the increase in memory costs accounts for more than the entire adjusted decline in gross margin from 48.1% in Q3 of fiscal 2026 to an expected midpoint of 46.5% before the tariff refund benefit, while the benefit from carryover inventory will diminish over time.
  • −The outlook for the September quarter of fiscal 2026 includes a slowdown in revenue growth to 9%–11% from 16% in Q3 of fiscal 2026, with currency headwinds of approximately 2.5 percentage points and more severe supply constraints. The company also expects a gross margin between 47% and 48%, including a benefit of approximately one percentage point from the tariff refund, meaning underlying profitability is weaker than the reported figure within the guidance range.
  • −Services growth slowed to 12% in Q3 of fiscal 2026, with greater-than-expected weakness in mobile gaming within App Store and currency headwinds. App Store in the United States is also operating under a court ruling affecting external-link transactions, while launching Siri AI on iPhone and iPad in the European Union requires a regulatory solution, and its deployment in China remains at an early stage after approval was granted only for the original Apple Intelligence features.
  • −Apple faces potential competition from new artificial intelligence-powered devices, and analysts specifically asked about potential competing devices from OpenAI and a potential phone from SpaceX AI. At the same time, the company has not yet defined a cost-recovery model for Siri AI or its ultimate impact on capital intensity, leaving the commercial return on increased artificial intelligence spending unresolved.
  • −A price-to-earnings multiple of 36.6 times and a free cash flow yield of 2.9% in the August 28, 2026 news indicate limited room for execution setbacks or weaker growth. This is compounded by insider activity classified as strong_sell, with net sales of $1.4 million over three months and four sales versus no purchases through August 25, 2026, while noting that insider sales may be prearranged and are not sufficient on their own to demonstrate deteriorating fundamentals.
  • Why does Apple expect growth to slow in the September quarter of fiscal 2026?

    Apple expects revenue growth between 9% and 11% in the September quarter of fiscal 2026, compared with growth of 16% in Q3 of fiscal 2026. Management attributed the slowdown to currency headwinds of approximately 2.5 percentage points and a significant sequential increase in the impact of supply constraints on iPhone, Mac, and iPad. Nevertheless, the company expects year-over-year iPhone revenue growth in the mid-teens, indicating that supply constraints and currency, rather than a lack of demand, are the main factors behind the guidance.

    What is the state of Apple's services segment?

    The services segment generated revenue of $30.7 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2026, up 12%, and its gross margin reached 75.6%. Paid subscriptions exceeded 1.5 billion, cloud services and payment services recorded their highest revenue ever, and Apple's active device installed base surpassed 2.5 billion devices. In contrast, growth was affected by weakness in mobile gaming within App Store and by currency, while the services margin declined 110 basis points sequentially due to a change in mix.

    What are the main factors to monitor after John Ternus takes over leadership of Apple?

    John Ternus assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer on September 1, 2026, after the plan was announced on April 20, 2026, and unanimously approved by the Board of Directors, while Tim Cook became Executive Chairman of the Board according to the September 1, 2026 news. The transition follows a quarter in which Apple generated revenue of $109.4 billion and strong growth in iPhone and Mac, but it coincides with a reorganization, job cuts, and increasing supply constraints. Execution will be measured by the company's ability to deploy Siri AI, control memory costs, meet demand for iPhone, Mac, and iPad, and achieve its revenue growth guidance of 9%–11% in the September quarter of fiscal 2026.