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Stocks
NVIDIA Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall94
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 4/9SafeCongress sellingBetter than 94% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
24
29.1x▼18.1xBottom tier
▸
Growth
99
83.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
91
84.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
94
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
19
0.12%▼2.11%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
87
28.5%▲2.5%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
46
31▲3Around median
NVDA

NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

NVIDIA Corporation · NASDAQ
Market Closed
230.36
▲ ⁦+0.84%⁩ (+1.91)
Market Cap$5.6T
Beta2.21
52w Low52w High
164.07236.54
Last Week
⁦+5.89%⁩
Last Month
⁦+5.19%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.32%⁩
Last Year
⁦+34.20%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$230
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$323
⁦+40%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$270–$515⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$83
⁦-64%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$83–$323⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$345.21
⁦+49.9%⁩
Current Price $230.36·Median $322.50
Low
$270.00
High
$515.00
Current price
$230.36
Average target
$345.21
Street summary

NVIDIA Stock Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

NVIDIA stock has seen an upward revision in its average price target over the past 30 days, with the consensus rising by 8.05% to reach 345.21, which significantly exceeds the current price of 228.45. However, the recent period (last 7 days) has been characterized by complete stability in these targets, with major institutions such as Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs maintaining their current ratings unchanged, indicating a phase of awaiting results following the previous wave of optimism.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+8.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.08
Buy
Analyst coverage
61
Buy conviction
95%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
106%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time61 analysts rating
9
49
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.06 → 4.08
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    29.09x
    7.13x57.04x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    20.93x
    5.32x42.54x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    27.67x
    4.49x35.91x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    2.3%
    -55.0%10.3%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    83.4%
    -17.9%68.6%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    523.5%
    -149.2%199.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    74.7%
    13.1%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    84.7%
    -62.8%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.1%
    0.0%4.0%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    3.5%
    4.4%96.7%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    41.01
    -11.3513.33
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

NVIDIA Corporation sells an integrated AI factory platform that combines GPUs and CPUs, NVLink interconnects, InfiniBand and Spectrum-X Ethernet networking, systems, algorithms, and CUDA software. The company generates most of its revenue from data center infrastructure for cloud providers, AI labs, NeoClouds, sovereign customers, and enterprises, while expanding its share of spending per gigawatt from about $18 billion with the Hopper generation to $25 billion with Blackwell, then to $40 billion with Vera Rubin.

In Q2 fiscal 2027, revenue reached $96.2 billion, gross profit was $72.1 billion, net income was $59.7 billion, and earnings per share were $2.46. These figures represent a gross margin of about 75% and a net margin of about 62%, while the company said quarterly revenue more than doubled from a year earlier and growth accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter.

Data centers accounted for about $89 billion, or approximately 92.5% of Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue. Within this business, revenue from hyperscale customers was about $49 billion, up 13% sequentially, while ACIE revenue, which includes NeoClouds, industrial customers, and enterprises, was about $40 billion, up 25% sequentially and 138% year over year; the networking business also recorded sequential growth of 18%. Fiscal 2026 revenue was $215.9 billion and net income was $120.1 billion, illustrating the expansion in profitability alongside the surge in demand for computing.

What's Driving the Stock

  • NVIDIA expects revenue of $108 billion, with a margin of ±2%, in Q3 fiscal 2027, with sequential growth primarily coming from ACIE and data centers; it also expects year-over-year growth of about 70% in fiscal 2028, even though customer forecasts indicate demand capable of doubling the business.
  • Production shipments of Vera Rubin began in August 2026 after purchase orders were received from all major hyperscale providers, AI clouds, and system manufacturers, and the company expects the product to account for about 20% of data center revenue in Q3 fiscal 2027. NVIDIA says Vera Rubin delivers 30 times higher throughput per megawatt and 35 times lower token costs compared with Grace Blackwell Ultra.
  • NVIDIA expanded its partnership with AWS to include the deployment of an additional two million GPUs from Q2 fiscal 2027 through Q2 fiscal 2029, alongside Vera processors and Nemotron models on Amazon Bedrock and SageMaker. Amazon will also adopt Omniverse, Cosmos, Isaac, and Jetson across its warehouse robot fleet, linking demand to hardware, software, and physical AI.
  • ACIE revenue increased to $40 billion in Q2 fiscal 2027, while NeoCloud partnerships are targeting installed capacity of 8 gigawatts by year-end, compared with about 3 gigawatts at the end of 2025. Sovereign AI business also increased 35% sequentially and more than tripled year over year, broadening demand sources beyond the largest cloud providers.
  • The company is expanding its product range beyond GPUs; Grace CPU revenue over the last 12 months exceeded $5 billion, and NVIDIA expects CPU revenue to more than double in fiscal 2028. Groq 3 LPX also entered full production and demonstrated nearly four times the tokens per second of the closest alternative in the Artificial Analysis benchmark, with high-volume shipments to initial customers targeted during Q3 fiscal 2027.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +NVIDIA combines exceptional growth with high profitability; Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue more than doubled year over year, with a 75% gross margin and net income of $59.7 billion on revenue of $96.2 billion.
  • +The CUDA platform and the integration of GPUs, CPUs, networking, and systems give the company an opportunity to capture a larger share of each AI factory; the estimated revenue opportunity per gigawatt increased from $18 billion with Hopper to $40 billion with Vera Rubin.
  • +The demand base was split between hyperscale at $49 billion and ACIE at $40 billion in Q2 fiscal 2027, with the latter growing 138% year over year. This expansion across NeoClouds, enterprises, and sovereign customers reduces the growth trajectory's dependence on a single type of infrastructure buyer, although data centers remain dominant in total revenue.
  • +The company has a broad product roadmap that includes Vera Rubin, Vera CPU, Spectrum-X, and Groq 3 LPX, alongside the AWS agreement to deploy an additional two million GPUs. These products support management's expectation of about 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028, despite describing this outlook as supply-constrained.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $345.21 and a wide range of $270 to $515; the average is about 46% above the 52-week range high of $236.54, while the lowest target exceeds that high by about 14%. Bernstein's increase of its target to $400 supports the positive view, but the cited price-to-earnings ratio of 34.9 times and price-to-sales multiple of 21.77 times mean the valuation assumes strong execution against growth and product expectations. The wide range of targets is consistent with the tradeoff between guidance for about 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028 and the expected margin decline, supply constraints, and geopolitical risks.

BuyAnalyst target: $345.21(+49.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What was the most important driver of NVDA revenue in Q2 fiscal 2027?

Data centers were the largest driver, generating $89 billion of total revenue of $96.2 billion, or about 92.5%. Within this business, hyperscale generated about $49 billion, while ACIE generated about $40 billion. ACIE grew 25% sequentially and 138% year over year, driven by NeoCloud additions and demand from enterprises, startups, and sovereign customers.

What is NVIDIA's guidance for Q3 fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028?

The company expects revenue of $108 billion, with a margin of ±2%, in Q3 fiscal 2027. It also expects gross margin of 74% ±50 basis points, with GAAP operating expenses of about $9.2 billion. For fiscal 2028, it expects revenue growth of about 70%, with supply constraints continuing at least through year-end.

How important is Vera Rubin to NVIDIA's growth?

Production shipments of Vera Rubin began in August 2026, and NVIDIA said it received purchase orders from all major hyperscale providers, AI clouds, and system manufacturers. The company expects Vera Rubin to account for about 20% of data center revenue in Q3 fiscal 2027. It estimates the revenue opportunity per gigawatt at $40 billion with Vera Rubin, compared with $25 billion with Blackwell and $18 billion with Hopper.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Data center revenue reached $89 billion, or about 92.5% of total Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue, and hyperscale revenue alone reached $49 billion. Performance therefore remains highly sensitive to capital expenditure cycles for AI infrastructure, even with ACIE growth and customer-base diversification.
  • −AI labs are developing custom chips that could compete with NVIDIA in some workloads; the August 26, 2026 call addressed this risk specifically in the context of OpenAI and Anthropic. NVIDIA is betting that its full platform and interoperability across clouds and stages of the AI lifecycle will keep it a key partner, but the success of custom alternatives in inference could pressure its share or pricing power.
  • −The company expects gross margin to decline from 75% in Q2 fiscal 2027 to 74% ±50 basis points in Q3, then bottom at 71% to 72% in Q4, before stabilizing at 72% to 73% in fiscal 2028. The pressure is primarily due to memory prices rising faster than the company expected, and the impact of implemented price increases will not appear before Q1 fiscal 2028.
  • −Although customer forecasts indicate demand could double in fiscal 2028, NVIDIA expects growth of only about 70% because of supply constraints extending at least through the end of fiscal 2028. The constraints include memory, power, land, facilities, cooling, and production capacity across the supply chain, which could delay the conversion of demand into revenue and increase inventory, which reached $32 billion in Q2 fiscal 2027.
  • −Hopper 200 products shipped to customers in China represented less than 1% of data center revenue in Q2 fiscal 2027, and the company included no data center compute revenue from China in its forward outlook because of geopolitical uncertainty. Licensed Hopper shipments to China are also dilutive to gross margin, making changes in export controls a risk to both revenue and the profit mix.
  • −A price-to-earnings ratio of 34.9 times, a price-to-sales multiple of 21.77 times, and EV/EBITDA of 33.3 times already reflect high growth expectations. Therefore, any failure to achieve the $108 billion guidance for Q3 fiscal 2027, 70% growth in fiscal 2028, or the announced margin range could trigger a sharp revaluation even if the business remains profitable and fast-growing.
Why does NVIDIA expect its margins to decline despite strong demand?

Gross margin was 75% in Q2 fiscal 2027, but the company said on August 26, 2026 that memory prices had risen more than it expected and were heading higher. It therefore expects a margin of 74% ±50 basis points in Q3, followed by a bottom between 71% and 72% in Q4. It expects the margin to stabilize between 72% and 73% in fiscal 2028 after the impact of price increases begins in Q1.

How is NVIDIA expanding its business beyond traditional GPUs?

Grace CPU revenue over the last 12 months exceeded $5 billion, and the company expects CPU revenue to more than double in fiscal 2028. The networking business recorded sequential growth of 18%, while Spectrum-X Ethernet grew 2.6 times year over year in Q2 fiscal 2027. Groq 3 LPX also entered full production, and the AWS partnership includes Vera processors, Nemotron models, and Omniverse, Cosmos, Isaac, and Jetson products.