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BreakingCentral Banks

Fed Officials Signal Cautious Approach to Future Interest Rate Hikes

First Detected: Oct 8, 2026, 6:51 PM
Last Update: about 1 hour ago
2 updates

Event Summary

Federal Reserve officials signaled a cautious approach to interest rates, with Governor Christopher Waller suggesting that while further hikes may be necessary, they do not need to be consecutive. September meeting minutes indicated that most participants expect one more rate increase by year-end, though markets currently price an 80% probability of no change at the next meeting. Meanwhile, global central banks show mixed outlooks, with a decreased likelihood of a Bank of Canada hike following job losses and a high probability of a Bank of England increase. Additionally, an inquiry was launched into Governor Lisa Cook regarding allegations of false statements, coinciding with ongoing debates over future monetary policy.

Timeline

Latest developmentabout 7 hours ago

Canada Rate Hike Odds Drop to 21% Following Sharp September Job Losses

Market bets for an October Bank of Canada hike fell to 21% after a 68.3K job loss, while Bank of England hike odds reached 86%.

Read the full story
  1. Oct 8, 2026, 3:55 PM
    Fed Minutes Show Unanimous Support for Rate Hike Amid Iran Strike Reports

    Governor Christopher Waller suggests economic data may justify more hikes without consecutive moves, as September minutes show support for a year-end rate increase.

Key facts

  • President Donald Trump has established a committee of inquiry to investigate allegations that Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook made false statements related to mortgages.
  • The announcement of the inquiry coincided with media reports discussing whether further interest rate hikes are on the horizon.
  • The probability of a Bank of Canada rate hike in October dropped to 21% following a loss of 68.3K jobs in September.
  • Markets are pricing in an 86% probability of a rate hike by the Bank of England at its next meeting.
  • Markets price an 80% probability of no change from the Federal Reserve at its next meeting.
  • Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that economic data may support additional rate hikes, but they do not need to occur at consecutive meetings.