Kalshi traders anticipate less than a 60% chance that job growth in June will exceed 100,000. The Dow Jones consensus expects a sharp decline in job growth from 172,000 in May to June. Goldman Sachs estimates that the June jobs report could be boosted by approximately 40,000 positions due to the impact of the World Cup. The bank based its estimates on Homebase data suggesting a modest hiring increase linked to the global sporting event.
