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Kuwait Petroleum Company (KPC) expects it will take 10 to 12 weeks to fully restore oil production levels once the Strait of Hormuz reopens. According to reports, the state-owned firm will require 6 to 8 weeks to recover approximately 70% of its normal output capacity. This cautious timeline aims to manage market expectations regarding the speed of supply return, citing the complex technical and operational requirements to ramp up production and refining after a prolonged blockade.
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Sign InThese projections arrive at a sensitive time for global energy markets, as traders monitor vital maritime corridors for signs of stabilization. Compared to previous disruptions, such as the 2019 attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities which took weeks to fully recover, Kuwait's estimates reflect a more conservative outlook on operational restoration. Per market data, the continued absence of Gulf supplies maintains upward pressure on crude prices, especially as the API reported a 2.8 million barrel draw in US inventories on May 27, 2026.
Traders should watch the upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Report scheduled for May 28, 2026, for further clarity on global inventory levels. Geopolitical developments surrounding the Strait will remain the primary catalyst for near-term price action. If the prolonged recovery timeline holds, markets may need to price in a sustained supply deficit even after immediate logistical barriers are removed.