Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | — | 11.40 | — |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 12.93 | 12.92 | +0.01 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 12.92 | 10.80 | +2.12 |
| May 29, 2026 | 14.55 | 13.69 | +0.86 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 13.69 | 11.30 | +2.39 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 12.65 | 12.68 | -0.03 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 12.68 | 8.50 | +4.18 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 8.21 | 7.64 | +0.57 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 7.64 | 6.00 | +1.64 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 8.01 | 7.96 | +0.05 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 8.01 | 7.96 | +0.05 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | 7.96 | 5.70 | +2.26 |
| May 28, 2025 | 5.48 | 5.37 | +0.11 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 5.37 | 3.30 | +2.07 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2.90 | 1.84 | +1.06 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1.84 | 2.00 | -0.16 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 4.17 | 3.97 | +0.20 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3.97 | 3.40 | +0.57 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 5.06 | — | — |
| Jul 31, 2024 | 5.09 | 4.80 | +0.29 |
| May 30, 2024 | 6.56 | 6.51 | +0.05 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 6.51 | 5.50 | +1.01 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 4.93 | 5.12 | -0.19 |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 5.12 | 4.35 | +0.77 |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2.32 | 2.32 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 2.32 | 2.10 | +0.22 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | 1.36 | 1.45 | -0.09 |
| Jul 28, 2023 | 1.45 | 0.80 | +0.65 |
| May 26, 2023 | -2.87 | -3.02 | +0.15 |
| Apr 28, 2023 | -3.02 | -1.25 | -1.77 |
| Feb 22, 2023 | -0.41 | -0.86 | +0.45 |
| Jan 18, 2023 | -0.86 | 1.30 | -2.16 |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 4.01 | — | — |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 4.10 | 3.20 | +0.90 |
| Jul 29, 2022 | 3.08 | 3.10 | -0.02 |
| May 27, 2022 | 3.14 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3.06 | 2.90 | +0.16 |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 4.86 | 4.88 | -0.02 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 4.88 | 3.80 | +1.08 |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3.70 | — | — |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3.80 | 4.00 | -0.20 |
The latest reading is 1.8 standard deviations above the mean.
