The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | — | 2.20 | — |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 2.20 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| May 25, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| May 25, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.50 | +0.30 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.30 | -0.10 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.60 | +0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.70 | -0.10 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.90 | -0.10 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| May 23, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 0.90 | 1.00 | -0.10 |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 0.90 | 0.95 | -0.05 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1.20 | 2.20 | -1.00 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.50 | +0.10 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1.40 | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Jul 23, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.70 | -0.30 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| May 23, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Apr 23, 2024 | 2.70 | 3.10 | -0.40 |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3.40 | 3.30 | +0.10 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2.90 | 3.80 | -0.90 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3.70 | 3.50 | +0.20 |
| Dec 26, 2023 | 3.60 | 3.80 | -0.20 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 4.70 | 4.45 | +0.25 |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 0.00 |
| Sep 25, 2023 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 24, 2023 | 4.50 | 4.55 | -0.05 |
| Jun 23, 2023 | 5.10 | 5.50 | -0.40 |
| May 23, 2023 | 5.70 | 5.50 | +0.20 |
| Apr 24, 2023 | 5.50 | 5.60 | -0.10 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 6.30 | 6.45 | -0.15 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 6.60 | 7.10 | -0.50 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 6.50 | 6.55 | -0.05 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 6.70 | 6.45 | +0.25 |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 6.70 | 7.10 | -0.40 |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 7.50 | 7.50 | 0.00 |
| Sep 23, 2022 | 7.50 | 7.20 | +0.30 |
| Aug 23, 2022 | 7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.80 | +0.40 ↑ |
