The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | 2.00 | 1.70 | +0.30 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| May 25, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.40 | +0.30 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1.40 | 0.90 | +0.50 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1.20 | 0.90 | +0.30 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1.20 | 0.60 | +0.60 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.70 | -0.10 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| May 23, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.50 | +0.20 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.80 | -0.30 |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.70 | -0.10 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 0.80 | 1.50 | -0.70 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.70 | +0.10 |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -0.20 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2.10 | 2.50 | -0.40 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.50 | +0.20 |
| Aug 23, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.90 | -0.40 |
| Jul 23, 2024 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| May 23, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Apr 23, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.70 | -0.60 |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3.60 | 3.40 | +0.20 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3.10 | 3.60 | -0.50 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3.30 | 3.10 | +0.20 |
| Dec 26, 2023 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 3.30 | 3.00 | +0.30 |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Sep 25, 2023 | 3.40 | 3.50 | -0.10 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| Jul 24, 2023 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 23, 2023 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 0.00 |
| May 23, 2023 | 5.00 | 4.70 | +0.30 |
| Apr 24, 2023 | 5.00 | 5.10 | -0.10 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 5.50 | 5.80 | -0.30 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 5.50 | 5.60 | -0.10 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 5.10 | 5.00 | +0.10 |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 5.10 | 5.00 | +0.10 |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 5.10 | 5.30 | -0.20 |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 5.30 | 5.20 | +0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2022 | 5.10 | 5.00 | +0.10 |
| Aug 23, 2022 | 4.80 | 4.70 | +0.10 |
| Jul 25, 2022 | 4.40 | 4.20 | +0.20 |
