Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | — | 1.40 | — |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 1.00 | -0.40 | +1.40 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | -2.30 | 0.00 | -2.30 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | 0.40 | -1.00 | +1.40 |
| May 5, 2026 | 3.40 | 2.50 | +0.90 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | -4.30 | -3.20 | -1.10 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 6.10 | 4.00 | +2.10 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | -5.40 | 0.90 | -6.30 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 0.00 | — | — |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2.30 | 1.20 | +1.10 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -1.40 | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | 0.50 | -0.80 | +1.30 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 4.10 | 1.00 | +3.10 |
| Aug 5, 2025 | -1.20 | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| Jul 4, 2025 | 1.00 | 0.40 | +0.60 |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 0.30 | 1.50 | -1.20 |
| May 5, 2025 | -2.80 | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3.00 | 0.30 | +2.70 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2.40 | 0.50 | +1.90 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | -1.50 | 0.50 | -2.00 |
| Jan 3, 2025 | -2.80 | — | — |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 0.70 | -0.50 | +1.20 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | 3.10 | -2.40 | +5.50 |
| Aug 5, 2024 | -3.70 | -0.30 | -3.40 |
| Jul 5, 2024 | 2.40 | 1.30 | +1.10 |
| Jun 5, 2024 | -2.70 | 0.90 | -3.60 |
| May 3, 2024 | -1.00 | -1.90 | +0.90 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3.00 | -0.20 | +3.20 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | -0.70 | 0.30 | -1.00 |
| Feb 5, 2024 | -1.50 | 0.60 | -2.10 |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.10 | +0.40 |
| Dec 5, 2023 | -0.80 | 0.30 | -1.10 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | -1.60 | 1.10 | -2.70 |
| Oct 5, 2023 | 1.70 | 0.20 | +1.50 |
| Sep 5, 2023 | 0.60 | -0.10 | +0.70 |
| Aug 4, 2023 | -0.80 | -0.50 | -0.30 |
| Jul 5, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Jun 5, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| May 5, 2023 | 2.20 | -0.20 | +2.40 |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3.90 | 3.50 | +0.40 |
| Mar 3, 2023 | -9.40 | 1.60 | -11.00 |
| Feb 3, 2023 | 1.30 | 0.40 | +0.90 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | -3.70 | 0.10 | -3.80 |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 0.10 | -0.60 | +0.70 |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3.30 | 0.40 | +2.90 |
| Oct 5, 2022 | -1.30 | 0.30 | -1.60 |
| Sep 5, 2022 | 0.60 | -0.50 | +1.10 |
| Aug 5, 2022 | -1.40 | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| Jul 5, 2022 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -0.30 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | -2.30 | -2.30 | 0 ↓ |
| Jun 5, 2026 | 0.30 | 0.40 | +0.10 ↑ |
| May 5, 2026 | 3.70 | 3.40 | -0.30 ↓ |
| Apr 6, 2026 | -4.10 | -4.30 | -0.20 ↓ |
