Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | — | -15.00 | — |
| Aug 10, 2026 | -16.30 | -17.00 | +0.70 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | -18.70 | -16.00 | -2.70 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | -19.20 | -12.00 | -7.20 |
| May 10, 2026 | -15.80 | -7.70 | -8.10 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 15.00 | 10.50 | +4.50 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 10.40 | 8.30 | +2.10 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 8.90 | 9.00 | -0.10 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 10.40 | 8.60 | +1.80 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 8.90 | 9.00 | -0.10 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 9.30 | 8.00 | +1.30 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 7.10 | 4.00 | +3.10 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 6.50 | 1.80 | +4.70 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | 7.90 | 2.00 | +5.90 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 1.50 | 2.50 | -1.00 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | 3.10 | 2.20 | +0.90 |
| May 11, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.40 | +0.60 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | -0.20 | 1.60 | -1.80 |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1.30 | 3.10 | -1.80 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | 2.10 | 3.30 | -1.20 |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3.40 | 4.70 | -1.30 |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 5.00 | 2.20 | +2.80 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | -0.30 | 2.30 | -2.60 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 |
| Sep 10, 2024 | 1.60 | -2.00 | +3.60 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | -4.00 | 2.10 | -6.10 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | -2.90 | 0.50 | -3.40 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | -6.10 | -6.20 | +0.10 |
| May 9, 2024 | -8.70 | -6.50 | -2.20 |
| Apr 9, 2024 | -7.70 | -8.70 | +1.00 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | -8.80 | -9.50 | +0.70 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | -10.50 | -4.00 | -6.50 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | -11.20 | -9.00 | -2.20 |
| Dec 11, 2023 | -12.30 | -9.00 | -3.30 |
| Nov 9, 2023 | -11.20 | -10.00 | -1.20 |
| Oct 10, 2023 | -12.20 | -8.30 | -3.90 |
| Sep 11, 2023 | -9.50 | -0.40 | -9.10 |
| Aug 10, 2023 | -1.60 | -0.70 | -0.90 |
| Jul 17, 2023 | -1.20 | 2.80 | -4.00 |
| Jun 11, 2023 | 3.20 | 3.50 | -0.30 |
| May 11, 2023 | 4.10 | 4.90 | -0.80 |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 6.00 | 2.20 | +3.80 |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 6.80 | 4.10 | +2.70 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 7.30 | 7.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 8.60 | 12.00 | -3.40 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 14.10 | 9.50 | +4.60 |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 15.70 | 13.30 | +2.40 |
| Oct 10, 2022 | 16.80 | 16.80 | 0.00 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | 17.70 | 18.50 | -0.80 |
| Aug 10, 2022 | 20.80 | 19.00 | +1.80 |
| Jul 10, 2022 | 24.00 | 23.00 | +1.00 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | -19.1 | -19.2 | -0.10 ↓ |
| May 10, 2026 | -14.1 | -15.8 | -1.70 ↓ |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 8.90 | 15 | +6.10 ↑ |
