The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | — | 6.30 | — |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 6.00 | — | — |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 5.30 | 5.40 | -0.10 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 5.30 | 5.40 | -0.10 |
| May 15, 2026 | 5.60 | 5.80 | -0.20 |
| May 15, 2026 | 5.60 | 5.80 | -0.20 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | 5.90 | 5.80 | +0.10 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 5.90 | 5.70 | +0.20 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 6.00 | 6.40 | -0.40 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 5.60 | 5.80 | -0.20 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 6.60 | 7.50 | -0.90 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 7.70 | 7.50 | +0.20 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 8.00 | 7.50 | +0.50 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 8.10 | 8.40 | -0.30 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 8.80 | 9.10 | -0.30 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 9.40 | 9.50 | -0.10 |
| Jun 11, 2025 | 9.90 | 9.90 | 0.00 |
| May 16, 2025 | 10.20 | 10.50 | -0.30 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | 10.30 | 10.50 | -0.20 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 10.10 | 10.10 | 0.00 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 9.90 | 10.00 | -0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 9.50 | 9.70 | -0.20 |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 8.90 | 8.70 | +0.20 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 8.50 | 8.60 | -0.10 |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 8.60 | 8.50 | +0.10 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | 9.10 | 9.00 | +0.10 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 9.10 | 9.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | 8.60 | 8.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 8.30 | 7.90 | +0.40 |
| May 17, 2024 | 7.80 | 7.80 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 7.70 | 7.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 7.70 | 7.60 | +0.10 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 7.40 | 7.60 | -0.20 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 7.40 | 7.60 | -0.20 |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 7.50 | 7.60 | -0.10 |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 6.70 | 6.70 | 0.00 |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 6.00 | 5.80 | +0.20 |
| Sep 8, 2023 | 5.20 | 5.10 | +0.10 |
| Aug 9, 2023 | 4.30 | 4.30 | 0.00 |
| Jul 12, 2023 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| Jun 9, 2023 | 2.50 | 2.40 | +0.10 |
| May 12, 2023 | 2.30 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3.50 | 3.40 | +0.10 |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 11.00 | 11.20 | -0.20 |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 11.80 | 11.50 | +0.30 |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 11.90 | 12.20 | -0.30 |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 12.60 | 13.30 | -0.70 |
