Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | — | -4.60 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | -5.20 | -2.40 | -2.80 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | -5.30 | 2.20 | -7.50 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | -3.00 | 2.00 | -5.00 |
| May 13, 2026 | -2.10 | 1.80 | -3.90 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | -1.60 | 1.50 | -3.10 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | -3.80 | 1.20 | -5.00 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 1.60 | -0.60 | +2.20 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | -0.50 | 0.40 | -0.90 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 0.20 | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 0.20 | 2.60 | -2.40 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | -1.10 | 3.50 | -4.60 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 2.30 | -1.00 | +3.30 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | -0.80 | 0.50 | -1.30 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 3.70 | -1.00 | +4.70 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | -2.40 | -7.80 | +5.40 |
| May 14, 2025 | -7.60 | 1.30 | -8.90 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | -3.20 | 2.50 | -5.70 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2.10 | 0.40 | +1.70 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | -3.40 | 1.20 | -4.60 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | -1.30 | -0.10 | -1.20 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | -0.90 | 1.10 | -2.00 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | -3.60 | 0.80 | -4.40 |
| Oct 14, 2024 | -2.00 | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| Sep 13, 2024 | -3.90 | 1.20 | -5.10 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 0.50 | -1.60 | +2.10 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | -6.50 | 1.10 | -7.60 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 3.60 | 4.90 | -1.30 |
| May 14, 2024 | 2.80 | -1.40 | +4.20 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | -2.20 | -3.00 | +0.80 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | -3.90 | -1.60 | -2.30 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | -2.30 | -2.30 | 0.00 |
| Jan 12, 2024 | -4.40 | -4.00 | -0.40 |
| Nov 14, 2023 | -4.20 | -3.90 | -0.30 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | -5.60 | -4.70 | -0.90 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | -5.30 | -5.30 | 0 ↓ |
| Jun 15, 2026 | -3.10 | -3 | +0.10 ↑ |
| May 13, 2026 | -2.20 | -2.10 | +0.10 ↑ |
| Apr 15, 2026 | -1.50 | -1.60 | -0.10 ↓ |
