Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | -0.40 | -1.50 | +1.10 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | -0.40 | -1.50 | +1.10 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | -1.20 | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | -1.20 | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | -1.20 | -1.70 | +0.50 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | 0.20 | -1.70 | +1.90 |
| May 13, 2026 | 0.20 | — | — |
| May 13, 2026 | -1.70 | 0.70 | -2.40 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 0.10 | — | — |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.60 | +0.10 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1.60 | 1.00 | +0.60 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| May 15, 2025 | 0.20 | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.70 | -0.20 |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 0.70 | 1.50 | -0.80 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.00 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.80 | +0.10 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 0.80 | 2.80 | -2.00 |
| Jun 7, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3.00 | 2.90 | +0.10 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 2.90 | 2.30 | +0.60 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | -1.20 | 0.20 | +1.40 ↑ |
| May 13, 2026 | -1.70 | 0.20 | +1.90 ↑ |
