Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -1.20 | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 0.80 | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | -2.40 | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| May 7, 2026 | 2.60 | 0.40 | +2.20 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 0.50 | 1.20 | -0.70 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | -3.70 | -1.50 | -2.20 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 0.10 | 0.70 | -0.60 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | -1.10 | 0.50 | -1.60 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1.30 | 2.80 | -1.50 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | -4.00 | -0.20 | -3.80 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 0.30 | 1.20 | -0.90 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | 1.10 | 0.40 | +0.70 |
| Jul 7, 2025 | -0.10 | -0.30 | +0.20 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | 0.40 | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| May 8, 2025 | -0.30 | 0.90 | -1.20 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | -1.00 | 0.50 | -1.50 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 0.10 | 3.50 | -3.40 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | -1.30 | 0.30 | -1.60 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 0.90 | -0.10 | +1.00 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.40 | +0.50 |
| Oct 7, 2024 | 1.60 | 0.10 | +1.50 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | -1.80 | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| Aug 6, 2024 | 1.90 | 0.60 | +1.30 |
| Jul 5, 2024 | -0.40 | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| Jun 6, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.20 | +0.60 |
| May 8, 2024 | 0.70 | -0.30 | +1.00 |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 0.60 | -2.00 | +2.60 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 3.80 | 0.60 | +3.20 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | -0.20 | -0.60 | +0.40 |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1.70 | 0.20 | +1.50 |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 0.90 | -0.20 | +1.10 |
| Nov 8, 2023 | -0.70 | 0.60 | -1.30 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | 1.30 | 0.80 | -0.50 ↓ |
| Jun 4, 2026 | -2.60 | -2.40 | +0.20 ↑ |
| May 7, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0 ↓ |
| Apr 8, 2026 | -0.20 | 0.50 | +0.70 ↑ |
