Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 3.23 | 3.40 | -0.17 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 3.56 | 2.50 | +1.06 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 1.75 | 1.90 | -0.15 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 1.80 | 3.20 | -1.40 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 3.73 | 3.55 | +0.18 |
| May 26, 2026 | 3.50 | 3.00 | +0.50 |
| May 15, 2026 | 3.21 | 2.20 | +1.01 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 3.68 | 3.10 | +0.58 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3.54 | 3.60 | -0.06 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 3.20 | 2.80 | +0.40 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | 3.83 | 1.80 | +2.03 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1.53 | 3.40 | -1.87 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3.62 | 3.20 | +0.42 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3.40 | 3.00 | +0.40 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3.94 | 3.00 | +0.94 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3.18 | 3.10 | +0.08 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 3.41 | 2.50 | +0.91 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.30 | +0.60 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 4.52 | 4.70 | -0.18 |
| Jul 15, 2025 | 2.67 | 1.00 | +1.67 |
| Jun 15, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| May 26, 2025 | 3.90 | 3.00 | +0.90 |
| May 15, 2025 | 4.67 | 3.20 | +1.47 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 2.68 | 3.80 | -1.12 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 4.07 | 3.90 | +0.17 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | 4.20 | 3.50 | +0.70 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | 4.85 | 4.10 | +0.75 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3.93 | 3.20 | +0.73 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3.38 | 2.90 | +0.48 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 3.80 | 3.20 | +0.60 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3.16 | 3.10 | +0.06 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3.53 | 3.50 | +0.03 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | 4.47 | 1.20 | +3.27 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | 3.60 | 1.30 | +2.30 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 0.21 | 4.50 | -4.29 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 5.04 | 4.00 | +1.04 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | 5.28 | 3.10 | +2.18 |
| May 26, 2024 | 1.40 | 0.20 | +1.20 |
| May 15, 2024 | -0.28 | 1.80 | -2.08 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2.85 | 1.60 | +1.25 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1.37 | 1.70 | -0.33 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | -0.40 | -0.70 | +0.30 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | -0.74 | 0.30 | -1.04 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 0.29 | — | — |
| Dec 15, 2023 | -0.82 | -0.60 | -0.22 |
| Nov 27, 2023 | -1.00 | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | -1.29 | -0.65 | -0.64 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | -0.63 | -0.20 | -0.43 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
