Food Inflation YoY tracks the annual percentage change in the prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages purchased by households. As a significant component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), it directly impacts the cost of living and consumer purchasing power. Central banks monitor food prices closely to distinguish between transitory supply shocks and broader inflationary pressures that might require interest rate adjustments.
It is calculated using a weighted basket of food items, comparing their current market prices to the prices of the same items exactly one year prior. The weighting is based on average household expenditure surveys.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.40 | -0.50 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 2.50 | 3.00 | -0.50 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 3.20 | 2.70 | +0.50 |
| May 14, 2026 | 2.60 | 3.90 | -1.30 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | 3.40 | 4.70 | -1.30 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 4.50 | 4.80 | -0.30 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 4.60 | 4.20 | +0.40 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 4.00 | 4.60 | -0.60 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 4.70 | 4.30 | +0.40 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 4.10 | 4.70 | -0.60 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 5.00 | 5.20 | -0.20 |
| Aug 14, 2025 | 5.00 | 4.80 | +0.20 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 4.60 | 4.50 | +0.10 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.00 | +0.40 |
| May 14, 2025 | 3.70 | 3.30 | +0.40 |
| Apr 14, 2025 | 3.50 | 2.20 | +1.30 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2.40 | 2.50 | -0.10 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | 2.30 | 1.60 | +0.70 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1.50 | 2.80 | -1.30 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.40 | -0.10 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.50 | -0.30 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1.20 | 1.70 | -0.50 |
| Sep 11, 2024 | 0.40 | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | 0.60 | -0.50 | +1.10 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | -0.30 | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 0.20 | 0.70 | -0.50 |
| May 12, 2024 | 0.80 | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 0.70 | 1.80 | -1.10 |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2.10 | 3.40 | -1.30 |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 4.00 | 4.40 | -0.40 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 4.80 | 5.70 | -0.90 |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 6.00 | — | — |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 6.30 | 7.40 | -1.10 |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 8.00 | 7.50 | +0.50 |
| Sep 12, 2023 | 8.90 | — | — |
| Aug 10, 2023 | 9.60 | — | — |
| Jul 12, 2023 | 12.50 | — | — |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 12.10 | — | — |
| May 10, 2023 | 12.50 | — | — |
| Apr 16, 2023 | 12.10 | — | — |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 12.00 | — | — |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 10.30 | — | — |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 11.30 | — | — |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 10.70 | — | — |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 10.10 | — | — |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 8.30 | — | — |
| Sep 12, 2022 | 8.30 | — | — |
| Aug 11, 2022 | 7.40 | — | — |
| Jul 12, 2022 | 6.60 | — | — |
