The reading has risen in each of the last 4 releases.
Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | 2.60 | 2.30 | +0.30 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.10 | +0.60 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.70 | -0.20 |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | -0.60 | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | -0.70 | -0.80 | +0.10 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | -1.10 | -1.40 | +0.30 |
| Dec 18, 2024 | -1.50 | -0.40 | -1.10 |
| Sep 18, 2024 | -0.50 | -0.50 | 0.00 |
| Jun 19, 2024 | 0.30 | 0.20 | +0.10 |
| Mar 20, 2024 | -0.30 | 0.10 | -0.40 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | -0.60 | 0.50 | -1.10 |
| Sep 20, 2023 | 1.80 | 1.20 | +0.60 |
| Jun 14, 2023 | 2.20 | 2.60 | -0.40 |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2.20 | 3.30 | -1.10 |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 6.40 | 5.50 | +0.90 |
| Sep 14, 2022 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Jun 15, 2022 | 1.20 | — | — |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3.10 | 3.30 | -0.20 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | -0.30 | -1.60 | +1.30 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.70 | +0.20 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1.30 | 1.50 | +0.20 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
