The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | 15.43 | 15.70 | -0.27 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 15.43 | — | — |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 15.91 | 16.00 | -0.09 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 15.91 | — | — |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 15.93 | 15.80 | +0.13 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 15.93 | — | — |
| May 15, 2026 | 15.69 | — | — |
| May 15, 2026 | 15.69 | 15.70 | -0.01 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 15.38 | 15.00 | +0.38 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 15.06 | 14.70 | +0.36 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 15.10 | 13.30 | +1.80 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 15.15 | 12.00 | +3.15 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 14.45 | 14.50 | -0.05 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 16.05 | 17.50 | -1.45 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 18.02 | 19.70 | -1.68 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 20.12 | 21.60 | -1.48 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 21.88 | 21.60 | +0.28 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 22.22 | 22.70 | -0.48 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 22.97 | 24.00 | -1.03 |
| May 15, 2025 | 23.71 | 23.80 | -0.09 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 24.23 | 23.40 | +0.83 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 23.18 | 24.00 | -0.82 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 24.48 | 34.30 | -9.82 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 34.80 | 35.00 | -0.20 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 34.60 | 33.30 | +1.30 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 33.88 | 33.50 | +0.38 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 32.70 | 34.00 | -1.30 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | 32.15 | 33.00 | -0.85 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 33.40 | 33.70 | -0.30 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 34.19 | 35.30 | -1.11 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | 33.95 | 34.00 | -0.05 |
| May 15, 2024 | 33.69 | 36.00 | -2.31 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 33.20 | 33.00 | +0.20 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 31.70 | 31.00 | +0.70 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 29.90 | 29.50 | +0.40 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 28.92 | 30.00 | -1.08 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 28.20 | 27.90 | +0.30 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 27.33 | 27.40 | -0.07 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 26.72 | 26.30 | +0.42 |
