Food Inflation YoY tracks the annual percentage change in the prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages purchased by households. As a significant component of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), it directly impacts the cost of living and consumer purchasing power. Central banks monitor food prices closely to distinguish between transitory supply shocks and broader inflationary pressures that might require interest rate adjustments.
It is calculated using a weighted basket of food items, comparing their current market prices to the prices of the same items exactly one year prior. The weighting is based on average household expenditure surveys.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | 20.31 | 17.80 | +2.51 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 17.52 | 17.50 | +0.02 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 16.96 | 17.60 | -0.64 |
| May 15, 2026 | 16.06 | 14.70 | +1.36 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | 14.31 | 11.00 | +3.31 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 12.12 | 8.30 | +3.82 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 8.89 | 10.30 | -1.41 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 10.84 | 10.50 | +0.34 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 11.08 | 12.00 | -0.92 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 13.12 | 16.50 | -3.38 |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 16.87 | 21.60 | -4.73 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 21.87 | 23.10 | -1.23 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 22.74 | — | — |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 21.97 | 21.00 | +0.97 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | 21.14 | 21.50 | -0.36 |
| May 15, 2025 | 21.26 | 20.50 | +0.76 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 21.79 | 23.50 | -1.71 |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 23.51 | 25.00 | -1.49 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 26.08 | 38.50 | -12.42 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 39.84 | 41.00 | -1.16 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 39.93 | 40.00 | -0.07 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 39.16 | 38.60 | +0.56 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 37.77 | 39.00 | -1.23 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | 37.52 | 39.00 | -1.48 |
| Aug 15, 2024 | 39.53 | 40.70 | -1.17 |
| Jul 15, 2024 | 40.87 | 41.50 | -0.63 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | 40.66 | 41.00 | -0.34 |
| May 15, 2024 | 40.53 | 42.50 | -1.97 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 40.01 | 39.20 | +0.81 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 37.92 | 36.70 | +1.22 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 35.41 | 34.50 | +0.91 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 33.93 | 34.00 | -0.07 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 32.84 | 32.30 | +0.54 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 31.52 | 31.00 | +0.52 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 30.64 | 30.50 | +0.14 |
