The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -0.30 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -0.10 |
| Jun 19, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -0.10 |
| May 19, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| May 19, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.40 | +0.20 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.50 | -0.10 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.50 | -0.20 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.40 | +0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | 1.10 | 1.20 | -0.10 |
| Jun 24, 2025 | 1.20 | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| May 22, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -0.30 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 1.90 | 1.80 | +0.10 |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | 2.00 | 2.10 | -0.10 |
| Jul 24, 2024 | 2.00 | 2.20 | -0.20 |
| Jun 25, 2024 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| May 24, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Apr 25, 2024 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.40 | +0.40 |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1.50 | 1.60 | -0.10 |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1.50 | 1.70 | -0.20 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1.80 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1.90 | 2.20 | -0.30 |
