Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5.30 | 4.90 | +0.40 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 6.00 | 5.80 | +0.20 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 5.80 | 5.30 | +0.50 |
| May 15, 2026 | 5.40 | 5.30 | +0.10 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 5.30 | 5.50 | -0.20 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | 6.30 | 5.70 | +0.60 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 6.30 | 5.70 | +0.60 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 5.70 | 5.00 | +0.70 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 5.20 | 5.20 | 0.00 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 5.20 | 4.50 | +0.70 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Jul 18, 2025 | 4.50 | 4.20 | +0.30 |
| May 16, 2025 | 4.40 | 4.50 | -0.10 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | 4.40 | 5.00 | -0.60 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | 5.00 | 4.80 | +0.20 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 4.80 | 6.00 | -1.20 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 5.30 | 5.30 | 0.00 |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 5.30 | 4.90 | +0.40 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 5.90 | 5.80 | +0.10 |
| Jul 19, 2024 | 5.80 | 3.50 | +2.30 |
| May 17, 2024 | 4.20 | 3.90 | +0.30 |
| Apr 19, 2024 | 3.90 | 2.60 | +1.30 |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.40 | -0.40 |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3.30 | 3.00 | +0.30 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3.30 | 1.50 | +1.80 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
