The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | -0.60 | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 0.30 | 1.00 | -0.70 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 1.20 | 2.10 | -0.90 |
| May 22, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.50 | +0.20 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 0.90 | -0.80 | +1.70 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | -0.60 | -1.00 | +0.40 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | -0.80 | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | -0.30 | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | -0.30 | 0.20 | -0.50 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.50 | -0.40 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | 0.30 | 0.70 | -0.40 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.20 | +0.30 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | 0.40 | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| May 22, 2025 | 0.70 | 1.30 | -0.60 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | 1.60 | 2.40 | -0.80 |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2.60 | 1.70 | +0.90 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | 2.00 | 0.80 | +1.20 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.90 | -0.20 |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 0.80 | 0.70 | +0.10 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 0.70 | 1.00 | -0.30 |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 0.80 | 2.30 | -1.50 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 1.70 | — | — |
| Aug 19, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.60 | -0.30 |
| Jul 22, 2024 | 1.80 | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| Jun 21, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.50 | -0.10 |
| May 21, 2024 | 0.20 | 1.10 | -0.90 |
| Apr 22, 2024 | 0.90 | 2.20 | -1.30 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 0.30 | 2.10 | -1.80 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2.30 | 3.20 | -0.90 |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3.40 | 4.00 | -0.60 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3.60 | 4.50 | -0.90 |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 4.30 | 5.00 | -0.70 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 4.90 | 5.20 | -0.30 |
