The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 15.70 | 17.00 | -1.30 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 17.30 | 18.00 | -0.70 |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 19.00 | 21.80 | -2.80 |
| May 21, 2026 | 20.00 | 19.00 | +1.00 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 17.30 | 20.00 | -2.70 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 12.30 | 12.00 | +0.30 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 10.90 | 12.00 | -1.10 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 12.20 | 11.00 | +1.20 |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 14.70 | 16.70 | -2.00 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 16.40 | 16.00 | +0.40 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 15.10 | 13.10 | +2.00 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | 14.20 | 14.50 | -0.30 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 14.30 | 15.00 | -0.70 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | 15.00 | 11.00 | +4.00 |
| Jun 23, 2025 | 14.40 | — | — |
| May 21, 2025 | 13.00 | 14.00 | -1.00 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | 14.20 | 12.00 | +2.20 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 14.20 | 12.00 | +2.20 |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 15.60 | 15.00 | +0.60 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 16.10 | 19.00 | -2.90 |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 18.10 | 15.00 | +3.10 |
| Dec 24, 2024 | 15.40 | 14.70 | +0.70 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | 15.70 | 31.00 | -15.30 |
| Oct 21, 2024 | 32.90 | 34.00 | -1.10 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | 35.00 | 29.50 | +5.50 |
| Aug 26, 2024 | 35.40 | 34.50 | +0.90 |
| Jul 22, 2024 | 41.80 | 45.00 | -3.20 |
| Jun 21, 2024 | 51.60 | 55.00 | -3.40 |
| May 21, 2024 | 59.70 | 65.00 | -5.30 |
| Apr 22, 2024 | 70.40 | 90.00 | -19.60 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 123.20 | 150.00 | -26.80 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 177.30 | 188.00 | -10.70 |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 192.30 | 205.00 | -12.70 |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 211.90 | 190.00 | +21.90 |
| Nov 21, 2023 | 215.40 | 200.00 | +15.40 |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 208.50 | 225.00 | -16.50 |
