Business Confidence is an economic indicator based on surveys of business leaders regarding their outlook on the economy and their own company's performance. It covers critical aspects such as production levels, new orders, and employment intentions for the coming months. High business confidence is a leading indicator, as it often precedes increased capital expenditure and hiring, signaling future economic expansion.
The indicator is typically based on a diffusion index derived from surveys where respondents rate the relative level of business conditions. A reading above a certain threshold (like 50 or 0) indicates optimism, while a reading below indicates pessimism.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | — | 78.00 | — |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 81.00 | 83.00 | -2.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 82.00 | 81.00 | +1.00 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 78.00 | 82.00 | -4.00 |
| May 26, 2026 | 80.00 | 73.00 | +7.00 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 74.00 | 69.00 | +5.00 |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 71.00 | 68.00 | +3.00 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 72.00 | 75.00 | -3.00 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 73.00 | 71.00 | +2.00 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 70.00 | 72.00 | -2.00 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 70.00 | 69.00 | +1.00 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 68.00 | 71.00 | -3.00 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 70.00 | 72.00 | -2.00 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | 70.00 | 69.00 | +1.00 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | 68.00 | 71.00 | -3.00 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | 70.00 | 75.00 | -5.00 |
| May 27, 2025 | 73.00 | 70.00 | +3.00 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 68.00 | 60.00 | +8.00 |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 68.00 | 68.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 65.00 | 65.00 | 0.00 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 63.00 | 60.00 | +3.00 |
| Dec 26, 2024 | 62.00 | 67.00 | -5.00 |
| Nov 26, 2024 | 68.00 | 71.00 | -3.00 |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 69.00 | 70.00 | -1.00 |
| Sep 26, 2024 | 69.00 | 73.00 | -4.00 |
| Aug 20, 2024 | 71.00 | 71.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 24, 2024 | 73.00 | 76.00 | -3.00 |
| Jun 26, 2024 | 78.00 | 72.00 | +6.00 |
| May 21, 2024 | 74.00 | 72.00 | +2.00 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | 73.00 | 71.00 | +2.00 |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 71.00 | 69.00 | +2.00 |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 70.00 | 72.00 | -2.00 |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 71.00 | 70.00 | +1.00 |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 70.00 | 72.00 | -2.00 |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 70.00 | 69.00 | +1.00 |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 69.00 | 68.00 | +1.00 |
| Sep 26, 2023 | 68.00 | 69.00 | -1.00 |
| Aug 22, 2023 | 67.00 | 72.00 | -5.00 |
| Jul 27, 2023 | 72.00 | 71.00 | +1.00 |
| Jun 28, 2023 | 73.00 | 75.00 | -2.00 |
| May 23, 2023 | 73.00 | 70.00 | +3.00 |
| Apr 26, 2023 | 70.00 | 69.00 | +1.00 |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 70.00 | 68.00 | +2.00 |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 63.00 | 72.00 | -9.00 |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 66.00 | 68.00 | -2.00 |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 71.00 | 72.00 | -1.00 |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 74.00 | 72.00 | +2.00 |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 73.00 | 76.00 | -3.00 |
| Sep 28, 2022 | 75.00 | 79.00 | -4.00 |
| Aug 23, 2022 | 80.00 | 78.00 | +2.00 |
| Jul 27, 2022 | 80.00 | 82.00 | -2.00 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | 79 | 78 | -1 ↓ |
