The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | 1.90 | 2.00 | -0.10 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.70 | +0.20 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 1.80 | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.80 | +0.10 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.60 | -0.10 |
| May 28, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| May 21, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 1.50 | 2.30 | -0.80 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 0.00 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 1.50 | 1.90 | -0.40 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2.10 | 2.70 | -0.60 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.30 | -0.20 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 19, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.60 | -0.10 |
| May 22, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3.70 | 4.20 | -0.50 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 4.00 | 3.70 | +0.30 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3.60 | 3.20 | +0.40 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2.90 | 2.50 | +0.40 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.70 | -0.20 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.90 | -0.10 |
| Jul 18, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Jun 20, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.50 | +0.30 |
| May 23, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.30 | +0.20 |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2.80 | 3.00 | -0.20 |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2.80 | 2.60 | +0.20 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 3.30 | 3.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -0.10 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | 3.20 | 3.30 | -0.10 |
| Aug 17, 2023 | 3.30 | 2.50 | +0.80 |
| Jul 20, 2023 | 3.30 | 3.50 | -0.20 |
| Jun 22, 2023 | 3.20 | 4.10 | -0.90 |
| May 18, 2023 | 3.50 | 2.50 | +1.00 |
| Apr 20, 2023 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 4.30 | 4.20 | +0.10 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3.80 | 3.90 | -0.10 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | 2 | 1.80 | -0.20 ↓ |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 0 ↓ |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0 ↓ |
