The Core Inflation Rate Year-over-Year tracks the percentage change in the prices of consumer goods and services over the last 12 months, excluding food and energy. This annual perspective is vital for understanding the sustained trajectory of inflation and its impact on purchasing power over time. It is a primary reference point for cost-of-living adjustments and long-term economic planning. Central banks use this metric to gauge whether inflation is trending toward their long-term targets.
The index compares the current month's Core CPI level to the level from the same month in the previous year to determine the annual percentage growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| May 21, 2026 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1.60 | 1.70 | -0.10 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 19, 2025 | 3.70 | 3.60 | +0.10 |
| May 22, 2025 | 3.50 | 3.40 | +0.10 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3.00 | 2.90 | +0.10 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.20 | +0.10 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2.40 | 2.30 | +0.10 |
| Sep 19, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 0.00 |
| Jul 18, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Jun 20, 2024 | 2.50 | 2.60 | -0.10 |
| May 23, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +0.20 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 0.00 |
| Nov 23, 2023 | 2.90 | 3.00 | -0.10 |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | 3.10 | 3.00 | +0.10 |
| Aug 17, 2023 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 20, 2023 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 22, 2023 | 3.20 | 3.10 | +0.10 |
| May 18, 2023 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Apr 20, 2023 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 0.00 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 4.20 | 4.20 | 0.00 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 0.00 |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3.60 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Sep 19, 2022 | 2.80 | 2.70 | +0.10 |
| Aug 18, 2022 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 21, 2022 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
