The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) is a composite index designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. It combines ten different economic components, such as jobless claims, building permits, and stock prices, into a single predictive tool. By aggregating these diverse data points, the index helps investors and policymakers identify potential recessions or recoveries months in advance. It is one of the most respected forecasting tools for the US economy.
The index is calculated as a weighted average of 10 leading economic indicators that have historically shown a tendency to precede changes in the overall economy. The components are adjusted periodically to maintain their predictive accuracy.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | 114.00 | 114.50 | -0.50 |
| May 12, 2026 | 114.50 | 114.40 | +0.10 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 113.30 | 112.40 | +0.90 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 112.40 | 112.40 | 0.00 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 112.10 | 112.40 | -0.30 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 112.40 | 113.00 | -0.60 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 112.40 | 113.00 | -0.60 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 111.00 | 110.20 | +0.80 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 110.20 | 109.80 | +0.40 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 109.90 | 110.50 | -0.60 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 110.50 | 110.40 | +0.10 |
| Dec 24, 2025 | 109.80 | 110.00 | -0.20 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 110.00 | 109.30 | +0.70 |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 108.60 | 108.00 | +0.60 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 108.00 | 107.90 | +0.10 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 107.00 | 107.40 | -0.40 |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 107.40 | 107.10 | +0.30 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 106.10 | 105.90 | +0.20 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 105.90 | 105.80 | +0.10 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 105.60 | 106.10 | -0.50 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 106.10 | 106.00 | +0.10 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | 104.80 | 105.30 | -0.50 |
| Jul 7, 2025 | 105.30 | 105.30 | 0.00 |
| Jun 25, 2025 | 104.20 | 103.40 | +0.80 |
| Jun 6, 2025 | 103.40 | 104.00 | -0.60 |
| May 26, 2025 | 108.10 | 107.70 | +0.40 |
| May 9, 2025 | 107.70 | 107.40 | +0.30 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 107.90 | 107.90 | 0.00 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 107.90 | 107.80 | +0.10 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 108.30 | 108.00 | +0.30 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 108.00 | 108.10 | -0.10 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 108.30 | 108.90 | -0.60 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 108.90 | 108.20 | +0.70 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 107.50 | 107.00 | +0.50 |
| Dec 25, 2024 | 109.10 | 108.60 | +0.50 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 108.60 | 108.90 | -0.30 |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 109.10 | 109.40 | -0.30 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 106.90 | 106.70 | +0.20 |
| Oct 7, 2024 | 106.70 | 107.20 | -0.50 |
| Jun 7, 2024 | 111.60 | 111.60 | 0.00 |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 109.90 | 109.70 | +0.20 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 110.20 | 110.00 | +0.20 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 110.00 | 109.40 | +0.60 |