Industrial Production Year-over-Year (YoY) measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities compared to the same month in the previous year. It is a key indicator of economic strength, as the industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of GDP and is highly sensitive to interest rates and consumer demand. Consistent growth in industrial production often precedes broader economic expansion.
The index is compiled using physical output data from various industries, weighted by their contribution to the total economy. The YoY figure compares the current month's index level to the level from 12 months prior.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 3.30 | 0.90 | +2.40 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 1.20 | -1.70 | +2.90 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | -1.30 | 0.50 | -1.80 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 0.30 | -1.00 | +1.30 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | -1.20 | 1.50 | -2.70 |
| May 20, 2026 | 1.10 | -3.20 | +4.30 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | -0.72 | 0.90 | -1.62 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 0.62 | 1.70 | -1.08 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | 0.35 | 2.00 | -1.65 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1.38 | 1.50 | -0.12 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1.19 | — | — |
| Nov 13, 2025 | -0.80 | — | — |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2.07 | — | — |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 1.23 | — | — |
| Aug 19, 2025 | 0.43 | — | — |
| Jul 14, 2025 | 0.74 | — | — |
| Jun 19, 2025 | 1.37 | — | — |
| Jun 18, 2025 | 1.37 | — | — |
| May 20, 2025 | 1.73 | — | — |
| Apr 16, 2025 | 4.11 | — | — |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2.76 | — | — |
| Feb 18, 2025 | 4.67 | 4.00 | +0.67 |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3.08 | 0.90 | +2.18 |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1.20 | — | — |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3.41 | 3.10 | +0.31 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1.31 | 0.80 | +0.51 |
| Sep 23, 2024 | 0.63 | -3.20 | +3.83 |
| Aug 22, 2024 | -3.02 | 2.90 | -5.92 |
| Jul 18, 2024 | -2.68 | 1.50 | -4.18 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | 1.83 | 0.75 | +1.08 |
| May 28, 2024 | 0.33 | 2.80 | -2.47 |
| Apr 22, 2024 | 1.45 | 1.90 | -0.45 |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1.40 | -1.00 | +2.40 |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1.20 | -4.00 | +5.20 |
| Jan 22, 2024 | -4.60 | -2.50 | -2.10 |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 0.40 | 1.50 | -1.10 |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1.90 | -4.10 | +6.00 |
The latest reading is 1.3 standard deviations above the mean.
