The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | — | 2.80 | — |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 2.79 | 3.20 | -0.41 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 2.83 | 2.80 | +0.03 |
| May 15, 2026 | 2.49 | 2.20 | +0.29 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 1.87 | 2.00 | -0.13 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 1.17 | 1.30 | -0.13 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 1.06 | 1.40 | -0.34 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1.31 | 0.90 | +0.41 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1.28 | 2.00 | -0.72 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | 1.74 | 1.50 | +0.24 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 1.32 | 1.70 | -0.38 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | 1.68 | 2.10 | -0.42 |
| Jul 11, 2025 | 2.02 | 2.00 | +0.02 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 1.98 | 2.00 | -0.02 |
| May 13, 2025 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +0.03 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | 1.64 | 2.20 | -0.56 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2.10 | 2.30 | -0.20 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | 2.30 | 1.80 | +0.50 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.50 | +0.30 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1.30 | 0.90 | +0.40 |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 0.80 | 1.10 | -0.30 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1.00 | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Aug 12, 2024 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Jul 12, 2024 | 1.80 | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 1.80 | 1.10 | +0.70 |
| May 13, 2024 | 1.30 | 1.50 | -0.20 |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1.60 | 2.50 | -0.90 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1.60 | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2.00 | 1.70 | +0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1.60 | 1.50 | +0.10 |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1.40 | 1.30 | +0.10 |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 1.20 | 1.10 | +0.10 |
