The Trade Balance represents the difference between the value of a country's exported and imported goods and services. A positive value indicates a trade surplus, while a negative value indicates a trade deficit. It is a major component of the Current Account and directly impacts the calculation of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
The data is compiled by the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis using customs documentation for goods and survey data for services.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2026 | — | 3.10 | — |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 1.77 | 7.50 | -5.73 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 8.25 | 4.77 | +3.48 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 4.34 | 4.74 | -0.40 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 4.95 | 4.50 | +0.45 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 4.42 | 5.19 | -0.77 |
| May 18, 2026 | 4.81 | 5.20 | -0.39 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 4.98 | 3.83 | +1.15 |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1.09 | 5.60 | -4.51 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2.12 | — | — |
| Feb 17, 2026 | 6.04 | 4.50 | +1.54 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 8.39 | — | — |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 5.08 | 5.20 | -0.12 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 6.92 | — | — |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 4.16 | 3.22 | +0.94 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 5.32 | — | — |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2.85 | 3.20 | -0.35 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2.74 | — | — |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2.05 | 7.55 | -5.50 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | 7.91 | 5.50 | +2.41 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | 5.41 | 7.12 | -1.71 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | 6.16 | 2.87 | +3.29 |
| Jun 13, 2025 | 2.48 | 2.75 | -0.27 |
| May 16, 2025 | 3.66 | 5.20 | -1.54 |
| May 2, 2025 | 5.96 | — | — |
| Apr 18, 2025 | 4.47 | 5.10 | -0.63 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 4.71 | — | — |
| Mar 18, 2025 | -0.26 | 5.15 | -5.41 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | 5.98 | 4.35 | +1.63 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 4.22 | 4.50 | -0.28 |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 5.15 | 3.22 | +1.93 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2.58 | 2.55 | +0.03 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1.43 | 5.55 | -4.12 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | 6.74 | 4.50 | +2.24 |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 5.07 | 5.55 | -0.48 |
| Jul 16, 2024 | 6.43 | 3.55 | +2.88 |
| Jun 14, 2024 | 4.81 | 4.25 | +0.56 |
| May 16, 2024 | 4.34 | 4.77 | -0.43 |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 6.03 | 3.44 | +2.59 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2.65 | -2.80 | +5.46 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 5.61 | 3.65 | +1.96 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3.89 | 5.20 | -1.31 |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 4.70 | 3.45 | +1.25 |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2.35 | -1.50 | +3.85 |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2.07 | 6.05 | -3.98 |
| Sep 15, 2023 | 6.38 | 6.40 | -0.03 |
| Aug 11, 2023 | 7.72 | 6.49 | +1.23 |
| Jul 14, 2023 | 4.71 | 1.45 | +3.26 |
| Jun 15, 2023 | 0.32 | 2.90 | -2.58 |
| May 17, 2023 | 7.54 | 2.50 | +5.04 |
| Apr 18, 2023 | 2.11 | 1.10 | +1.01 |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | 8.24 | 8.25 | +0.01 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 4.23 | 4.34 | +0.11 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 4.79 | 4.95 | +0.15 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 4.29 | 4.42 | +0.13 |
| May 18, 2026 | 4.71 | 4.81 | +0.10 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 4.94 | 4.98 | +0.04 |
The latest reading is 1.4 standard deviations below the mean.