Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | — | 1.20 | — |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | 1.00 | 0.70 | +0.30 |
| May 29, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.70 | +0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.60 | +0.20 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 0.80 | 0.60 | +0.20 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | 0.40 | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| May 30, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.60 | +0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.60 | -0.10 |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.70 | -0.30 |
| Sep 2, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Jul 30, 2024 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| May 31, 2024 | 0.70 | 0.60 | +0.10 |
| Apr 30, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.40 | +0.20 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 0.60 | 0.50 | +0.10 |
| Jan 30, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 0.10 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Oct 31, 2023 | 0.00 | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Oct 4, 2023 | 0.30 | 0.40 | -0.10 |
| Sep 1, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Jul 31, 2023 | 0.60 | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| May 31, 2023 | 1.90 | 1.80 | +0.10 |
| Apr 28, 2023 | 1.80 | 1.40 | +0.40 |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1.40 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1.70 | 1.60 | +0.10 |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2.60 | 2.00 | +0.60 |
| Sep 1, 2022 | 4.70 | 4.60 | +0.10 |
| Jul 29, 2022 | 4.60 | 3.70 | +0.90 |
| May 31, 2022 | 6.20 | 5.80 | +0.40 |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 5.80 | 5.80 | 0.00 |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 6.20 | 6.40 | -0.20 |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 6.40 | 6.20 | +0.20 |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3.90 | 3.80 | +0.10 |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3.80 | 3.00 | +0.80 |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
