Retail Sales MoM measures the monthly change in the total value of sales at the retail level, serving as the primary gauge of consumer spending. Since consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of overall economic activity, this indicator is a critical driver of GDP growth. It provides early insights into household consumption patterns and the underlying strength of the domestic economy.
The data is compiled from a survey of retail firms of various sizes and types. The figure is seasonally adjusted to account for holiday periods and trading day differences, though it is not adjusted for inflation.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | — | 0.20 | — |
| Aug 4, 2026 | -0.10 | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 0.20 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | 0.00 | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| May 6, 2026 | 0.80 | -0.40 | +1.20 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 0.60 | 0.20 | +0.40 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | -0.80 | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 0.50 | 0.30 | +0.20 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 0.50 | 0.40 | +0.10 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -0.50 | 0.10 | -0.60 |
| Oct 3, 2025 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 0.00 | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.20 | +0.40 |
| Jul 4, 2025 | -0.40 | 0.50 | -0.90 |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 0.70 | 0.20 | +0.50 |
| May 7, 2025 | -0.50 | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | -0.40 | 0.10 | -0.50 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 0.60 | 0.10 | +0.50 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | -0.40 | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | -0.50 | 0.90 | -1.40 |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1.20 | 0.20 | +1.00 |
| Oct 4, 2024 | -0.50 | 0.20 | -0.70 |
| Sep 6, 2024 | 0.50 | 0.10 | +0.40 |
| Aug 2, 2024 | -0.20 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Jul 5, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Jun 6, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.30 | -0.40 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 0.10 | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1.00 | 0.20 | +0.80 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | -0.10 | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Nov 8, 2023 | -0.30 | 0.40 | -0.70 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | -0.40 | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| Sep 7, 2023 | 0.40 | 0.20 | +0.20 |
| Aug 3, 2023 | -0.20 | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Jul 7, 2023 | 0.70 | 0.10 | +0.60 |
| Jun 7, 2023 | 0.20 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Apr 5, 2023 | -0.10 | -0.70 | +0.60 |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1.70 | -0.20 | +1.90 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | -0.20 | -0.80 | +0.60 |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 0.80 | -0.90 | +1.70 |
| Dec 7, 2022 | -0.40 | -0.60 | +0.20 |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 0.50 | -0.50 | +1.00 |
| Oct 7, 2022 | -0.40 | -0.50 | +0.10 |
| Sep 7, 2022 | 1.30 | -0.30 | +1.60 |
| Aug 3, 2022 | -1.10 | -1.10 | 0.00 |
| Jul 11, 2022 | 1.90 | -1.20 | +3.10 |
| May 6, 2022 | -0.50 | — | — |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.00 |
| Mar 8, 2022 | -0.50 | 0.30 | -0.80 |
