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5-Year Bond Auction

ItalyMonthly
SummaryAbout This IndicatorHistorical Data138
Latest release · September 29, 2026 · 09:10 UTC
4.08
No forecast was recorded for this release
Last five prints
3.163.033.393.444.08

The reading has risen in each of the last 3 releases.

Forecast
—
Previous
3.44Actual is higher by 0.64

About This Indicator

Description

An auction of 'Buoni del Tesoro Poliennali' (BTP), which are medium-to-long term Italian government bonds with a five-year maturity. This event is a key indicator of investor confidence in Italy's ability to manage its sovereign debt over a medium-term horizon. The auction results, particularly the average yield and the bid-to-cover ratio, provide insights into market liquidity and risk appetite for Italian assets.

Methodology

The auction is conducted via a marginal price method. The Treasury sets the volume, and primary dealers submit competitive bids; the final yield is determined by the lowest price accepted to fill the total volume.

Historical Data

View data as table
DateActualForecastSurprise
Sep 29, 20264.08——
Aug 28, 20263.44——
Jul 30, 20263.39——
Jun 26, 20263.03——
May 28, 20263.16——
Apr 29, 20263.32——
Source · Italian Ministry of Economy & FinanceView Source

Statistics

138 readings
  • Mean2.88
  • Std Deviation0.62
  • TrendRising
  • Year-over-year change+0.71
Latest reading against its usual range (mean ± one standard deviation)
4.082.252.883.50

The latest reading is 1.9 standard deviations above the mean.