The Year-over-Year Inflation Rate measures the percentage change in the price of a basket of goods and services compared to the same month in the previous year. It is the primary gauge of purchasing power and is used by central banks to determine monetary policy and interest rate adjustments. High inflation often leads to tighter monetary policy, while low inflation may prompt stimulus measures.
It is calculated by comparing the current Consumer Price Index (CPI) to the CPI value from one year ago. The formula used is ((Current CPI - Past CPI) / Past CPI) x 100.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | — | 3.50 | — |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.30 | +0.10 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| May 14, 2026 | 3.70 | 3.60 | +0.10 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | 3.60 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.40 | +0.30 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | 2.70 | 2.60 | +0.10 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2.80 | 3.00 | -0.20 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2.90 | 2.60 | +0.30 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2.70 | 2.80 | -0.10 |
| Sep 11, 2025 | 2.00 | 1.90 | +0.10 |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Jul 10, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Jun 12, 2025 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| May 8, 2025 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| Apr 10, 2025 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1.80 | 1.60 | +0.20 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 0.00 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1.40 | 1.20 | +0.20 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1.00 | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 0.70 | 1.50 | -0.80 |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 0.70 | 1.80 | -1.10 |
| Sep 12, 2024 | 1.70 | 1.80 | -0.10 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.30 | -0.10 |
| Jul 11, 2024 | 2.20 | 2.70 | -0.50 |
| Jun 13, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.70 | -0.10 |
| May 9, 2024 | 2.60 | 2.80 | -0.20 |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2.90 | 2.80 | +0.10 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3.40 | 3.60 | -0.20 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 4.10 | 4.40 | -0.30 |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 4.60 | 4.30 | +0.30 |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3.90 | 3.70 | +0.20 |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 5.10 | 4.90 | +0.20 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 6.40 | 6.50 | -0.10 |
| Sep 7, 2023 | 6.30 | — | — |
| Aug 10, 2023 | 5.80 | — | — |
| Jul 13, 2023 | 6.10 | — | — |
| Jun 8, 2023 | 6.60 | — | — |
| May 11, 2023 | 7.20 | — | — |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 7.70 | — | — |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 8.50 | — | — |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 7.80 | — | — |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 8.20 | — | — |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 8.90 | — | — |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 9.20 | — | — |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 8.20 | — | — |
| Sep 8, 2022 | 8.70 | — | — |
| Aug 11, 2022 | 9.10 | — | — |
| Jul 14, 2022 | 9.10 | — | — |
