Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | — | -1.60 | — |
| Sep 4, 2026 | -1.60 | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -1.60 | -6.60 | +5.00 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -1.60 | -13.00 | +11.40 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -13.00 | — | — |
| Jun 4, 2026 | -17.10 | -6.00 | -11.10 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | -17.10 | -6.00 | -11.10 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -6.00 | — | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -6.00 | 4.40 | -10.40 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2.20 | 3.40 | -1.20 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 10.80 | 10.50 | +0.30 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 10.50 | — | — |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 17.10 | 12.50 | +4.60 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | 12.50 | — | — |
| Jul 8, 2025 | 20.00 | — | — |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 22.20 | 13.30 | +8.90 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 13.30 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 9.20 | 6.30 | +2.90 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 6.30 | — | — |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -1.20 | — | — |
| Sep 5, 2024 | -4.00 | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| Jun 6, 2024 | -6.50 | — | — |
| Date | First print | Current | Revision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | -17.1 | -17.1 | 0 ↓ |
