The reading has risen in each of the last 3 releases.
Measures the percentage change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy compared to the same quarter of the previous year. It provides a broader view of economic trends by smoothing out seasonal fluctuations. It is a key metric for long-term economic assessment.
Calculated by comparing the real GDP of the current quarter to the real GDP of the same quarter in the previous year. This year-over-year comparison helps identify structural growth trends.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Sep 4, 2026 | -0.40 | -1.60 | +1.20 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | -1.60 | -13.00 | +11.40 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | -13.00 | — | — |
| Jun 4, 2026 | -17.10 | -6.00 | -11.10 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | -6.00 | 4.40 | -10.40 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2.20 | 3.40 | -1.20 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 10.80 | 10.50 | +0.30 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 10.50 | — | — |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 17.10 | 12.50 | +4.60 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | 12.50 | — | — |
| Jul 8, 2025 | 20.00 | — | — |
| Jun 5, 2025 | 22.20 | 13.30 | +8.90 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | 13.30 | — | — |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 9.20 | 6.30 | +2.90 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 6.30 | — | — |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2.90 | -1.20 | +4.10 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | -1.20 | 1.20 | -2.40 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | -4.00 | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| Jul 29, 2024 | -1.40 | -3.00 | +1.60 |
| Jun 6, 2024 | -6.50 | -0.80 | -5.70 |
| Apr 29, 2024 | -0.80 | -2.60 | +1.80 |
| Mar 1, 2024 | -8.70 | -3.40 | -5.30 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | -3.40 | -4.00 | +0.60 |
| Dec 1, 2023 | -5.80 | -4.70 | -1.10 |
| Sep 1, 2023 | -0.70 | — | — |
| Jun 2, 2023 | -0.20 | — | — |
| Apr 27, 2023 | 6.40 | — | — |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 12.00 | — | — |
| Jan 30, 2023 | 13.50 | — | — |
| Dec 2, 2022 | 10.90 | — | — |
| Sep 2, 2022 | 11.10 | — | — |
| Jun 3, 2022 | 11.00 | — | — |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 9.60 | — | — |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 11.40 | — | — |
The latest reading is within its usual range, less than one standard deviation from the mean.
