The announcement by a central bank regarding the short-term interest rate at which it lends to commercial banks. This is the primary tool of monetary policy used to control inflation and stabilize the national economy. Changes in interest rates influence borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, affecting overall spending and investment levels.
Determined by the central bank's governing board after reviewing comprehensive economic data, including inflation trends, GDP growth, and employment figures. The decision is based on the bank's mandate to maintain price stability and support economic growth.
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 4.25 | 4.25 | 0.00 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 4.25 | — | — |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 4.75 | — | — |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 5.00 | — | — |
| Sep 19, 2024 | 5.25 | — | — |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 0.00 |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 5.75 | 5.75 | 0.00 |
| Sep 21, 2023 | 5.75 | — | — |
| Jul 27, 2023 | 5.75 | — | — |
| Jun 15, 2023 | 5.50 | — | — |
| May 4, 2023 | 5.50 | — | — |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 5.25 | — | — |
| Feb 2, 2023 | 5.00 | — | — |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 4.75 | — | — |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 4.25 | — | — |
| Sep 22, 2022 | 3.50 | — | — |
| Jul 28, 2022 | 2.75 | — | — |
| Jun 16, 2022 | 2.00 | — | — |
| May 5, 2022 | 1.25 | — | — |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 0.75 | — | — |
